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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Celtics65%9498
18Heat35%8983
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.5
37.8
31.8
27
98%
5
5
1
1
0
3
3
2
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
5-6
83%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.9
34.4
29.7
7
44%
4
10
1
2
0
5
3
1
0-2
0%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.3
34.3
33.9
14
47%
8
1
1
1
0
2
1
7
1-2
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
32.2
26.8
16
58%
13
1
3
1
0
2
2
11
4-4
100%
6-12
5-10
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.2
22.8
18.7
2
29%
7
1
0
0
1
2
1
6
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
58%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
26.0
17.7
25
83%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
7-11
64%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.8
22.5
27.5
3
75%
1
1
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-2
50%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.1
10.5
19.4
4
67%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.8
8.9
13.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
8.0
20.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
2.5
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.2
2.6
0
0-1
44%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.3
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
42.7
38.0
25
62%
4
4
2
2
0
3
1
3
5-7
71%
7-12
9-18
58%
49%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
34.5
35.1
4
67%
5
2
3
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
4-9
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
31.1
27.1
6
33%
1
7
4
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
13.9
14.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
8.2
34.2
2
25%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
5-10
25%
53%
0-0
-
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.0
41.2
17.7
17
46%
11
1
2
0
0
2
1
10
4-6
67%
5-13
4-8
38%
46%
1-3
33%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.7
38.7
25.8
20
53%
3
0
3
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
1-4
40%
38%
4-9
44%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
11.5
17.6
6
44%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
0-1
0%
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
7.7
15.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-3
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
6.4
18.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
3.9
2.3
3
61%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
38%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.1
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.1
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.