Final Win Prob. pScore
264%94
98
1836%89
83
ORTG#PossPace
BOS logo Celtics
110.18984.1
MIA logo Heat
92.29095.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCelticsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA98
83
Q4 - 0:00.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)98
83
Q4 - 0:01.0BOSMISS Pruitt 14' Turnaround Jump Shot98
83
Q4 - 0:25.0MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)98
83
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
83
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
83
Q4 - 0:52.0BOSBeasley STEAL (2 STL)98
83
Q4 - 1:05MIAQuinn Layup (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)98
83
Q4 - 1:08BOSBeasley STEAL (1 STL)98
81
Q4 - 1:15MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)98
81
Q4 - 1:15MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)98
80
Q4 - 1:15BOSHouse S.FOUL (P1.T4)98
79
Q4 - 1:28MIAHEAT Rebound98
79
Q4 - 1:29MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
79
Q4 - 1:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)98
79
Q4 - 1:43BOSMISS Davis 8' Jump Hook Shot98
79
Q4 - 2:03BOSScalabrine REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
79
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot98
79
Q4 - 2:16MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)98
79
Q4 - 2:17BOSMISS House 18' Jump Shot98
79
Q4 - 2:32MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)98
79
Q4 - 2:32BOSSUB: Scalabrine FOR Rondo98
78
Q4 - 2:32BOSSUB: O'Bryant FOR Allen98
78
Q4 - 2:32BOSSUB: Pruitt FOR Perkins98
78
Q4 - 2:32BOSSUB: Davis FOR Garnett98
78
Q4 - 2:32BOSPerkins S.FOUL (P2.T3)98
78
Q4 - 2:32MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)98
78
Q4 - 2:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
76
Q4 - 2:44BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot98
76
Q4 - 3:04BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)98
76
Q4 - 3:05MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
76
Q4 - 3:27BOSAllen 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Rondo 10 AST)98
76
Q4 - 3:39MIAQuinn Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)95
76
Q4 - 3:56MIASUB: Diawara FOR Cook95
76
Q4 - 3:56MIASUB: Anthony FOR Chalmers95
76
Q4 - 3:56MIASUB: Jones FOR Wade95
76
Q4 - 3:56MIASUB: Quinn FOR Haslem95
76
Q4 - 3:56MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)95
76
Q4 - 3:57BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Rondo 9 AST)95
76
Q4 - 4:11BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
76
Q4 - 4:12MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot92
76
Q4 - 4:27BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)92
76
Q4 - 4:43BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
76
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS Beasley 18' Jump Shot89
76
Q4 - 5:02BOSGarnett 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
76
Q4 - 5:30MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)87
76
Q4 - 5:44BOSHaslem STEAL (3 STL)87
73
Q4 - 5:51BOSSUB: Allen FOR Pierce87
73
Q4 - 5:51MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)87
73
Q4 - 5:51MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T2)87
73
Q4 - 5:54BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
73
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup87
73
Q4 - 6:08BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Davis87
73
Q4 - 6:08BOSGarnett Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)87
73
Q4 - 6:21BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)87
73
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
73
Q4 - 6:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
73
Q4 - 6:28BOSMISS Rondo 6' Jump Shot87
73
Q4 - 6:45BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
73
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
73
Q4 - 7:04BOSDavis Layup (4 PTS) (Rondo 8 AST)87
73
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS)85
73
Q4 - 7:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
70
Q4 - 7:39BOSMISS Pierce 19' Jump Shot85
70
Q4 - 7:52MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn85
70
Q4 - 7:52MIAWade P.FOUL (P4.T1)85
70
Q4 - 8:02BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
70
Q4 - 8:03MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
70
Q4 - 8:20BOSRondo Layup (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)85
70
Q4 - 8:38MIAQuinn 9' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)83
70
Q4 - 8:50BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Scalabrine83
68
Q4 - 8:50BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Allen83
68
Q4 - 8:50MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony83
68
Q4 - 8:5083
68
Q4 - 8:50BOSScalabrine P.FOUL (P5.T2)83
68
Q4 - 8:52BOSCook STEAL (3 STL)83
68
Q4 - 8:57MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)83
68
Q4 - 9:13MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
68
Q4 - 9:14BOSMISS Pierce 16' Jump Shot83
68
Q4 - 9:30BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)83
68
Q4 - 9:31BOSMISS House 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
68
Q4 - 9:55BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
68
Q4 - 9:57MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 183
68
Q4 - 9:57MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers83
68
Q4 - 9:57BOSScalabrine S.FOUL (P4.T1)83
68
Q4 - 9:57MIABeasley 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
68
Q4 - 9:57MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
66
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot83
66
Q4 - 10:13BOSPierce 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)83
66
Q4 - 10:42MIACook Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)81
66
Q4 - 10:46BOSChalmers STEAL (4 STL)81
64
Q4 - 11:06BOSDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
64
Q4 - 11:07MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot81
64
Q4 - 11:31BOSScalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)81
64
Q4 - 11:41BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
64
Q4 - 11:43BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
64
Q4 - 12:0078
64
Q3 - 0:00.0BOS78
64
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
64
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
64
Q3 - 0:21.0BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Pierce 1 AST)78
64
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)75
64
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
63
Q3 - 0:40.0BOSDavis S.FOUL (P1.PN)75
62
Q3 - 0:50.0BOSHouse 21' Jump Shot (22 PTS)75
62
Q3 - 1:09MIAChalmers Driving Layup (6 PTS)73
62
Q3 - 1:14BOSChalmers STEAL (3 STL)73
60
Q3 - 1:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)73
60
Q3 - 1:29MIASUB: Anthony FOR Beasley73
59
Q3 - 1:29BOSAllen S.FOUL (P2.T4)73
59
Q3 - 1:29MIAWade Driving Layup (19 PTS)73
59
Q3 - 1:45BOSDavis 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)73
57
Q3 - 2:05MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
57
Q3 - 2:05MIAHEAT Rebound71
56
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 271
56
Q3 - 2:05BOSSUB: House FOR Rondo71
56
Q3 - 2:05BOSSUB: Davis FOR Garnett71
56
Q3 - 2:05BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)71
56
Q3 - 2:05BOSScalabrine S.FOUL (P3.T3)71
56
Q3 - 2:23BOSAllen Driving Reverse Layup (18 PTS)71
56
Q3 - 2:41MIABeasley Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)69
56
Q3 - 2:48BOSHaslem STEAL (2 STL)69
54
Q3 - 3:02MIABeasley P.FOUL (P1.T4)69
54
Q3 - 3:13MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)69
54
Q3 - 3:42BOSGarnett Layup (14 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)69
52
Q3 - 3:54MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)67
52
Q3 - 3:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)67
52
Q3 - 3:57BOSMISS Rondo 9' Running Jump Shot67
52
Q3 - 4:05MIAWade P.FOUL (P3.T3)67
52
Q3 - 4:16MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)67
52
Q3 - 4:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
49
Q3 - 4:27BOSMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
49
Q3 - 4:41MIAWade Dunk (17 PTS)67
49
Q3 - 4:46BOSWade STEAL (2 STL)67
47
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)67
47
Q3 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)67
46
Q3 - 5:10BOSScalabrine S.FOUL (P2.T2)67
45
Q3 - 5:26BOSAllen 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)67
45
Q3 - 5:41MIAChalmers 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
45
Q3 - 6:02MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)65
43
Q3 - 6:02BOSGarnett 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)65
43
Q3 - 6:13BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
43
Q3 - 6:14MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot63
43
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
43
Q3 - 6:25BOSMISS Pierce 8' Hook Shot63
43
Q3 - 6:37BOSSUB: Scalabrine FOR Perkins63
43
Q3 - 6:37MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)63
43
Q3 - 6:37BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
43
Q3 - 6:38BOSMISS Pierce Layup63
43
Q3 - 6:57BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
43
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
43
Q3 - 7:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)63
43
Q3 - 7:06BOSMISS Pierce 13' Jump Shot63
43
Q3 - 7:22BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)63
43
Q3 - 7:23MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
43
Q3 - 7:38MIAHEAT Rebound63
43
Q3 - 7:39BOSMISS Perkins Free Throw 1 of 163
43
Q3 - 7:39MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T1)63
43
Q3 - 7:39BOSPerkins Layup (2 PTS)63
43
Q3 - 7:39BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
43
Q3 - 7:40BOSMISS Garnett 21' Jump Shot61
43
Q3 - 7:58BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)61
43
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup61
43
Q3 - 8:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
43
Q3 - 8:07BOSMISS Garnett 19' Jump Shot61
43
Q3 - 8:27MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)61
43
Q3 - 8:48BOSGarnett Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)61
40
Q3 - 8:58BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
40
Q3 - 8:59BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
40
Q3 - 9:18BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
40
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup59
40
Q3 - 9:32MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
40
Q3 - 9:33BOSMISS Perkins Layup59
40
Q3 - 9:51MIABeasley Layup (12 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)59
40
Q3 - 9:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
38
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
38
Q3 - 10:08BOSCook STEAL (2 STL)59
38
Q3 - 10:27MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)59
38
Q3 - 10:35MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
36
Q3 - 10:36BOSMISS Garnett 20' Jump Shot59
36
Q3 - 10:46BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
36
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
36
Q3 - 11:00BOSRondo P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
36
Q3 - 11:12BOSPierce 11' Hook Shot (12 PTS)59
36
Q3 - 11:37MIABeasley 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
36
Q3 - 12:0057
34
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
34
Q2 - 0:02.0BOSPruitt P.FOUL (P3.T4)57
34
Q2 - 0:03.0BOSSUB: Pruitt FOR House57
34
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
34
Q2 - 0:04.0BOSMISS Rondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
34
Q2 - 0:29.0BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
34
Q2 - 0:30.0BOSMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
34
Q2 - 0:35.0BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
34
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Beasley 3PT Jump Shot57
34
Q2 - 0:59.0BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)57
34
Q2 - 1:18MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)54
34
Q2 - 1:19BOSCeltics Rebound54
34
Q2 - 1:20MIAMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot54
34
Q2 - 1:29BOSPerkins 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)54
34
Q2 - 1:51BOSCeltics Rebound54
34
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
34
Q2 - 2:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
34
Q2 - 2:06BOSMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
34
Q2 - 2:19MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)54
34
Q2 - 2:33BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)54
31
Q2 - 2:33BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
31
Q2 - 2:33MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)52
31
Q2 - 2:37MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)52
31
Q2 - 2:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
31
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup52
31
Q2 - 3:05BOSHouse 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)52
31
Q2 - 3:25MIACook 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)49
31
Q2 - 3:54BOSRondo 4' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)49
29
Q2 - 4:05BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
29
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot47
29
Q2 - 4:15MIAHEAT Rebound47
29
Q2 - 4:16MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot47
29
Q2 - 4:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
29
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot47
29
Q2 - 4:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)47
29
Q2 - 4:42BOSHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)47
29
Q2 - 4:50BOSAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
29
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 244
29
Q2 - 4:51MIAHEAT Rebound44
29
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 244
29
Q2 - 4:51BOSAllen S.FOUL (P1.T3)44
29
Q2 - 5:03BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)44
29
Q2 - 5:19BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
29
Q2 - 5:20MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot41
29
Q2 - 5:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
29
Q2 - 5:37BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 241
29
Q2 - 5:37BOSCeltics Rebound41
29
Q2 - 5:37BOSMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 241
29
Q2 - 5:37BOSSUB: Perkins FOR Scalabrine41
29
Q2 - 5:37MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)41
29
Q2 - 5:37MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T1)41
29
Q2 - 5:54MIAWade Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)41
29
Q2 - 5:58BOSChalmers STEAL (2 STL)41
27
Q2 - 6:11MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)41
27
Q2 - 6:11BOSSUB: Garnett FOR Powe41
26
Q2 - 6:11BOSSUB: Rondo FOR Pruitt41
26
Q2 - 6:11MIASUB: Haslem FOR Magloire41
26
Q2 - 6:11BOSPruitt S.FOUL (P2.T2)41
26
Q2 - 6:11MIABeasley Slam Dunk (7 PTS)41
26
Q2 - 6:12BOSChalmers STEAL (1 STL)41
24
Q2 - 6:29BOSHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
24
Q2 - 6:32MIAMISS Magloire 8' Hook Shot41
24
Q2 - 6:57BOSHouse 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)41
24
Q2 - 7:18MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
24
Q2 - 7:24BOSPowe Foul Turnover (P1.T8)39
22
Q2 - 7:24BOSPowe OFF.Foul (P1)39
22
Q2 - 7:36MIACook 9' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
22
Q2 - 7:49BOSPruitt Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T7)39
20
Q2 - 7:50MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
20
Q2 - 7:50MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn39
19
Q2 - 7:50MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)39
19
Q2 - 7:50BOSSUB: Allen FOR Pierce39
18
Q2 - 7:50BOSScalabrine S.FOUL (P1.T1)39
18
Q2 - 8:08BOSPierce 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
18
Q2 - 8:29MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)37
18
Q2 - 8:3837
18
Q2 - 8:42BOSWade STEAL (1 STL)37
18
Q2 - 9:01MIABeasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)37
18
Q2 - 9:21BOSPierce 11' Hook Shot (8 PTS)37
15
Q2 - 9:44MIACook Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
15
Q2 - 9:49MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
13
Q2 - 9:50BOSMISS House 16' Jump Shot35
13
Q2 - 10:03BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
13
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
13
Q2 - 10:25BOSHouse 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Scalabrine 1 AST)35
13
Q2 - 10:34BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
13
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Wade 7' Running Jump Shot32
13
Q2 - 10:41MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
13
Q2 - 10:42BOSMISS Powe 9' Jump Shot32
13
Q2 - 11:08MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)32
13
Q2 - 11:25BOSHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pruitt 1 AST)32
10
Q2 - 11:42MIAMagloire Foul Turnover (P1.T5)29
10
Q2 - 11:42MIAMagloire OFF.Foul (P1)29
10
Q2 - 12:0029
10
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
10
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
10
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot29
10
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
10
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Quinn 7' Jump Shot29
10
Q1 - 0:12.0BOSPruitt P.FOUL (P1.T3)29
10
Q1 - 0:29.0BOSPierce 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)29
10
Q1 - 0:32.0BOSSUB: Pruitt FOR Allen27
10
Q1 - 0:32.0MIASUB: Magloire FOR Haslem27
10
Q1 - 0:38.0BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
10
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
10
Q1 - 0:45.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10
Q1 - 0:47.0BOSMISS Powe Tip Shot27
10
Q1 - 0:49.0BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
10
Q1 - 0:50.0BOSMISS Powe Layup27
10
Q1 - 1:01BOSPowe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot27
10
Q1 - 1:21BOSAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)27
10
Q1 - 1:21BOSAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)26
10
Q1 - 1:21MIASUB: Quinn FOR Wade25
10
Q1 - 1:21MIACook IN.FOUL (P1.T4)25
10
Q1 - 1:27BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
10
Q1 - 1:28BOSMISS Pierce 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
10
Q1 - 1:35MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
10
Q1 - 1:53BOSRondo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
10
Q1 - 2:13BOSSUB: Powe FOR Garnett22
10
Q1 - 2:13BOSCeltics Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)22
10
Q1 - 2:19MIAWade 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
10
Q1 - 2:41BOSAllen 11' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)22
8
Q1 - 2:49MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)20
8
Q1 - 2:56BOSHaslem STEAL (1 STL)20
8
Q1 - 3:00BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)20
8
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
8
Q1 - 3:11MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
8
Q1 - 3:12BOSMISS Scalabrine 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
8
Q1 - 3:24BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
8
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
8
Q1 - 3:48BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
8
Q1 - 3:48BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
8
Q1 - 3:48MIASUB: Diawara FOR Marion18
8
Q1 - 3:48BOSSUB: Scalabrine FOR Perkins18
8
Q1 - 3:48MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
8
Q1 - 4:04BOSPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot18
8
Q1 - 4:22BOSGarnett 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
8
Q1 - 4:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
8
Q1 - 4:31BOSMISS Rondo Reverse Layup16
8
Q1 - 4:39BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
8
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Marion Dunk16
8
Q1 - 4:48MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
8
Q1 - 4:49BOSMISS Perkins Reverse Layup16
8
Q1 - 5:03BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)16
8
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup16
8
Q1 - 5:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
8
Q1 - 5:23BOSMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 5:30BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
8
Q1 - 5:31MIAMISS Beasley Layup16
8
Q1 - 5:44BOSRondo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T4)16
8
Q1 - 5:48BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
8
Q1 - 5:49MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 5:54BOSCook STEAL (1 STL)16
8
Q1 - 5:58MIAMarion Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)16
8
Q1 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6
Q1 - 6:05BOSCook BLOCK (1 BLK)16
6
Q1 - 6:06BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
6
Q1 - 6:09BOSMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)16
6
Q1 - 6:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)16
6
Q1 - 6:40MIASUB: Cook FOR Chalmers16
4
Q1 - 6:40MIASUB: Beasley FOR Anthony16
4
Q1 - 6:40MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)16
4
Q1 - 6:47BOSGarnett Dunk (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)16
4
Q1 - 7:00BOSCeltics Rebound14
4
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot14
4
Q1 - 7:15BOSRondo P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
4
Q1 - 7:24BOSGarnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
4
Q1 - 7:24BOSGarnett Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
4
Q1 - 7:24MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T2)12
4
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)12
4
Q1 - 7:51BOSPierce Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
2
Q1 - 7:51BOSCeltics Rebound11
2
Q1 - 7:51BOSMISS Pierce Free Throw 1 of 211
2
Q1 - 7:51MIA11
2
Q1 - 7:51MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T1)11
2
Q1 - 7:55BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
2
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot11
2
Q1 - 8:06BOSPerkins P.FOUL (P1.T1)11
2
Q1 - 8:06MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
2
Q1 - 8:07MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot11
2
Q1 - 8:24BOSRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
2
Q1 - 8:27BOSGarnett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
2
Q1 - 8:28MIAMISS Marion 13' Jump Shot11
2
Q1 - 8:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
2
Q1 - 8:40BOSMISS Garnett 18' Jump Shot11
2
Q1 - 8:57BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
2
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
2
Q1 - 9:12MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
2
Q1 - 9:20BOSAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)11
2
Q1 - 9:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
2
Q1 - 9:34BOSAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
2
Q1 - 9:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
2
Q1 - 10:00BOSAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)8
2
Q1 - 10:07BOSRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
2
Q1 - 10:08BOSMISS Pierce 3PT Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:30BOSPierce REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:55BOSPierce 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)5
2
Q1 - 11:20MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:40BOSAllen Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Perkins: Tip to Garnett0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventBOSMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.24 62.0%
MIA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
BOS
9
16
56%
MIA
12
19
63%
Midrange
BOS
13
31
42%
MIA
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
BOS
15
22.5
25
60%
90%
MIA
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
Free Throws
BOS
9
13
69%
MIA
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2796%13.5 / 14
E. House2583%12.5 / 15
K. Garnett1657%8.0 / 14
P. Pierce1447%7.0 / 15
R. Rondo744%3.5 / 8
G. Davis467%2.0 / 3
B. Scalabrine375%1.5 / 2
K. Perkins233%1.0 / 3
G. Pruitt0-0.0 / 1
L. Powe0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2563%12.5 / 20
D. Cook2053%10.0 / 19
M. Beasley1747%8.5 / 18
M. Chalmers633%3.0 / 9
C. Quinn643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
S. Marion225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 0
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 3
J. Magloire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

BOS
68
+11
-21
79
MIA
79
+10
-11
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

BOS
1.24 62.0%
MIA
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
107.6
BOS 110.1 +17.9
MIA 92.2
Pace
90.9
90.2
BOS 84.1
MIA 95.9 +11.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
16.3
BOS 17.1
MIA 15.0 −2.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
50.0%
BOS 61.8% +17.4%
MIA 44.4%
TO %
16.4%
13.1%
BOS 21.3%
MIA 11.2% −10.1%
ORB %
27.9%
24.6%
BOS 31.4% +17.4%
MIA 14.0%
FTrt
32.8
28.2
BOS 18.1
MIA 20.0 +1.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
55.1%
BOS 56.8% +3.7%
MIA 53.1%
STL %
8.3%
8.7%
BOS 7.9%
MIA 15.6% +7.7%
BLK %
7.8%
9.2%
BOS 5.5% +1.2%
MIA 4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.6%
52.6%
BOS 62.0% +15.4%
MIA 46.6%
Rim FG%
60.2%
59.5%
BOS 56.3%
MIA 63.2% +6.9%
Mid FG%
42.4%
41.8%
BOS 41.9% +5.8%
MIA 36.1%
3P %
39.7%
35.7%
BOS 60.0% +32.0%
MIA 28.0%
FT %
76.7%
75.4%
BOS 69.2%
MIA 75.0% +5.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.8%
30.3%
BOS 22.2%
MIA 23.8% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
45.2%
BOS 43.1% −1.9%
MIA 45.0%
3P Att. %
21.4%
24.5%
BOS 34.7% +3.5%
MIA 31.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsBOSMIA
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes25.422.5
Points9883
Rebounds4830
Assists2117
Steals714
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (0)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)24 (2)
Field Goals37-7232-80
At-the-Rim FG9-1612-19
Midrange FG13-3113-36
2-Point FG22-4725-55
3-Point FG15-257-25
Free Throws9-1312-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 205 · 34
37.8
27
96%
5
5
1
0
3
2
3
2
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
5-6
83%
G · 6'1" 186 · 23
34.4
7
44%
4
10
1
0
5
2
3
1
0-2
0%
2-5
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 235 · 31
34.3
14
47%
8
1
1
0
2
0
1
7
1-2
50%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 240 · 33
32.2
16
57%
13
1
3
0
2
0
2
11
4-4
100%
6-12
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 24
22.8
2
33%
7
1
0
1
2
2
1
6
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 31
26.0
25
83%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
50%
7-11
64%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
22.5
3
75%
1
1
0
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23
10.5
4
67%
2
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 170 · 23
8.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
8.0
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 250 · 23
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 39
#12 · F · 6'6" 235 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · G · 6'5" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · · 6'4" 213 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
62%
48
21
7
3
21
0
11
37
9-13
69%
22-47
47%
15-25
60%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.