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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks54%10099
21Bucks46%99133
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
36.4
38.3
30
64%
5
1
1
1
0
0
0
5
16-17
94%
7-16
9-17
44%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.8
34.1
35.1
18
86%
2
4
0
2
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
1-4
2-4
25%
42%
3-3
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
33.7
27.0
19
45%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-7
57%
6-17
5-10
35%
47%
1-1
100%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
23.4
19.9
2
26%
8
0
0
0
2
1
4
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
60%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
17.4
26.8
4
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
25.8
33.7
7
27%
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
52%
1-6
17%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
21.1
21.7
7
43%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
5-5
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
49%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
13.9
13.4
4
40%
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
13.1
6.9
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
42%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
8.0
13.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
7.2
5.1
4
50%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
6.0
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.2
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
35.9
37.5
27
76%
7
1
0
1
1
2
1
6
2-4
50%
5-7
6-11
71%
49%
5-9
56%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
33.0
29.5
32
83%
10
2
2
1
0
0
2
8
4-5
80%
8-10
6-12
80%
49%
4-7
57%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
30.0
36.8
15
70%
7
8
1
1
0
1
1
6
6-6
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
20.7
31.3
6
43%
1
7
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
15.5
15.4
7
34%
5
0
1
0
0
1
3
2
1-1
100%
3-10
2-4
30%
48%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
25.4
15.2
21
104%
3
7
0
1
0
5
0
3
6-7
86%
6-6
2-4
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
20.8
22.3
5
64%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
2-3
2-5
67%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
17.1
10.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
17.1
7.7
4
67%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
11.6
6.9
9
58%
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
7.0
2.4
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
1-2
50%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
6.0
8.9
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.