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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets21%9092
5Hornets79%101102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
43.7
26.7
20
49%
7
3
0
1
2
3
2
5
2-3
67%
9-17
4-8
53%
46%
0-2
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
36.0
23.8
16
85%
4
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
3-5
60%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
33.0
34.4
8
50%
3
0
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
4-8
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
27.4
26.9
6
22%
0
6
3
1
1
3
0
0
4-6
67%
1-8
4-9
13%
48%
0-3
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
16.4
23.2
4
40%
10
1
0
1
0
0
3
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
28.0
28.1
12
61%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
3-4
75%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
26.4
25.4
10
56%
5
2
0
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
2-3
67%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
15.0
9.9
8
59%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
0-4
0%
4-5
1-2
80%
53%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
14.0
15.5
8
103%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
9.0
0
1-2
43%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
3.7
0
0-1
47%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.9
1.7
0
0-0
41%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.6
39.0
36.2
20
63%
10
2
1
1
1
0
1
9
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
4-7
57%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
37.5
37.7
29
67%
9
8
3
2
1
5
0
9
7-8
88%
11-16
7-13
69%
53%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
34.7
32.6
14
65%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
30.0
11.3
6
25%
4
3
0
0
3
1
3
1
0-0
-
3-12
1-3
25%
46%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
25.3
7.8
5
43%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.0
29.9
29.7
10
63%
7
1
2
1
0
2
1
6
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
55%
3-7
43%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
25.2
3.6
11
66%
6
1
1
0
0
2
2
4
1-3
33%
5-6
1-1
83%
54%
0-1
0%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.8
12.6
11.9
4
50%
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
5.9
3.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
1-1
100%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
7.5
0
1-2
46%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.6
4.0
0
0-0
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.2
2.7
0
0-0
47%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.