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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Jazz37%9499
11Rockets63%99108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
37.2
34.7
32
72%
5
11
0
1
0
1
3
2
10-12
83%
8-12
5-10
67%
49%
2-5
40%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.8
36.8
33.4
23
77%
5
3
1
2
0
0
2
3
2-2
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
53%
3-3
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
36.1
35.3
8
26%
6
1
1
1
2
2
1
5
3-5
60%
1-9
5-10
11%
48%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.9
34.5
29.8
20
57%
12
2
1
1
1
3
5
7
2-6
33%
9-15
5-10
60%
52%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.8
20.5
25.5
8
45%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.8
26.1
23.0
2
14%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
15.3
12.8
0
0%
0
3
3
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.6
14.9
13.4
2
25%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
13.3
9.2
4
58%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
1-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.1
5.3
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
7.3
0
1-1
43%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
3.5
0
0-1
44%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
35.4
31.2
2
11%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
1-3
20%
50%
0-4
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
34.8
34.5
23
78%
4
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
43%
5-7
71%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
34.1
29.5
19
73%
9
0
0
1
1
2
2
7
7-7
100%
6-10
5-9
60%
53%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
33.2
31.9
21
66%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
2-2
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
3-5
60%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.4
30.5
30.9
19
79%
12
2
0
0
1
3
3
9
9-9
100%
5-8
7-13
63%
53%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.3
24.5
23.3
10
54%
7
1
0
0
1
3
3
4
2-3
67%
4-8
4-6
50%
57%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.1
23.8
21.3
9
113%
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
3-4
75%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
17.4
17.9
5
24%
1
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
0-4
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
6.4
10.8
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.