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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 21, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards47%99110
26Kings53%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
43.9
38.9
32
59%
7
5
3
2
0
3
1
6
5-5
100%
12-20
6-12
60%
50%
1-5
20%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
41.9
36.7
33
65%
9
1
0
1
0
1
1
8
8-10
80%
11-16
7-13
69%
51%
1-5
20%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
38.7
31.8
8
40%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
0-3
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
38.1
26.5
8
80%
12
4
0
1
2
2
6
6
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
26.1
28.3
20
74%
3
3
0
1
1
2
1
2
6-8
75%
7-10
5-11
70%
52%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.9
20.1
17.5
4
34%
7
2
1
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
11.1
7.2
1
27%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
10.7
26.9
4
40%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
5-9
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.1
9.3
15.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
15.5
0
1-2
44%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
3.5
0
0-1
46%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
1.9
0
0-0
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.2
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
42.1
32.7
24
73%
5
5
1
1
0
3
1
4
7-8
88%
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
3-6
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
40.9
34.4
22
56%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
8-8
100%
1-8
5-10
13%
49%
4-8
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
39.0
25.5
24
88%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
5-6
83%
5-6
3-7
83%
50%
3-5
60%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
22.9
29.1
4
41%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
4-7
25%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
22.1
30.6
10
63%
5
1
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-8
5-9
63%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
23.2
17.6
4
29%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-2
0%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
17.8
24.1
14
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-9
3-5
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
17.1
3.5
5
64%
5
0
2
0
0
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
9.0
6.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
5.8
20.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
7.4
0
1-1
56%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
6.7
0
1-1
50%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.