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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bucks38%9787
15Hawks62%101117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
32.8
36.5
16
51%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
26.7
26.9
7
44%
1
4
5
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
46%
1-3
33%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
26.2
30.3
27
91%
7
2
1
1
0
3
0
7
2-2
100%
5-8
6-11
63%
48%
5-6
83%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
21.0
33.5
5
32%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
5-10
20%
48%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
13.7
15.4
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
47%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
29.8
21.6
4
27%
10
2
0
1
2
1
4
6
0-1
0%
2-7
2-5
29%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
26.4
8.0
8
57%
0
4
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
16.2
8.9
6
51%
4
0
0
0
1
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
13.2
11.3
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
12.0
13.1
8
82%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
11.4
18.9
2
15%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-6
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
10.6
4.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-3
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 23.1
32.2
37.7
24
72%
8
1
1
1
3
1
2
6
2-4
50%
11-15
6-12
73%
50%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 27.6
30.2
41.4
9
35%
5
6
0
1
0
5
0
5
3-4
75%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 30.7
29.2
39.7
12
49%
4
15
3
1
0
4
0
4
4-5
80%
1-5
4-9
20%
47%
2-5
40%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 22.6
27.2
27.6
11
62%
9
0
3
1
0
0
2
7
1-2
50%
5-6
3-6
83%
48%
0-2
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.0
22.1
26.4
9
87%
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
5
5-5
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.2
34.4
23.6
18
85%
1
2
3
1
0
1
0
1
4-6
67%
1-4
2-3
25%
50%
4-4
100%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.5
22.8
29.9
25
93%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
9-11
3-8
82%
46%
2-2
100%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
15.4
12.3
7
81%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
54%
0-0
-
Thomas Gardner
G · 6'5" 225 · 24.0
10.2
4.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Othello Hunter
· 6'8" 225 · 22.7
7.7
1.1
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.6
6.4
4.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 23.1
2.1
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 30.7
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 24.0
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.