FinalWin Prob.pScore
1938%97
87
1562%101
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
90.69695.6
ATL logo ATL
124.59494.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MILMISS Alexander 17' Jump Shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ATLMorris 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T16)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:41.0ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0MILMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0ATLWest Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:16ATLWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:17MILMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:31MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:33ATLMISS Morris 7' Jump Shot87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:46MILAlexander 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)87
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 1:57ATLEvans 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (West 1 AST)85
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 2:16MILMbah a Moute 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)85
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:35MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 2:37ATLMISS Gardner 29' 3PT Jump Shot83
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:04MILAlexander 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)83
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24ATLGardner 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)80
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 3:30MILEvans STEAL (3 STL)80
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 3:36MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:39ATLMISS O. Hunter 17' Turnaround Jump Shot80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:56MILLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:02ATLMISS West 19' Jump Shot80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26ATLO. Hunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29MILMISS Alexander 21' Fadeaway Jumper80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42MILBucks Rebound80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43ATLMISS Evans 17' Jump Shot80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07MILAlexander Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)80
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MILMISS Mbah a Moute Free Throw 1 of 180
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MILMISS Alexander 18' Fadeaway Jumper78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55ATLJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:55ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)78
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 6:00ATLGardner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MILMISS Mbah a Moute 17' Jump Shot78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:23ATLJones 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murray 3 AST)78
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MILLue 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)78
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56ATLHAWKS Rebound76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56ATLMISS Evans 3' Driving Layup76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21MILAlexander Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)76
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21MILMISS Alexander Free Throw 1 of 275
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36ATLEvans 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)75
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:39MILEvans STEAL (2 STL)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)75
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 7:47MILMurray STEAL (2 STL)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:53MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54ATLMISS Gardner 19' Jump Shot75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11MILAllen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)75
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:16ATLGardner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:19ATLGardner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:20MILMISS Mbah a Moute 4' Driving Layup73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:30MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:32ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:54MILAllen 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)73
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:10ATLMurray 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)71
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25MILAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:45ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)69
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 9:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)69
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 9:59MILMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 10:19ATLJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)69
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 10:19ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 10:20ATLMISS Smith 5' Turnaround Hook Shot69
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 10:37MILAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)69
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 10:37MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 10:58ATLSmith Alley Oop Dunk (21 PTS) (Bibby 14 AST)67
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 11:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 11:12MILMISS Sessions 4' Jump Shot67
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 11:23ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 11:23ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 267
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 11:25MILMurray STEAL (1 STL)67
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 11:28MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 11:30MILMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot67
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 11:45ATLMurray 22' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bibby 13 AST)67
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIL67
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound67
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILSmith BLOCK (3 BLK)67
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 267
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0MILSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)67
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0ATLMurray 3' Driving Layup (17 PTS)67
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0ATLMurray 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q3 - 1:05ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 1:07MILMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
3.0%
81
97.0%
Q3 - 1:22ATLEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)65
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 1:43ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 1:45MILMISS Redd Free Throw 2 of 265
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 1:45MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q3 - 2:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 2:00ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)64
2.9%
80
97.1%
Q3 - 2:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 2:17MILMISS Sessions 20' Jump Shot64
4.1%
79
95.9%
Q3 - 2:43ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 264
4.7%
78
95.3%
Q3 - 2:47ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
4.6%
78
95.4%
Q3 - 2:49MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
4.9%
78
95.1%
Q3 - 2:57MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Johnson 5' Turnaround Jump Shot64
5.2%
78
94.8%
Q3 - 3:16MILVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 2 AST)64
5.0%
78
95.0%
Q3 - 3:28ATLMurray 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 3:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 3:44ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 4:11MILRedd 4' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Mbah a Moute 1 AST)61
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 4:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 4:16MILMISS Redd 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
3.4%
76
96.6%
Q3 - 4:35ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 4:35ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)59
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 4:44ATLHAWKS Rebound59
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q3 - 4:46MILMISS Ridnour 3PT Jump Shot59
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q3 - 5:04ATLEvans 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)59
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 5:26MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)59
6.8%
72
93.2%
Q3 - 5:26MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)58
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 5:37ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)57
5.9%
72
94.1%
Q3 - 5:51MILElson Foul Turnover (P1.T11)57
4.9%
72
95.1%
Q3 - 6:02ATLEvans 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)57
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 6:15ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 6:17MILMISS Redd 10' Fadeaway Jumper57
8.8%
69
91.2%
Q3 - 6:27MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
9.8%
69
90.2%
Q3 - 6:29ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 6:29ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot57
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson 7' Running Hook Shot57
9.4%
69
90.6%
Q3 - 6:45ATLBibby Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
8.4%
69
91.6%
Q3 - 6:45ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 257
8.6%
68
91.4%
Q3 - 6:45MILBibby STEAL (3 STL)57
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q3 - 7:04ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q3 - 7:04ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
12.2%
67
87.8%
Q3 - 7:08MILBibby STEAL (2 STL)57
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 7:11ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)57
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 7:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 7:24MILMISS Redd Putback Layup57
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 7:26MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 7:27MILMISS Jefferson Running Layup57
14.1%
66
85.9%
Q3 - 7:32ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)57
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 7:41ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
13.5%
66
86.5%
Q3 - 7:42MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot57
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 7:48MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
15.5%
66
84.5%
Q3 - 7:49MILMISS Gadzuric 2' Layup57
14.0%
66
86.0%
Q3 - 8:12ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bibby 12 AST)57
15.8%
66
84.2%
Q3 - 8:20MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)57
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 8:46ATLSmith Putback Dunk (19 PTS)55
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q3 - 8:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
17.7%
62
82.3%
Q3 - 8:52ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 9:02ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
18.1%
62
81.9%
Q3 - 9:04MILMISS Villanueva 16' Turnaround Jump Shot55
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q3 - 9:28ATLSmith Dunk (17 PTS) (Bibby 11 AST)55
20.4%
62
79.6%
Q3 - 9:32ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 9:33MILMISS Jefferson 4' Driving Layup55
23.6%
60
76.4%
Q3 - 9:38MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
25.6%
60
74.4%
Q3 - 9:39ATLMISS Smith 3' Alley Oop Layup55
24.7%
60
75.3%
Q3 - 9:55MILVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)55
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 10:07ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)52
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q3 - 10:07ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
19.0%
59
81.0%
Q3 - 10:25MILRidnour 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)52
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 10:33MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q3 - 10:36ATLMISS Johnson 2' Running Layup49
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 10:56MILVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)49
14.5%
58
85.5%
Q3 - 11:06MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 11:08ATLMISS Bibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot47
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 11:14MILWilliams STEAL (3 STL)47
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 11:30MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q3 - 11:33ATLMISS Smith 3' Driving Layup47
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q3 - 11:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
11.7%
58
88.3%
Q3 - 11:46MILMISS Redd 28' 3PT Jump Shot47
12.2%
58
87.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL47
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
13.3%
58
86.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot47
13.2%
58
86.8%
Q2 - 0:13.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)47
12.4%
58
87.6%
Q2 - 0:15.0MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
12.8%
58
87.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
13.6%
58
86.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 147
13.4%
58
86.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0MILRedd 2' Running Layup (13 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)47
15.6%
56
84.4%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLSmith Running Layup (15 PTS) (Bibby 9 AST)45
13.6%
56
86.4%
Q2 - 1:05MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q2 - 1:05MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)44
15.8%
54
84.2%
Q2 - 1:19ATLWilliams 7' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)43
13.9%
54
86.1%
Q2 - 1:37MILRedd 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)43
16.0%
52
84.0%
Q2 - 1:52ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T8)41
13.9%
52
86.1%
Q2 - 2:16MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)41
12.9%
52
87.1%
Q2 - 2:40ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)38
10.3%
52
89.7%
Q2 - 3:01MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)38
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q2 - 3:14ATLSmith 4' Layup (11 PTS) (Bibby 8 AST)38
13.3%
50
86.7%
Q2 - 3:35MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)38
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 3:43ATLBibby Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)35
11.9%
48
88.1%
Q2 - 3:58MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
10.4%
48
89.6%
Q2 - 3:58MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 234
10.2%
48
89.8%
Q2 - 4:12ATLSmith Dunk (9 PTS) (Bibby 7 AST)34
10.9%
48
89.1%
Q2 - 4:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:17ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper34
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 4:28ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:29ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 4:51MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 4:51MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 5:03ATLSmith 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 6 AST)32
11.3%
46
88.7%
Q2 - 5:18MILVillanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)32
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 5:28ATLSmith 4' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)29
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 5:52MILLue 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)29
11.3%
42
88.7%
Q2 - 6:08ATLMurray 3' Running Layup (11 PTS)26
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 6:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 6:14MILMISS Ridnour 3' Layup26
10.8%
40
89.2%
Q2 - 6:19ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)26
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 6:41MILRedd 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)26
10.4%
40
89.6%
Q2 - 6:53MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 6:56MILMISS Lue 28' 3PT Jump Shot24
8.8%
40
91.2%
Q2 - 7:25ATLMurray 4' Alley Oop Layup (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
9.7%
40
90.3%
Q2 - 7:42MILLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)24
10.7%
38
89.3%
Q2 - 7:57MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 8:02ATLMISS Murray 18' Turnaround Jump Shot21
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 8:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
8.4%
38
91.6%
Q2 - 8:13MILMISS Villanueva 3' Driving Layup21
8.6%
38
91.4%
Q2 - 8:31ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
9.2%
38
90.8%
Q2 - 8:54MILVillanueva 13' Driving Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)21
10.1%
36
89.9%
Q2 - 9:19ATLMurray 15' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)19
9.4%
36
90.6%
Q2 - 9:25ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
10.4%
34
89.6%
Q2 - 9:27MILMISS Sessions 3' Layup19
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q2 - 9:49ATLMurray 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 10:05ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
12.9%
32
87.1%
Q2 - 10:07MILPachulia BLOCK (1 BLK)19
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 10:23ATLWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
14.2%
32
85.8%
Q2 - 10:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
15.4%
30
84.6%
Q2 - 10:37MILMISS Elson 18' Jump Shot19
15.9%
30
84.1%
Q2 - 10:57ATLMurray 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)19
16.9%
30
83.1%
Q2 - 11:13ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q2 - 11:16MILMISS Jefferson 6' Running Jump Shot19
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q2 - 11:22MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q2 - 11:24ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper19
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q2 - 11:45ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q2 - 11:48MILMISS Sessions 8' Turnaround Jump Shot19
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL19
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound19
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Williams 68' 3PT Jump Shot19
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILWilliams STEAL (2 STL)19
20.4%
27
79.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)19
22.1%
27
77.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLHAWKS Rebound19
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Murray 18' Jump Shot19
21.8%
27
78.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILMISS Sessions 4' Running Layup17
18.2%
27
81.8%
Q1 - 0:42.0MILBucks Rebound17
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 0:42.0MILMISS Sessions 11' Jump Shot17
18.1%
27
81.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)17
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 1:13ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
23.1%
24
76.9%
Q1 - 1:16MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot17
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q1 - 1:29MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 1:30ATLMISS Williams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot17
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 1:52MILBucks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)17
23.0%
24
77.0%
Q1 - 2:19ATLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)17
24.7%
24
75.3%
Q1 - 2:27ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 2:28MILMISS Redd 5' Jump Shot17
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 2:45MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.1%
21
69.9%
Q1 - 2:47ATLMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot17
29.6%
21
70.4%
Q1 - 2:55ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
28.6%
21
71.4%
Q1 - 2:57MILMISS Mbah a Moute 19' Jump Shot17
29.0%
21
71.0%
Q1 - 3:09MILElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
30.3%
21
69.7%
Q1 - 3:12ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot17
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q1 - 3:16ATLBibby Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)17
28.4%
21
71.6%
Q1 - 3:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 3:23MILMISS Mbah a Moute Layup17
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:33MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 3:34MILSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)17
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:35MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 3:37MILMISS Gadzuric 18' Jump Shot17
30.9%
20
69.1%
Q1 - 3:50ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)17
32.3%
20
67.7%
Q1 - 3:54MILEvans STEAL (1 STL)17
30.3%
20
69.7%
Q1 - 4:14ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)17
32.2%
20
67.8%
Q1 - 4:14ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 217
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 4:26MILVillanueva 28' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)17
32.1%
19
67.9%
Q1 - 4:38MILBucks Rebound14
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 4:38MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 4:38MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot14
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 4:40MILMISS Ridnour 3' Driving Layup14
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 4:46MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.4%
19
71.6%
Q1 - 4:48ATLMISS Johnson 7' Running Jump Shot14
27.8%
19
72.2%
Q1 - 5:01ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.7%
19
73.3%
Q1 - 5:02MILMISS Redd 20' Jump Shot14
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 5:21ATLBibby 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)14
28.7%
19
71.3%
Q1 - 5:33ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
32.1%
16
67.9%
Q1 - 5:35MILMISS Redd 18' Jump Shot14
32.7%
16
67.3%
Q1 - 5:40MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
34.2%
16
65.8%
Q1 - 5:42ATLMISS Bibby 4' Driving Layup14
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 5:52MILVillanueva 11' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)14
32.1%
16
67.9%
Q1 - 6:04ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
30.2%
16
69.8%
Q1 - 6:18MILRedd 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
33.9%
13
66.1%
Q1 - 6:32MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
32.1%
13
67.9%
Q1 - 6:33ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 110
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 6:36MILSmith STEAL (1 STL)10
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 6:57ATLBibby 3' Running Layup (2 PTS)10
35.9%
11
64.1%
Q1 - 7:02ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 7:04MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot10
38.2%
9
61.8%
Q1 - 7:18ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)10
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 7:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 7:34MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 2 of 210
41.9%
7
58.1%
Q1 - 7:34MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 210
42.8%
7
57.2%
Q1 - 7:40MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.9%
7
56.1%
Q1 - 7:42ATLMISS Bibby 17' Jump Shot10
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 7:50MILWilliams STEAL (1 STL)10
41.6%
7
58.4%
Q1 - 8:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
43.5%
7
56.5%
Q1 - 8:12ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot10
42.9%
7
57.1%
Q1 - 8:26MILJefferson Running Layup (2 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)10
41.5%
7
58.5%
Q1 - 8:30ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:34MILBibby STEAL (1 STL)8
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 8:36MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
39.5%
7
60.5%
Q1 - 8:37ATLMISS Smith 6' Jump Shot8
38.8%
7
61.2%
Q1 - 8:49ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
37.5%
7
62.5%
Q1 - 8:50MILMISS Jefferson 28' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.1%
7
61.9%
Q1 - 9:04ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
39.3%
7
60.7%
Q1 - 9:22MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)8
43.4%
4
56.6%
Q1 - 9:37ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
41.3%
4
58.7%
Q1 - 9:54MILVillanueva 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)6
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:08ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 10:25MILVillanueva 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)4
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 10:43ATLPachulia 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)2
34.0%
4
66.0%
Q1 - 10:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 10:53MILMISS Jefferson 22' Jump Shot2
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 11:10ATLJohnson 6' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)2
36.9%
2
63.1%
Q1 - 11:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
38.4%
0
61.6%
Q1 - 11:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:42MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:43ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
36.4%
0
63.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Pachulia0
35.3%
0
64.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.94 46.8%
ATL
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
9
25
36%
ATL
17
26
65%
Midrange
MIL
11
32
34%
ATL
18
35
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
10
15.0
22
45%
68%
ATL
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
MIL
17
23
74%
ATL
23
30
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva2790%13.5 / 15
M. Redd1650%8.0 / 16
T. Lue857%4.0 / 7
M. Allen880%4.0 / 5
L. Ridnour744%3.5 / 8
J. Alexander650%3.0 / 6
R. Jefferson531%2.5 / 8
L. Mbah a Moute429%2.0 / 7
D. Gadzuric220%1.0 / 5
F. Elson233%1.0 / 3
R. Sessions214%1.0 / 7
D. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Murray2596%12.5 / 13
J. Smith2475%12.0 / 16
M. Evans1882%9.0 / 11
M. Bibby1255%6.0 / 11
M. Williams1169%5.5 / 8
J. Johnson935%4.5 / 13
Z. Pachulia990%4.5 / 5
S. Jones788%3.5 / 4
T. Gardner233%1.0 / 3
O. Hunter0-0.0 / 1
M. West0-0.0 / 1
R. Morris0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
80
+13
-16
93
ATL
80
+9
-14
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
0.94 46.8%
ATL
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
109.2
MIL 90.6 +33.8
ATL 124.5
Pace
93.0
89.8
MIL 95.6 +1.2
ATL 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
15.9
MIL 15.1 +0.2
ATL 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.4%
MIL 44.3%
ATL 61.0% +16.7%
TO %
14.6%
13.6%
MIL 16.0%
ATL 15.1% +0.9%
ORB %
27.9%
26.0%
MIL 20.8% +2.6%
ATL 18.2%
FTrt
30.6
32.3
MIL 29.1
ATL 39.0 +9.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
56.1%
MIL 73.3% +1.2%
ATL 72.1%
STL %
7.9%
8.2%
MIL 8.3%
ATL 12.8% +4.5%
BLK %
6.5%
7.4%
MIL 4.9%
ATL 7.0% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.2%
MIL 46.8%
ATL 64.3% +17.5%
Rim FG%
55.5%
60.5%
MIL 36.0%
ATL 65.4% +29.4%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.2%
MIL 34.4%
ATL 51.4% +17.0%
3P %
36.3%
36.6%
MIL 45.5%
ATL 50.0% +4.5%
FT %
78.0%
73.8%
MIL 73.9%
ATL 76.7% +2.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.2%
MIL 31.6%
ATL 33.8% +2.1%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
42.4%
MIL 40.5% +4.9%
ATL 45.5%
3P Att. %
20.8%
25.3%
MIL 27.8% +7.1%
ATL 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILATL
Possessions9694
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points87117
Rebounds3744
Assists2231
Steals812
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals30-7943-77
At-the-Rim FG9-2517-26
Midrange FG11-3218-35
2-Point FG20-5735-61
3-Point FG10-228-16
Free Throws17-2323-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
32.8
16
50%
3
4
1
0
2
0
1
2
3-4
75%
5-11
45%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
26.7
7
44%
1
4
5
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
26.2
27
90%
7
2
1
0
3
2
0
7
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
5-6
83%
F · 6'7" 233 · 29
21.0
5
31%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
3-4
75%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
13.7
2
20%
3
1
0
0
1
3
2
1
0-2
0%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
29.8
4
29%
10
2
0
2
1
2
4
6
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
26.4
8
57%
0
4
0
0
2
4
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
16.2
6
50%
4
0
0
1
4
0
1
3
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
13.2
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
12.0
8
80%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
11.4
2
14%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-6
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
10.6
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · G · 6'3" 200 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
47%
37
22
8
3
16
0
10
27
17-23
74%
20-57
35%
10-22
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.