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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets24%8991
5Spurs76%9894
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
40.1
26.9
27
60%
2
3
4
1
0
4
0
2
8-8
100%
8-16
4-9
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
39.8
35.0
26
63%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
6-6
100%
7-15
5-11
47%
46%
2-3
67%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
35.8
32.8
15
43%
8
1
1
1
1
0
3
5
1-1
100%
7-17
5-11
41%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.6
20.6
29.5
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
15.8
19.3
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
26.4
25.4
5
36%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
45%
1-2
50%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.5
25.1
14.3
9
92%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
2-3
67%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
24.3
27.6
5
34%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
12.2
12.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
9.9
0
1-2
46%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.0
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
1.3
0
0-0
41%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
35.0
30.8
17
46%
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
5-6
83%
6-15
7-14
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.7
34.5
31.5
30
66%
15
5
0
1
4
4
4
11
4-4
100%
13-21
7-13
62%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
28.2
23.3
11
70%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
27.8
25.5
14
65%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
27.3
20.8
3
30%
8
0
1
1
1
0
3
5
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
1-4
25%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
23.5
20.2
3
75%
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
23.0
25.5
8
47%
3
4
0
1
2
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
21.3
17.3
6
61%
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
13.0
17.5
2
33%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.8
6.3
8.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
58%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
11.7
0
1-2
50%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.7
5.2
0
0-1
45%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.9
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.