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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 23, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Thunder48%93104
30Clippers52%94107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 20.3
45.7
41.8
46
67%
15
4
2
1
1
2
2
13
24-26
92%
8-17
7-15
47%
48%
2-6
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.4
38.1
34.1
14
57%
6
2
0
1
0
4
3
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.2
36.8
34.6
11
40%
3
2
1
2
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-11
5-12
27%
45%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.2
35.0
26.9
4
34%
6
0
0
1
1
2
5
1
0-2
0%
2-5
3-6
40%
53%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 31.3
8.3
29.5
4
100%
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 29.6
35.4
23.8
11
52%
5
2
0
1
0
6
2
3
4-6
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Kyle Weaver
G · 6'6" 201 · 22.9
22.9
16.0
8
67%
5
5
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
2-3
67%
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.5
17.8
22.2
6
43%
6
2
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
7.8
0
2-3
53%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 23.1
4.8
0
0-1
51%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 29.0
4.8
0
0-1
42%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 34.4
0.9
0
0-0
40%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.7
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.4
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 33.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.1
46.7
36.4
34
55%
5
1
1
1
3
1
1
4
6-6
100%
11-26
7-14
42%
48%
2-2
100%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.1
43.6
39.4
41
81%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
12-14
86%
7-12
5-9
58%
50%
5-7
71%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.3
30.0
17.6
1
7%
4
11
2
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-3
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.5
22.9
29.4
3
80%
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
6
1-2
50%
1-1
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
4.3
32.8
2
100%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
4-8
100%
44%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.9
34.9
16.3
12
86%
4
7
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
2-2
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
22.8
20.4
10
63%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
2-5
40%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.3
22.8
0.7
2
14%
8
0
1
0
3
0
4
4
0-0
-
1-7
0-0
14%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.7
12.0
3.4
2
50%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
40%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.7
28.0
1
3-7
48%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.8
15.5
0
2-4
49%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.0
2.3
0
0-1
44%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.