for complete access.
All Games Saturday, January 24, 2009
FinalWin Prob.pScore
3
Magic
69%98
97
25
Heat
31%91
103
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
106.69197.6
MIA logo MIA
115.78983.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)97
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
10.7%
100
89.3%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Cook 13' Hook Shot97
7.5%
100
92.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)97
10.1%
100
89.9%
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)97
23.6%
100
76.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot97
20.2%
100
79.8%
Q4 - 1:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
15.4%
100
84.6%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot97
22.9%
100
77.1%
Q4 - 1:21ORLLee 12' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)97
18.4%
100
81.6%
Q4 - 1:35MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
14.0%
100
86.0%
Q4 - 1:58MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
22.0%
98
78.0%
Q4 - 1:59ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 295
23.3%
98
76.7%
Q4 - 1:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
28.1%
98
71.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)94
23.6%
98
76.4%
Q4 - 2:19ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)94
29.4%
96
70.6%
Q4 - 2:32MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)94
45.8%
96
54.2%
Q4 - 2:47ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
52.6%
94
47.4%
Q4 - 2:58MIAHaslem Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)91
37.1%
94
62.9%
Q4 - 3:17ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)91
44.1%
92
55.9%
Q4 - 3:17ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
42.6%
92
57.4%
Q4 - 3:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
36.9%
92
63.1%
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
32.6%
92
67.4%
Q4 - 3:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
31.9%
92
68.1%
Q4 - 3:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
30.6%
92
69.4%
Q4 - 3:52ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
24.4%
92
75.6%
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot87
22.1%
92
77.9%
Q4 - 4:17ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
17.2%
92
82.8%
Q4 - 4:17ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
16.4%
92
83.6%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)85
12.6%
92
87.4%
Q4 - 4:40ORLTurkoglu Layup (16 PTS)85
23.2%
89
76.8%
Q4 - 4:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)83
17.3%
89
82.7%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 283
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 283
14.0%
89
86.0%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Cook Free Throw Technical83
12.1%
89
87.9%
Q4 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
15.8%
89
84.2%
Q4 - 5:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
12.5%
89
87.5%
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup81
11.4%
89
88.6%
Q4 - 5:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
9.1%
89
90.9%
Q4 - 5:30ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
10.0%
89
90.0%
Q4 - 5:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
12.3%
89
87.7%
Q4 - 5:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
13.2%
88
86.8%
Q4 - 6:08ORLHoward Layup (21 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)81
20.8%
87
79.2%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)79
16.3%
87
83.7%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
12.3%
87
87.7%
Q4 - 6:45ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
13.4%
87
86.6%
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)79
16.1%
87
83.9%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
24.2%
85
75.8%
Q4 - 7:09ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup79
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q4 - 7:15ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
30.0%
85
70.0%
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot79
28.1%
85
71.9%
Q4 - 7:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
24.0%
85
76.0%
Q4 - 7:35ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
25.7%
85
74.3%
Q4 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
29.9%
85
70.1%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot79
28.0%
85
72.0%
Q4 - 8:06ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
27.9%
85
72.1%
Q4 - 8:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
18.4%
85
81.6%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade 14' Running Jump Shot76
17.3%
85
82.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
14.9%
85
85.1%
Q4 - 8:31ORLMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot76
15.9%
85
84.1%
Q4 - 8:44ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
18.3%
85
81.7%
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot76
17.2%
85
82.8%
Q4 - 9:08ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
17.7%
85
82.3%
Q4 - 9:08ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 275
17.1%
85
82.9%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMagic Rebound75
17.4%
85
82.6%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot75
16.4%
85
83.6%
Q4 - 10:13MIAHEAT Rebound73
11.1%
85
88.9%
Q4 - 10:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
13.5%
85
86.5%
Q4 - 10:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
13.9%
84
86.1%
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw Technical73
16.5%
83
83.5%
Q4 - 10:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
16.4%
83
83.6%
Q4 - 10:37ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup73
17.3%
83
82.7%
Q4 - 10:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.6%
83
81.4%
Q4 - 11:06ORLHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)73
18.6%
83
81.4%
Q4 - 11:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
15.4%
83
84.6%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot71
14.6%
83
85.4%
Q4 - 11:36ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)71
12.8%
83
87.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL68
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound68
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot68
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Quinn 16' Fadeaway Jumper68
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
9.9%
83
90.1%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot68
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
9.8%
83
90.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q3 - 1:12MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)68
10.8%
83
89.2%
Q3 - 1:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
15.5%
80
84.5%
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
16.2%
80
83.8%
Q3 - 1:35MIACook 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
17.9%
80
82.1%
Q3 - 1:44MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
21.3%
78
78.7%
Q3 - 1:45ORLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)68
26.8%
78
73.2%
Q3 - 2:27ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
34.6%
75
65.4%
Q3 - 2:27ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
33.9%
75
66.1%
Q3 - 2:46MIACook 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
30.3%
75
69.7%
Q3 - 3:12ORLBogans Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
36.9%
73
63.1%
Q3 - 3:23ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
41.4%
73
58.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot66
39.9%
73
60.1%
Q3 - 3:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
36.7%
73
63.3%
Q3 - 3:44ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot66
38.1%
73
61.9%
Q3 - 4:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
42.4%
73
57.6%
Q3 - 4:06ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup66
39.0%
73
61.0%
Q3 - 4:26MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)66
42.4%
73
57.6%
Q3 - 4:42ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS)66
50.4%
70
49.6%
Q3 - 4:43ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q3 - 4:44ORLMISS Cook 12' Jump Shot64
43.2%
70
56.8%
Q3 - 4:53ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup64
45.2%
70
54.8%
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
43.0%
70
57.0%
Q3 - 5:06ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot64
44.4%
70
55.6%
Q3 - 5:17MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
47.6%
70
52.4%
Q3 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound64
51.2%
68
48.8%
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Cook Driving Layup64
52.7%
68
47.3%
Q3 - 5:51ORLMagic Rebound64
55.9%
68
44.1%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot64
54.5%
68
45.5%
Q3 - 6:13ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)64
52.7%
68
47.3%
Q3 - 6:35ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
48.9%
68
51.1%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
48.3%
68
51.7%
Q3 - 6:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
45.6%
68
54.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHEAT Rebound62
48.5%
67
51.5%
Q3 - 6:48ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
49.9%
67
50.1%
Q3 - 7:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
53.6%
67
46.4%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
53.1%
67
46.9%
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
50.5%
67
49.5%
Q3 - 7:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)62
53.4%
66
46.6%
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)59
45.9%
66
54.1%
Q3 - 7:49ORLCook Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
49.5%
64
50.5%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
54.1%
64
45.9%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
54.9%
63
45.1%
Q3 - 8:15ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)59
57.5%
62
42.5%
Q3 - 8:35ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
61.4%
62
38.6%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
60.2%
62
39.8%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
57.5%
62
42.5%
Q3 - 8:50ORLMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot59
58.7%
62
41.3%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
61.9%
62
38.1%
Q3 - 9:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)59
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 9:39MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
58.3%
60
41.7%
Q3 - 9:54ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
61.7%
58
38.3%
Q3 - 10:14ORLMagic Rebound54
59.1%
58
40.9%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot54
58.0%
58
42.0%
Q3 - 10:38ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
55.5%
58
44.5%
Q3 - 10:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
52.0%
58
48.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Magloire 7' Turnaround Hook Shot52
50.9%
58
49.1%
Q3 - 11:09MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 11:10ORLMISS Lewis Tip Shot52
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 11:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
53.4%
58
46.6%
Q3 - 11:12ORLMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot52
50.8%
58
49.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
53.3%
58
46.7%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
54.6%
57
45.4%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Chalmers Layup52
59.0%
56
41.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLBattie 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)52
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)50
53.8%
56
46.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLHoward Slam Dunk (14 PTS)50
57.9%
54
42.1%
Q2 - 1:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot48
53.9%
54
46.1%
Q2 - 1:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
52.2%
54
47.8%
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot48
52.9%
54
47.1%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
54.6%
54
45.4%
Q2 - 1:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
58.7%
52
41.3%
Q2 - 1:35ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
59.4%
52
40.6%
Q2 - 1:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
60.9%
52
39.1%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot48
60.2%
52
39.8%
Q2 - 1:58ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T7)48
58.6%
52
41.4%
Q2 - 2:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
62.1%
52
37.9%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot48
61.2%
52
38.8%
Q2 - 2:28ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (7 PTS)48
59.0%
52
41.0%
Q2 - 2:45MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
55.9%
52
44.1%
Q2 - 3:00ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)46
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
53.9%
50
46.1%
Q2 - 3:32ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)43
56.4%
48
43.6%
Q2 - 3:53ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
60.0%
48
40.0%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
58.9%
48
41.1%
Q2 - 4:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
57.4%
48
42.6%
Q2 - 4:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
58.3%
48
41.7%
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
60.5%
48
39.5%
Q2 - 4:27ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)43
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 4:46MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)43
66.1%
46
33.9%
Q2 - 5:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
64.1%
46
35.9%
Q2 - 5:04ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 243
64.4%
46
35.6%
Q2 - 5:04ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)43
66.4%
46
33.6%
Q2 - 5:20MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T2)42
64.0%
46
36.0%
Q2 - 5:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
61.3%
46
38.7%
Q2 - 5:27ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot42
62.1%
46
37.9%
Q2 - 5:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
63.9%
46
36.1%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot42
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 5:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup42
63.1%
46
36.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
61.2%
46
38.8%
Q2 - 5:59ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
62.0%
46
38.0%
Q2 - 6:17MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
64.3%
46
35.7%
Q2 - 6:17MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
64.9%
45
35.1%
Q2 - 6:33ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)42
66.5%
44
33.5%
Q2 - 6:44MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
61.6%
44
38.4%
Q2 - 7:04ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)39
64.7%
42
35.3%
Q2 - 7:25MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
59.4%
42
40.6%
Q2 - 7:32MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
62.0%
40
38.0%
Q2 - 7:33ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot36
62.8%
40
37.2%
Q2 - 7:40ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
64.7%
40
35.3%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot36
63.9%
40
36.1%
Q2 - 7:56ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
61.9%
40
38.1%
Q2 - 7:56ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
61.6%
40
38.4%
Q2 - 8:00ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
59.4%
40
40.6%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot34
59.2%
40
40.8%
Q2 - 8:15ORLLewis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
54.6%
40
45.4%
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
55.2%
39
44.8%
Q2 - 8:57MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
57.3%
38
42.7%
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot32
59.1%
38
40.9%
Q2 - 9:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
57.6%
38
42.4%
Q2 - 9:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot32
58.4%
38
41.6%
Q2 - 9:23MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
60.2%
38
39.8%
Q2 - 9:23MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
60.8%
37
39.2%
Q2 - 9:40ORLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)32
62.7%
36
37.3%
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
57.6%
36
42.4%
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
58.2%
35
41.8%
Q2 - 10:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
61.3%
34
38.7%
Q2 - 10:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot29
62.3%
34
37.7%
Q2 - 10:40ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 10:55MIACook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
63.1%
34
36.9%
Q2 - 11:16ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
65.4%
32
34.6%
Q2 - 11:32ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
67.0%
32
33.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
65.4%
32
34.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Rebound29
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Jump Shot29
66.6%
32
33.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 129
67.5%
32
32.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
70.3%
30
29.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
67.7%
30
32.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)27
70.2%
28
29.8%
Q1 - 1:18MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS)25
68.1%
28
31.9%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
70.8%
26
29.2%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot25
71.7%
26
28.3%
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
70.7%
26
29.3%
Q1 - 1:38ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot25
71.2%
26
28.8%
Q1 - 1:58MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
72.1%
26
27.9%
Q1 - 2:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
74.4%
24
25.6%
Q1 - 2:19ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
74.9%
24
25.1%
Q1 - 2:30MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)25
75.8%
24
24.2%
Q1 - 2:50ORLRedick Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)25
79.4%
21
20.6%
Q1 - 2:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
77.5%
21
22.5%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Magloire Layup23
77.1%
21
22.9%
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
76.4%
21
23.6%
Q1 - 3:02ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)23
76.9%
21
23.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
77.9%
21
22.1%
Q1 - 3:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
79.5%
19
20.5%
Q1 - 3:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
78.9%
19
21.1%
Q1 - 3:36MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
77.9%
19
22.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
79.5%
17
20.5%
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 221
79.7%
17
20.3%
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
80.4%
17
19.6%
Q1 - 4:00MIAChalmers 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
80.9%
17
19.1%
Q1 - 4:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
82.1%
15
17.9%
Q1 - 4:24ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
82.5%
15
17.5%
Q1 - 4:36ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
83.5%
15
16.5%
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
82.5%
15
17.5%
Q1 - 4:41ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
83.5%
15
16.5%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
83.1%
15
16.9%
Q1 - 4:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
82.1%
15
17.9%
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot21
83.1%
15
16.9%
Q1 - 5:08ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
81.6%
15
18.4%
Q1 - 5:08ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
81.4%
15
18.6%
Q1 - 5:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
80.4%
15
19.6%
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot19
79.9%
15
20.1%
Q1 - 5:33ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS)19
78.8%
15
21.2%
Q1 - 5:44ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
77.6%
15
22.4%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
77.1%
15
22.9%
Q1 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
76.2%
15
23.8%
Q1 - 6:02ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Bank Shot17
76.7%
15
23.3%
Q1 - 6:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
77.7%
15
22.3%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot17
77.3%
15
22.7%
Q1 - 6:31ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)17
76.1%
15
23.9%
Q1 - 6:41MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
74.6%
15
25.4%
Q1 - 7:04ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)15
76.3%
13
23.7%
Q1 - 7:13ORLNelson Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
73.3%
13
26.7%
Q1 - 7:13ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 211
73.0%
13
27.0%
Q1 - 7:14MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
71.6%
13
28.4%
Q1 - 7:28ORLLee 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
69.6%
13
30.4%
Q1 - 7:37MIADiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)9
68.0%
13
32.0%
Q1 - 7:59ORLLewis Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
71.4%
10
28.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical7
70.0%
10
30.0%
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)7
70.0%
10
30.0%
Q1 - 8:22ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)7
71.8%
8
28.2%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
73.4%
8
26.6%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
73.8%
7
26.2%
Q1 - 8:57ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
75.0%
6
25.0%
Q1 - 9:07MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
76.9%
6
23.1%
Q1 - 9:24ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)7
78.4%
4
21.6%
Q1 - 9:35MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
75.5%
4
24.5%
Q1 - 10:02ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
76.8%
2
23.2%
Q1 - 10:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
75.6%
2
24.4%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
75.2%
2
24.8%
Q1 - 10:54ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
74.2%
2
25.8%
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
73.2%
2
26.8%
Q1 - 11:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
74.4%
0
25.6%
Q1 - 11:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot0
74.8%
0
25.2%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis0
75.7%
0
24.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.7%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
18
72%
MIA
11
19
58%
Midrange
ORL
11
26
42%
MIA
21
45
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
22
28
79%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2279%11.0 / 14
R. Lewis2166%10.5 / 16
H. Turkoglu1860%9.0 / 15
J. Nelson1662%8.0 / 13
C. Lee739%3.5 / 9
J. Redick450%2.0 / 4
A. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
K. Bogans250%1.0 / 2
T. Battie2100%1.0 / 1
B. Cook0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2756%13.5 / 24
M. Chalmers2077%10.0 / 13
U. Haslem1267%6.0 / 9
M. Beasley1050%5.0 / 10
C. Quinn1083%5.0 / 6
D. Cook844%4.0 / 9
M. Blount744%3.5 / 8
J. Magloire433%2.0 / 6
Y. Diawara338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+7
-14
84
MIA
85
+6
-4
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.7%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
107.6
ORL 106.6
MIA 115.7 +9.1
Pace
92.5
90.2
ORL 97.6 +13.8
MIA 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.3
ORL 14.8 +2.4
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.0%
ORL 54.3% +3.7%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
ORL 14.7%
MIA 4.2% +10.5%
ORB %
24.1%
24.6%
ORL 14.3%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
35.1
28.2
ORL 40.6
MIA 41.0 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
55.1%
ORL 51.5% +8.3%
MIA 43.2%
STL %
7.5%
8.7%
ORL 1.1%
MIA 3.4% +2.3%
BLK %
8.0%
9.2%
ORL 6.3% +4.0%
MIA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.6%
ORL 57.7% +1.7%
MIA 56.0%
Rim FG%
60.9%
59.5%
ORL 72.2% +14.3%
MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.8%
ORL 42.3%
MIA 46.7% +4.4%
3P %
38.1%
35.7%
ORL 36.0% +0.3%
MIA 35.7%
FT %
71.5%
75.4%
ORL 78.6% +3.6%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
30.3%
ORL 26.1% +1.7%
MIA 24.4%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
45.2%
ORL 37.7% +20.0%
MIA 57.7%
3P Att. %
33.5%
24.5%
ORL 36.2% +18.3%
MIA 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes22.425.5
Points97103
Rebounds4136
Assists1716
Steals13
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)4 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals33-6937-78
At-the-Rim FG13-1811-19
Midrange FG11-2621-45
2-Point FG24-4432-64
3-Point FG9-255-14
Free Throws22-2824-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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3 Orlando Magic
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
40.1
18
60%
6
6
0
0
3
2
0
6
5-5
100%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
37.7
22
79%
10
0
0
3
2
5
0
10
4-7
57%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
37.0
21
66%
8
2
0
1
2
3
3
5
6-8
75%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
34.8
16
62%
4
7
1
0
3
2
0
4
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
3-6
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
33.0
7
39%
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
13.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
11.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
10.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
7.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
Jeremy Richardson
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mike Wilks
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Mickael Pietrus
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
58%
41
17
1
4
14
0
5
36
22-28
79%
24-44
55%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.