Final Win Prob. pScore
369%98
97
2531%91
103
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
106.69197.6
MIA logo Heat
115.78983.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL97
103
Q4 - 0:01.0MIACook Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)97
103
Q4 - 0:01.0MIACook Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)97
102
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)97
101
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Howard97
100
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLHoward Ejection:Second Technical97
100
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLHoward T.FOUL (P5.PN)97
100
Q4 - 0:01.0ORLLewis P.FOUL (P3.PN)97
100
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLChalmers STEAL (3 STL)97
100
Q4 - 0:14.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)97
100
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Cook 13' Hook Shot97
100
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)97
100
Q4 - 0:54.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)97
100
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot97
100
Q4 - 1:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
100
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot97
100
Q4 - 1:21ORLLee 12' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)97
100
Q4 - 1:35MIAChalmers 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
100
Q4 - 1:58MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
98
Q4 - 1:59ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 295
98
Q4 - 1:59ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
98
Q4 - 1:59MIABlount P.FOUL (P2.PN)94
98
Q4 - 2:01ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)94
98
Q4 - 2:08MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)94
98
Q4 - 2:19ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)94
96
Q4 - 2:32MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)94
96
Q4 - 2:46MIASUB: Blount FOR Magloire94
94
Q4 - 2:46ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)94
94
Q4 - 2:46MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)94
94
Q4 - 2:47ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
94
Q4 - 2:58MIAHaslem Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)91
94
Q4 - 3:17ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)91
92
Q4 - 3:17ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
92
Q4 - 3:17MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.PN)89
92
Q4 - 3:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
92
Q4 - 3:18MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
92
Q4 - 3:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
92
Q4 - 3:39ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
92
Q4 - 3:39MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T4)87
92
Q4 - 3:52ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
92
Q4 - 3:53MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot87
92
Q4 - 4:17ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
92
Q4 - 4:17ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
92
Q4 - 4:17MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P3.T3)85
92
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)85
92
Q4 - 4:25ORLLee S.FOUL (P2.PN)85
91
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 4:40ORLTurkoglu Layup (16 PTS)85
89
Q4 - 4:54ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)83
89
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 2 of 283
89
Q4 - 4:55MIAHEAT Rebound83
89
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Magloire Free Throw 1 of 283
89
Q4 - 4:55MIAHEAT Rebound83
89
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Cook Free Throw Technical83
89
Q4 - 4:55ORLHoward T.FOUL (P5.PN)83
89
Q4 - 4:55ORLHoward S.FOUL (P5.PN)83
89
Q4 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
89
Q4 - 5:12ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
89
Q4 - 5:12MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T2)81
89
Q4 - 5:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
89
Q4 - 5:16MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup81
89
Q4 - 5:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)81
89
Q4 - 5:30ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
89
Q4 - 5:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
89
Q4 - 5:42MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
88
Q4 - 5:4281
87
Q4 - 5:42ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T4)81
87
Q4 - 6:08ORLHoward Layup (21 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)81
87
Q4 - 6:32MIASUB: Cook FOR Diawara79
87
Q4 - 6:32MIAMagloire Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)79
87
Q4 - 6:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)79
87
Q4 - 6:45ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
87
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade Driving Layup (24 PTS)79
87
Q4 - 7:08MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
85
Q4 - 7:09ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup79
85
Q4 - 7:15ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
85
Q4 - 7:16MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot79
85
Q4 - 7:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
85
Q4 - 7:35ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
85
Q4 - 7:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)79
85
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot79
85
Q4 - 8:06ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)79
85
Q4 - 8:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
85
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Wade 14' Running Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 8:30MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)76
85
Q4 - 8:31ORLMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 8:44ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
85
Q4 - 8:45MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot76
85
Q4 - 9:08ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)76
85
Q4 - 9:08ORLMagic Rebound75
85
Q4 - 9:08ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 275
85
Q4 - 9:08MIASUB: Haslem FOR Quinn75
85
Q4 - 9:08MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Beasley75
85
Q4 - 9:08MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook75
85
Q4 - 9:08ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Johnson75
85
Q4 - 9:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
85
Q4 - 9:08MIABeasley S.FOUL (P3.T1)75
85
Q4 - 9:32ORLMagic Rebound75
85
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot75
85
Q4 - 9:51ORLLewis 8' Hook Shot (20 PTS)75
85
Q4 - 10:13MIAHEAT Rebound73
85
Q4 - 10:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
85
Q4 - 10:13MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
84
Q4 - 10:13MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw Technical73
83
Q4 - 10:13ORLJohnson T.FOUL (P4.T3)73
83
Q4 - 10:13ORLJohnson P.FOUL (P4.T3)73
83
Q4 - 10:25ORLJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2)73
83
Q4 - 10:28MIASUB: Magloire FOR Blount73
83
Q4 - 10:28ORLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T1)73
83
Q4 - 10:36MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
83
Q4 - 10:37ORLMISS Lee Driving Layup73
83
Q4 - 10:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
83
Q4 - 10:45MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
83
Q4 - 11:06ORLHoward 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (19 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)73
83
Q4 - 11:13ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
83
Q4 - 11:14MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot71
83
Q4 - 11:36ORLLee 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)71
83
Q4 - 12:0068
83
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL68
83
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound68
83
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot68
83
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
83
Q3 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Quinn 16' Fadeaway Jumper68
83
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)68
83
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
83
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Beasley 15' Jump Shot68
83
Q3 - 0:52.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
83
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
83
Q3 - 0:56.0ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
83
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
83
Q3 - 1:12MIABlount 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)68
83
Q3 - 1:22MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
80
Q3 - 1:23ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
80
Q3 - 1:35MIACook 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)68
80
Q3 - 1:44MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
78
Q3 - 1:45ORLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
78
Q3 - 2:03MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)68
78
Q3 - 2:27ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)68
75
Q3 - 2:27ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)67
75
Q3 - 2:27ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Cook66
75
Q3 - 2:27ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson66
75
Q3 - 2:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)66
75
Q3 - 2:27MIADiawara P.FOUL (P3.PN)66
75
Q3 - 2:46MIACook 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)66
75
Q3 - 3:12MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade66
73
Q3 - 3:12MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem66
73
Q3 - 3:12ORLBogans Foul Turnover (P1.T10)66
73
Q3 - 3:12ORLBogans OFF.Foul (P2)66
73
Q3 - 3:23ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
73
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot66
73
Q3 - 3:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
73
Q3 - 3:44ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot66
73
Q3 - 4:04ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)66
73
Q3 - 4:06ORLMISS Lewis Driving Layup66
73
Q3 - 4:26MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)66
73
Q3 - 4:42ORLGortat Layup (2 PTS)66
70
Q3 - 4:43ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
70
Q3 - 4:44ORLMISS Cook 12' Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 4:53ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
70
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup64
70
Q3 - 5:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
70
Q3 - 5:06ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot64
70
Q3 - 5:17MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
70
Q3 - 5:31MIAHEAT Rebound64
68
Q3 - 5:32ORLMISS Cook Driving Layup64
68
Q3 - 5:51ORLMagic Rebound64
68
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot64
68
Q3 - 6:13ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)64
68
Q3 - 6:23MIASUB: Blount FOR Magloire62
68
Q3 - 6:23MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.T4)62
68
Q3 - 6:35ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
68
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
68
Q3 - 6:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)62
68
Q3 - 6:36ORLBogans P.FOUL (P1.PN)62
67
Q3 - 6:47ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Turkoglu62
67
Q3 - 6:47ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Howard62
67
Q3 - 6:47MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers62
67
Q3 - 6:47ORLMagic Violation: Delay of game Violation62
67
Q3 - 6:47ORLHoward L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)62
67
Q3 - 6:47MIAHEAT Rebound62
67
Q3 - 6:48ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
67
Q3 - 7:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
67
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
67
Q3 - 7:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)62
67
Q3 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P2.T3)62
66
Q3 - 7:23ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)62
66
Q3 - 7:23ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Lee61
66
Q3 - 7:23MIADiawara S.FOUL (P2.T3)61
66
Q3 - 7:23ORLTurkoglu 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
66
Q3 - 7:33MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)59
66
Q3 - 7:49ORLCook Foul Turnover (P1.T9)59
64
Q3 - 7:49ORLCook OFF.Foul (P1)59
64
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
64
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
63
Q3 - 8:05ORLHoward S.FOUL (P3.T2)59
62
Q3 - 8:15ORLNelson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)59
62
Q3 - 8:35ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
62
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 8:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
62
Q3 - 8:50ORLMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)59
62
Q3 - 9:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 9:28MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.T2)58
60
Q3 - 9:28ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)58
60
Q3 - 9:39MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)56
60
Q3 - 9:54ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 10:03MIADiawara P.FOUL (P1.T1)54
58
Q3 - 10:14ORLMagic Rebound54
58
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 10:38ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (9 PTS)54
58
Q3 - 10:48ORLSUB: Cook FOR Lewis52
58
Q3 - 10:48ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)52
58
Q3 - 10:53ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
58
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Magloire 7' Turnaround Hook Shot52
58
Q3 - 11:09MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
58
Q3 - 11:10ORLMISS Lewis Tip Shot52
58
Q3 - 11:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
58
Q3 - 11:12ORLMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot52
58
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
58
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)52
57
Q3 - 11:35ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T1)52
56
Q3 - 11:35MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)52
56
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Chalmers Layup52
56
Q3 - 12:0052
56
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
56
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL52
56
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLBattie 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)52
56
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAHaslem 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)50
56
Q2 - 0:46.0ORLHoward Slam Dunk (14 PTS)50
54
Q2 - 1:01ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
54
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot48
54
Q2 - 1:14MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
54
Q2 - 1:15ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot48
54
Q2 - 1:27MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)48
54
Q2 - 1:34MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
52
Q2 - 1:35ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 1:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
52
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 1:58ORLSUB: Battie FOR Lewis48
52
Q2 - 1:58ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
52
Q2 - 1:58ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T7)48
52
Q2 - 1:58ORLTurkoglu OFF.Foul (P1)48
52
Q2 - 2:06ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
52
Q2 - 2:07MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot48
52
Q2 - 2:28ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (7 PTS)48
52
Q2 - 2:45MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)46
52
Q2 - 3:00ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)46
50
Q2 - 3:17MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)43
50
Q2 - 3:32ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)43
48
Q2 - 3:37MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley43
48
Q2 - 3:37MIAWade P.FOUL (P2.T3)43
48
Q2 - 3:53ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
48
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
48
Q2 - 4:05MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
48
Q2 - 4:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
48
Q2 - 4:19MIAWade Driving Layup (12 PTS)43
48
Q2 - 4:27ORLLewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)43
46
Q2 - 4:46MIABlount Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)43
46
Q2 - 5:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
46
Q2 - 5:04ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 2 of 243
46
Q2 - 5:04ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)43
46
Q2 - 5:04MIABeasley IN.FOUL (P2.T2)42
46
Q2 - 5:20ORLSUB: Howard FOR Gortat42
46
Q2 - 5:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
46
Q2 - 5:20MIABlount Foul Turnover (P1.T2)42
46
Q2 - 5:20MIABlount OFF.Foul (P1)42
46
Q2 - 5:26MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
46
Q2 - 5:27ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 5:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
46
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 5:46MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
46
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup42
46
Q2 - 5:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
46
Q2 - 5:59ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
46
Q2 - 6:17MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)42
46
Q2 - 6:17MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
45
Q2 - 6:17ORLSUB: Lee FOR Redick42
44
Q2 - 6:17MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn42
44
Q2 - 6:17MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones42
44
Q2 - 6:17ORLLewis P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
44
Q2 - 6:33ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)42
44
Q2 - 6:44MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
44
Q2 - 7:04ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)39
42
Q2 - 7:25MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
42
Q2 - 7:32MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
40
Q2 - 7:33ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 7:40ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
40
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot36
40
Q2 - 7:56ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
40
Q2 - 7:56ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
40
Q2 - 7:56ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Johnson34
40
Q2 - 7:56MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
40
Q2 - 8:00ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
40
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Blount 5' Jump Shot34
40
Q2 - 8:15ORLLewis 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
40
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
40
Q2 - 8:38MIASUB: Blount FOR Magloire32
39
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 8:38ORLLewis S.FOUL (P1.PN)32
38
Q2 - 8:50ORLSUB: Gortat FOR Battie32
38
Q2 - 8:50ORLSUB: Lewis FOR Howard32
38
Q2 - 8:5032
38
Q2 - 8:50ORLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T4)32
38
Q2 - 8:57MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
38
Q2 - 8:58MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 9:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
38
Q2 - 9:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 9:23MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 9:23MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
37
Q2 - 9:23ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T3)32
36
Q2 - 9:29ORLBattie P.FOUL (P2.T2)32
36
Q2 - 9:40ORLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)32
36
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)29
36
Q2 - 9:57MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
35
Q2 - 9:57ORLBattie S.FOUL (P1.T1)29
34
Q2 - 10:13MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
34
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
34
Q2 - 10:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
34
Q2 - 10:25MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot29
34
Q2 - 10:40ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
34
Q2 - 10:55MIACook 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
34
Q2 - 11:16ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)29
32
Q2 - 11:32ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32
Q2 - 11:33MIAMISS Jones 28' 3PT Jump Shot29
32
Q2 - 12:0029
32
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL29
32
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Rebound29
32
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Jump Shot29
32
Q1 - 0:11.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
32
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 129
32
Q1 - 0:12.0ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T3)29
32
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)29
32
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
30
Q1 - 0:38.0MIABeasley Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
30
Q1 - 0:58.0ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)27
28
Q1 - 1:18MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS)25
28
Q1 - 1:20MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
26
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot25
26
Q1 - 1:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
26
Q1 - 1:38ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot25
26
Q1 - 1:52MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem25
26
Q1 - 1:52ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Lee25
26
Q1 - 1:52ORLSUB: Battie FOR Lewis25
26
Q1 - 1:52ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)25
26
Q1 - 1:58MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
26
Q1 - 2:18MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
24
Q1 - 2:19ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
24
Q1 - 2:30MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)25
24
Q1 - 2:50ORLRedick Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)25
21
Q1 - 2:52ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
21
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Magloire Layup23
21
Q1 - 3:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
21
Q1 - 3:02ORLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)23
21
Q1 - 3:18MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation23
21
Q1 - 3:23MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 3:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
19
Q1 - 3:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
19
Q1 - 3:32MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
19
Q1 - 3:36MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 221
17
Q1 - 3:48ORLMagic Rebound21
17
Q1 - 3:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 221
17
Q1 - 3:48ORLSUB: Johnson FOR Nelson21
17
Q1 - 3:48MIAWade P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
17
Q1 - 4:00MIAChalmers 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
17
Q1 - 4:11ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T2)21
15
Q1 - 4:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15
Q1 - 4:24ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15
Q1 - 4:36ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
15
Q1 - 4:37ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15
Q1 - 4:41ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
15
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
15
Q1 - 4:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
15
Q1 - 4:50MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot21
15
Q1 - 5:08ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
15
Q1 - 5:08ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
15
Q1 - 5:08MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T4)19
15
Q1 - 5:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15
Q1 - 5:14MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot19
15
Q1 - 5:26MIASUB: Cook FOR Diawara19
15
Q1 - 5:26MIASUB: Magloire FOR Anthony19
15
Q1 - 5:26ORLSUB: Redick FOR Turkoglu19
15
Q1 - 5:26MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)19
15
Q1 - 5:33ORLHoward Layup (8 PTS)19
15
Q1 - 5:44ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
15
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15
Q1 - 6:02ORLMISS Howard 6' Jump Bank Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
15
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot17
15
Q1 - 6:31ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)17
15
Q1 - 6:41MIAChalmers 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
15
Q1 - 7:04ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)15
13
Q1 - 7:13ORLNelson Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 7:13ORLMagic Rebound11
13
Q1 - 7:13ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 211
13
Q1 - 7:13MIAChalmers C.P.FOUL (P1.T3)11
13
Q1 - 7:14MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
13
Q1 - 7:28ORLLee 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 7:37MIADiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)9
13
Q1 - 7:59ORLLewis Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 8:10ORLMagic Rebound7
10
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw Technical7
10
Q1 - 8:107
10
Q1 - 8:17MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)7
10
Q1 - 8:22ORLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)7
8
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
8
Q1 - 8:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 8:42ORLLee S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
6
Q1 - 8:57ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
6
Q1 - 9:07MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
6
Q1 - 9:24ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)7
4
Q1 - 9:35MIAAnthony 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:02ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
2
Q1 - 10:10MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)2
2
Q1 - 10:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Wade 28' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:54ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:01MIAAnthony P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:18MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:36ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Howard: Tip to Lewis0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.7%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
18
72%
MIA
11
19
58%
Midrange
ORL
11
26
42%
MIA
21
45
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
22
28
79%
MIA
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2279%11.0 / 14
R. Lewis2166%10.5 / 16
H. Turkoglu1860%9.0 / 15
J. Nelson1662%8.0 / 13
C. Lee739%3.5 / 9
J. Redick450%2.0 / 4
A. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
M. Gortat2100%1.0 / 1
K. Bogans250%1.0 / 2
T. Battie2100%1.0 / 1
B. Cook0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2756%13.5 / 24
M. Chalmers2077%10.0 / 13
U. Haslem1267%6.0 / 9
M. Beasley1050%5.0 / 10
C. Quinn1083%5.0 / 6
D. Cook844%4.0 / 9
M. Blount744%3.5 / 8
J. Magloire433%2.0 / 6
Y. Diawara338%1.5 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
77
+7
-14
84
MIA
85
+6
-4
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.15 57.7%
MIA
1.12 56.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.0
107.6
ORL 106.6
MIA 115.7 +9.1
Pace
92.5
90.2
ORL 97.6 +13.8
MIA 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.3
ORL 14.8 −2.4
MIA 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.0%
50.0%
ORL 54.3% +3.7%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
14.6%
13.1%
ORL 14.7%
MIA 4.2% −10.5%
ORB %
24.1%
24.6%
ORL 14.3%
MIA 14.3%
FTrt
35.1
28.2
ORL 40.6
MIA 41.0 +0.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
55.1%
ORL 51.5% +8.3%
MIA 43.2%
STL %
7.5%
8.7%
ORL 1.1%
MIA 3.4% +2.3%
BLK %
8.0%
9.2%
ORL 6.3% +4.0%
MIA 2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
52.6%
ORL 57.7% +1.7%
MIA 56.0%
Rim FG%
60.9%
59.5%
ORL 72.2% +14.3%
MIA 57.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.8%
ORL 42.3%
MIA 46.7% +4.4%
3P %
38.1%
35.7%
ORL 36.0% +0.3%
MIA 35.7%
FT %
71.5%
75.4%
ORL 78.6% +3.6%
MIA 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
30.3%
ORL 26.1% +1.7%
MIA 24.4%
Mid Att. %
35.2%
45.2%
ORL 37.7% −20.0%
MIA 57.7%
3P Att. %
33.5%
24.5%
ORL 36.2% +18.3%
MIA 17.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes22.425.5
Points97103
Rebounds4136
Assists1716
Steals13
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)4 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (3)30 (3)
Field Goals33-6937-78
At-the-Rim FG13-1811-19
Midrange FG11-2621-45
2-Point FG24-4432-64
3-Point FG9-255-14
Free Throws22-2824-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 30
40.1
18
60%
6
6
0
0
3
2
0
6
5-5
100%
5-9
56%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
37.7
22
79%
10
0
0
3
2
5
0
10
4-7
57%
9-11
82%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 29
37.0
21
66%
8
2
0
1
2
3
3
5
6-8
75%
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 27
34.8
16
62%
4
7
1
0
3
2
0
4
5-6
83%
1-5
20%
3-6
50%
G · 6'5" 200 · 23
33.0
7
39%
5
2
0
0
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 195 · 34
13.2
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
11.2
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 25
10.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28
8.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 29
7.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
7.0
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 270 · 34
#32 · G-F · 6'7" 195 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#29 · G · 5'10" 180 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'6" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
58%
41
17
1
4
14
0
5
36
22-28
79%
24-44
55%
9-25
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.