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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings35%100104
21Bucks65%105106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
42.0
35.7
7
35%
3
4
3
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-8
4-8
25%
49%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
39.7
36.4
20
75%
1
1
0
1
0
6
0
1
11-12
92%
3-4
5-11
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
35.7
30.2
12
51%
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
2-4
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
33.6
26.4
14
57%
13
9
1
1
0
1
1
12
3-3
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
1-1
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
28.8
26.7
16
74%
9
0
0
1
1
2
3
6
4-4
100%
6-9
4-8
67%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
29.9
21.5
19
55%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
3-5
60%
5-8
2-5
63%
48%
2-7
29%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
12.3
14.4
6
51%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
11.9
19.6
6
61%
5
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
6.1
8.1
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
4.9
0
0-1
55%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
4.4
0
0-1
42%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
46.3
28.5
20
46%
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-6
67%
8-15
4-8
53%
50%
0-4
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
30.4
26.7
7
32%
4
8
0
1
3
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
26.5
34.9
14
60%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
5-8
5-10
63%
51%
0-2
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
22.2
28.5
18
63%
10
1
0
1
0
1
5
5
3-3
100%
6-11
6-11
55%
51%
1-2
50%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
10.2
15.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
34.6
12.2
10
42%
12
2
5
0
2
2
6
6
0-2
0%
5-11
1-3
45%
47%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
25.0
16.0
14
56%
5
3
0
1
0
1
2
3
6-8
75%
4-9
2-5
44%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
18.1
24.7
13
72%
9
2
1
1
0
1
3
6
5-7
71%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
17.3
15.4
5
63%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
9.5
12.9
5
64%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
12.1
0
2-3
52%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
8.0
0
0-1
43%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.