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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 24, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards25%9187
12Trail Blazers75%99100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
38.5
36.7
31
78%
10
5
1
2
0
9
3
7
10-11
91%
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
3-4
75%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
35.6
25.8
11
43%
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
5-12
4-9
42%
49%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
35.0
33.5
0
0%
8
2
2
1
1
5
0
8
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
32.8
35.3
19
68%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
3-4
75%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
27.6
32.7
2
26%
1
7
0
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.9
27.7
15.7
8
58%
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-2
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
23.8
2.9
13
65%
5
2
1
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
43%
3-5
60%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
7.6
19.7
3
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
3-6
0%
48%
1-2
50%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
5.8
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.1
5.8
13.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
9.7
0
0-1
41%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
5.5
0
1-1
47%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.2
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.5
39.1
36.0
22
51%
5
7
10
1
2
1
2
3
6-8
75%
5-15
7-14
33%
51%
2-3
67%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.0
38.7
24.2
18
67%
14
1
2
1
0
2
9
5
6-8
75%
6-10
4-6
60%
57%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
37.3
37.0
18
60%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
6-7
86%
6-10
8-15
60%
52%
0-2
0%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.6
33.0
24.5
12
61%
2
8
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
3-6
2-5
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.1
19.0
19.7
9
64%
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
27.3
26.3
11
55%
5
1
3
1
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.8
21.9
24.5
5
23%
1
1
3
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
1-6
17%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
15.0
18.3
3
32%
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.3
8.9
18.9
2
114%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
60%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.2
1.1
0
0-0
52%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
1.1
0
0-0
49%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.9
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.