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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Mavericks26%90100
1Celtics74%98124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
37.1
36.6
18
40%
7
0
0
1
0
5
1
6
10-12
83%
4-14
8-16
29%
47%
0-3
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.7
36.8
32.9
18
58%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
5-6
83%
5-9
5-12
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.8
34.5
33.0
6
38%
7
5
0
2
2
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-4
1-4
25%
40%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
27.7
21.8
8
68%
7
1
1
0
0
1
4
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
57%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
14.1
22.7
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
32.3
30.9
27
68%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
4-9
44%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
15.9
24.1
8
69%
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
1
4-4
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
13.8
13.2
8
68%
3
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
9.0
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
6.3
7.4
5
66%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
3-4
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
6.3
6.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
6.3
6.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.9
34.4
33.7
13
60%
7
14
4
2
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
6-9
4-8
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.5
33.9
34.6
23
86%
5
7
1
1
1
0
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
52%
4-5
80%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
24.8
30.8
23
63%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-3
33%
11-17
6-12
65%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.2
23.7
22.1
8
57%
6
0
0
0
3
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-4
57%
60%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.3
22.0
36.8
8
57%
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
5-10
33%
50%
2-4
50%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
27.5
19.2
23
80%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
7-11
64%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
15.2
18.6
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.1
15.0
17.5
7
81%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.8
14.4
9.9
5
36%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.3
12.0
4.7
6
61%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
1-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
8.8
12.3
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
8.3
2.6
2
33%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.0
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.9
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.