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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs34%9485
2Lakers66%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
29.2
32.4
19
51%
3
6
1
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
8-16
7-15
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
27.0
32.5
15
56%
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
3-3
100%
6-12
7-15
50%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
24.0
25.3
8
50%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
2-2
100%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
21.4
23.5
6
38%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
51%
0-4
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
18.7
26.2
5
32%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
1-5
20%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
26.1
21.4
2
33%
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
40%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
25.3
24.4
9
41%
8
1
2
1
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
49%
1-6
17%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
19.1
7.3
8
80%
5
0
2
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
4-5
1-1
80%
54%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
18.3
18.7
2
33%
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
16.0
15.4
4
35%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
43%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
10.2
7.6
5
28%
4
0
4
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-4
1-1
0%
46%
1-4
25%
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 33.7
4.7
3.5
2
41%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
36.8
30.8
16
80%
5
4
0
0
1
2
1
4
8-9
89%
4-6
6-10
67%
55%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
32.3
35.4
22
59%
4
3
1
1
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
6-14
7-14
43%
51%
2-3
67%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.5
24.9
31.4
3
30%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.2
24.2
30.6
15
55%
11
1
1
0
4
2
4
7
7-8
88%
4-10
6-11
40%
58%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
16.6
16.4
4
52%
3
3
0
0
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
27.5
25.8
6
33%
10
2
0
1
0
2
0
10
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
0-2
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
26.2
23.2
17
83%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
5-5
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
54%
2-5
40%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
17.3
16.4
14
80%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-4
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-3
67%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
16.8
22.1
2
50%
1
0
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
9.9
15.0
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
4.7
6.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
2.8
4.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.1
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.