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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings26%9697
16Raptors74%105113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
41.2
37.9
21
55%
7
3
1
1
0
4
1
6
4-5
80%
7-11
4-9
64%
48%
1-6
17%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
38.8
37.4
12
38%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
2-9
5-10
22%
47%
2-6
33%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
35.0
27.3
12
50%
6
0
0
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
6-12
4-8
50%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
29.8
32.2
6
43%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
29.8
29.7
15
97%
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
4-8
75%
48%
2-2
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
22.2
25.4
18
77%
1
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-5
3-6
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.7
17.3
16.0
6
38%
6
2
0
0
2
2
3
3
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
1-1
100%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
11.2
7.3
5
63%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-1
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
8.3
3.6
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
54%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
6.3
13.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
3.6
0
0-1
45%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.6
38.9
35.5
11
55%
7
7
2
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.8
37.5
37.4
31
61%
8
1
1
1
2
4
2
6
7-8
88%
12-22
8-15
55%
54%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.2
32.6
35.2
24
65%
7
0
1
1
1
2
0
7
8-10
80%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
27.4
17.8
16
78%
1
8
1
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
5-7
2-3
71%
57%
1-2
50%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.6
17.7
30.3
5
83%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
56%
1-1
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
30.3
25.9
4
34%
6
1
2
1
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
4-7
20%
52%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
22.3
18.2
11
71%
10
2
0
0
1
3
2
8
3-4
75%
4-6
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.0
21.2
19.6
4
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
6.8
12.4
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
51%
1-1
100%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
1.8
8.2
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
1.8
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
1.8
1.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
55%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.