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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 25, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Rockets49%89108
13Pistons51%90105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
39.1
34.3
14
55%
4
10
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-4
50%
3-6
3-7
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
37.3
29.9
15
50%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
45%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
34.8
14.2
24
63%
9
1
1
1
0
1
3
6
4-5
80%
4-8
2-3
50%
45%
4-9
44%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
33.4
33.3
21
77%
5
3
0
1
0
1
3
2
3-6
50%
9-11
5-10
82%
51%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
33.2
34.9
14
119%
5
2
0
1
2
1
3
2
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
4-5
80%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
20.6
22.9
8
84%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
55%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
14.4
31.4
10
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
12.8
10.7
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
8.9
18.8
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.1
5.6
21.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-2
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.4
24.9
0
5-10
52%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
0.9
0
0-0
50%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.4
38.7
27.7
22
69%
11
2
0
1
1
1
0
11
1-2
50%
6-9
3-5
67%
47%
3-6
50%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.6
34.2
31.6
17
59%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-10
60%
4-9
5-10
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
31.0
31.8
14
58%
5
8
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
7-12
5-11
58%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
31.0
30.5
6
47%
3
5
1
1
1
0
3
0
0-1
0%
3-6
4-9
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
5.1
6.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.9
30.8
27.7
27
59%
2
5
0
1
0
2
1
1
3-4
75%
9-16
4-9
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
24.7
20.9
8
68%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-2
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.9
18.1
18.0
8
100%
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
17.2
12.6
3
44%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.7
9.3
18.1
0
0%
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.1
11.5
0
2-4
44%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
4.0
0
0-1
50%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.