FinalWin Prob.pScore
1547%94
79
2453%95
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
86.89198.9
MIA logo MIA
104.49184.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA79
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLJones 3' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)79
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot77
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLMISS Law 9' Jump Shot77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)77
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:37ATLMISS Evans 20' Jump Shot75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWade Driving Dunk (35 PTS)75
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 275
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIABlount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Chalmers Layup75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24ATLCook STEAL (1 STL)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)75
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00ATLWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)75
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 3:10ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIAMISS Chalmers 21' Jump Shot72
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ATLJohnson Driving Layup (19 PTS)72
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)70
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 4:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)70
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:03ATLWade BLOCK (2 BLK)70
0.3%
85
99.7%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)70
0.4%
85
99.6%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)70
0.4%
84
99.6%
Q4 - 4:35ATLJohnson Layup (17 PTS)70
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 4:51MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (31 PTS)68
0.4%
83
99.6%
Q4 - 5:05ATLMurray 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)68
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)66
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)66
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)66
1.1%
79
98.9%
Q4 - 5:20ATLMISS Johnson Driving Dunk66
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 5:27ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)66
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot66
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (27 PTS)66
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 6:00ATLWilliams Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)66
2.0%
77
98.0%
Q4 - 6:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)64
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 6:13MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q4 - 6:27ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q4 - 6:27ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)63
1.6%
77
98.4%
Q4 - 6:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)62
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 6:35ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 6:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 6:52MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
1.3%
76
98.7%
Q4 - 7:12ATLSmith Tip Shot (14 PTS)62
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q4 - 7:13ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 7:14ATLMISS Johnson Layup60
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q4 - 7:26MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)60
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q4 - 7:42ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 7:42ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 259
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q4 - 7:43ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q4 - 7:44ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot59
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q4 - 7:52ATLHawks Rebound59
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 7:53ATLHaslem BLOCK (2 BLK)59
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q4 - 7:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
3.0%
72
97.0%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot59
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q4 - 8:15ATLJohnson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T19)59
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q4 - 8:35MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)59
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q4 - 8:36MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
6.4%
69
93.6%
Q4 - 8:37ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)59
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q4 - 9:00MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)59
8.0%
69
92.0%
Q4 - 9:15ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q4 - 9:15ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)57
11.7%
66
88.3%
Q4 - 9:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)57
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q4 - 9:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)57
14.6%
64
85.4%
Q4 - 9:37ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
15.5%
64
84.5%
Q4 - 9:55MIAWade Punched Ball Turnover (P4.T17)57
17.6%
64
82.4%
Q4 - 10:21ATLMurray 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)57
15.8%
64
84.2%
Q4 - 10:31ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
12.9%
64
87.1%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot55
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q4 - 10:53ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
10.6%
64
89.4%
Q4 - 10:53ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q4 - 10:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)53
8.6%
64
91.4%
Q4 - 11:09ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)53
8.1%
64
91.9%
Q4 - 11:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q4 - 11:14ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot51
5.7%
64
94.3%
Q4 - 11:39ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup51
6.1%
64
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA51
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)51
6.2%
64
93.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLBlount BLOCK (2 BLK)51
6.5%
64
93.5%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)51
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson Driving Layup (15 PTS)51
10.7%
61
89.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLMISS Evans 19' Jump Shot49
7.8%
61
92.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)49
8.7%
61
91.3%
Q3 - 1:11ATLMurray 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)47
6.5%
61
93.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)47
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 1:46ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
7.9%
59
92.1%
Q3 - 1:46ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIACook 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
6.4%
59
93.6%
Q3 - 2:23ATLMurray Driving Dunk (6 PTS)45
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q3 - 2:40MIAHEAT Turnover: 8 Second Violation (T#14)43
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 2:48MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q3 - 2:49ATLMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 143
6.2%
57
93.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)41
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q3 - 3:03ATLJohnson Driving Layup (13 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)41
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q3 - 3:10ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
4.1%
57
95.9%
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper39
3.9%
57
96.1%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)37
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q3 - 3:50ATLJones Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)37
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 4:04ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
3.2%
55
96.8%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q3 - 4:24ATLJohnson 5' Running Hook Shot (11 PTS)35
2.6%
55
97.4%
Q3 - 4:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)33
2.3%
55
97.7%
Q3 - 4:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)33
3.1%
52
96.9%
Q3 - 4:55ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 233
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 4:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 5:07MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)32
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)32
3.0%
52
97.0%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot32
3.2%
52
96.8%
Q3 - 5:25MIAChalmers 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
3.6%
52
96.4%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
4.1%
50
95.9%
Q3 - 5:41ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot32
4.4%
50
95.6%
Q3 - 5:49ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
4.9%
50
95.1%
Q3 - 5:50ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
4.3%
50
95.7%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMagloire 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)32
5.4%
50
94.6%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
6.2%
48
93.8%
Q3 - 6:48ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q3 - 6:58ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q3 - 6:59MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot32
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q3 - 7:12ATLMagloire BLOCK (2 BLK)32
7.2%
48
92.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIADiawara 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)32
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q3 - 7:54ATLSmith 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T18)32
9.1%
46
90.9%
Q3 - 8:03ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q3 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade Layup32
10.5%
46
89.5%
Q3 - 8:22ATLSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
9.5%
46
90.5%
Q3 - 8:44ATLHawks Rebound29
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q3 - 9:16ATLSmith 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS)29
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q3 - 9:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)27
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q3 - 9:44ATLBibby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T17)27
5.0%
46
95.0%
Q3 - 9:54ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
5.8%
46
94.3%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q3 - 10:02MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q3 - 10:27MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)27
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q3 - 10:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)27
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q3 - 10:41ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
5.7%
46
94.3%
Q3 - 10:55ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)27
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot27
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q3 - 11:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q3 - 11:04ATLMagloire BLOCK (1 BLK)27
6.2%
46
93.8%
Q3 - 11:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)27
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q3 - 11:23MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot27
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q3 - 11:45ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)27
5.9%
46
94.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL27
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLJones Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)27
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIABlount Dunk (5 PTS)27
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 1:00ATLBibby Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
8.3%
44
91.7%
Q2 - 1:05ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot25
7.3%
44
92.7%
Q2 - 1:23ATLJones Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)25
6.9%
44
93.1%
Q2 - 1:34MIACook 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)23
5.9%
44
94.1%
Q2 - 1:41MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 1:43MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup23
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 1:58ATLJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)23
6.9%
42
93.1%
Q2 - 2:17ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 2:18ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
5.9%
42
94.1%
Q2 - 2:30MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)21
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 2:44ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)21
5.6%
42
94.4%
Q2 - 2:55MIABlount 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)21
6.4%
42
93.6%
Q2 - 3:17ATLJohnson Layup (8 PTS)21
8.4%
39
91.6%
Q2 - 3:24ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw Technical19
7.6%
39
92.4%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWade Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)19
7.6%
39
92.4%
Q2 - 3:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)19
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 3:50MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 3:51ATLMISS Evans 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 4:02ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
10.0%
37
90.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 119
9.8%
37
90.2%
Q2 - 4:11MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
11.0%
35
89.0%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 2 of 219
11.2%
35
88.8%
Q2 - 4:12ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 219
12.1%
35
87.9%
Q2 - 4:25MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)19
12.4%
35
87.6%
Q2 - 4:32ATLJohnson Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
12.3%
33
87.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
12.6%
32
87.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)17
13.6%
31
86.4%
Q2 - 4:50MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot17
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q2 - 5:01MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 5:02ATLBlount BLOCK (1 BLK)17
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 5:03ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
15.9%
31
84.1%
Q2 - 5:05ATLHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)17
14.8%
31
85.2%
Q2 - 5:28MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)17
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
17.5%
29
82.5%
Q2 - 5:45ATLMISS Williams 10' Fadeaway Jumper17
18.0%
29
82.0%
Q2 - 6:09MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q2 - 6:20ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 6:20ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q2 - 6:41MIAWade Layup (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)15
19.9%
27
80.1%
Q2 - 6:45ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)15
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 6:57ATLHawks Rebound15
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot15
23.1%
25
76.9%
Q2 - 7:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)15
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMISS Bibby 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
22.7%
25
77.3%
Q2 - 7:13ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 7:14MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot15
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q2 - 7:27ATLPachulia 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)15
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q2 - 7:45MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)15
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q2 - 7:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)15
28.4%
22
71.6%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.1%
22
69.9%
Q2 - 8:07ATLMurray Foul Turnover (P1.T11)15
29.0%
22
71.0%
Q2 - 8:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot15
30.5%
22
69.5%
Q2 - 8:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.0%
22
71.0%
Q2 - 8:45ATLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)15
29.6%
22
70.4%
Q2 - 8:49MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)15
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q2 - 9:07MIAHEAT Rebound15
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 9:08ATLMISS Pachulia 5' Jump Shot15
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 9:19ATLHawks Rebound15
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Quinn Driving Layup15
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q2 - 9:24MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 9:25ATLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)15
29.8%
22
70.2%
Q2 - 9:30MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)15
31.4%
22
68.6%
Q2 - 9:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 9:44ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 215
29.4%
22
70.6%
Q2 - 9:44ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)15
30.8%
22
69.2%
Q2 - 9:59MIABeasley 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
29.1%
22
70.9%
Q2 - 10:16MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q2 - 10:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31.7%
20
68.3%
Q2 - 10:28ATLMISS Murray 8' Jump Shot14
32.4%
20
67.6%
Q2 - 10:38ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q2 - 11:02ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)14
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q2 - 11:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)14
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q2 - 11:03ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)14
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q2 - 11:25ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
34.3%
20
65.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAMISS Quinn 18' Jump Shot14
33.6%
20
66.4%
Q2 - 11:43MIACook Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)14
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q2 - 11:43MIACook Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
34.3%
19
65.7%
Q2 - 11:43MIACook Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
34.6%
18
65.4%
Q2 - 11:45ATLQuinn STEAL (1 STL)14
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA14
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound14
39.0%
17
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot14
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 0:22.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.4%
17
60.6%
Q1 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Johnson 10' Fadeaway Jumper14
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)14
41.2%
17
58.8%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
39.3%
17
60.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot14
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 1:18ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
41.4%
17
58.6%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 214
41.2%
17
58.8%
Q1 - 1:19MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 214
39.6%
17
60.4%
Q1 - 1:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 1:30ATLCook BLOCK (1 BLK)14
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 1:38ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
41.3%
17
58.7%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot14
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q1 - 1:56ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T8)14
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 2:09MIAChalmers Driving Dunk (4 PTS)14
41.7%
17
58.3%
Q1 - 2:24ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T7)14
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 2:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 2:32MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup14
45.7%
15
54.3%
Q1 - 2:44ATLSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)14
44.4%
15
55.6%
Q1 - 2:49MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)14
46.2%
15
53.8%
Q1 - 3:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
44.3%
15
55.7%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 214
44.6%
15
55.4%
Q1 - 3:10ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 214
45.9%
15
54.1%
Q1 - 3:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Cook 6' Jump Shot14
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
44.3%
15
55.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
45.8%
15
54.2%
Q1 - 3:53ATLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
44.3%
15
55.7%
Q1 - 3:53ATLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
43.8%
15
56.2%
Q1 - 3:56MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)12
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 4:08MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
39.8%
15
60.2%
Q1 - 4:09ATLMISS Smith 9' Turnaround Hook Shot12
40.4%
15
59.6%
Q1 - 4:32MIAChalmers Reverse Layup (2 PTS)12
42.0%
15
58.0%
Q1 - 4:35ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)12
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 4:45ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
46.4%
13
53.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot12
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 5:09ATLBibby Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)12
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 5:34MIAMagloire Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)12
46.3%
13
53.7%
Q1 - 5:57ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)12
48.2%
11
51.8%
Q1 - 6:12ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 6:13MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
43.4%
11
56.6%
Q1 - 6:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
41.9%
11
58.1%
Q1 - 6:21ATLMISS Johnson Reverse Layup9
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMagloire 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
44.1%
11
55.9%
Q1 - 6:36MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)9
46.1%
9
53.9%
Q1 - 6:38MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot9
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 6:51ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)9
46.1%
9
53.9%
Q1 - 7:03ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup9
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 7:12MIAHEAT Rebound9
45.9%
9
54.1%
Q1 - 7:13MIAMISS Diawara 12' Jump Shot9
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 7:30ATLSmith 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)7
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Magloire 16' Jump Shot7
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 8:13ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
41.9%
9
58.1%
Q1 - 8:13ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 8:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
39.9%
9
60.1%
Q1 - 8:25ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot5
38.5%
9
61.5%
Q1 - 8:39MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)5
39.9%
9
60.1%
Q1 - 8:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
37.9%
9
62.1%
Q1 - 8:45ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
37.5%
9
62.5%
Q1 - 9:04MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
36.7%
9
63.3%
Q1 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 9:08MIAMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 9:32ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
38.7%
7
61.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIADiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)1
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 10:19ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)1
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 10:27ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Chalmers 19' Jump Shot1
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 10:49ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)1
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 10:49ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 20
40.5%
4
59.5%
Q1 - 11:11MIAWade Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)0
41.4%
4
58.6%
Q1 - 11:15MIADiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.0%
2
57.0%
Q1 - 11:16ATLMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot0
43.5%
2
56.5%
Q1 - 11:26MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 11:29ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)0
42.9%
2
57.1%
Q1 - 11:42MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)0
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Smith: Tip to Wade0
46.2%
0
53.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 45.9%
MIA
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
29
52%
MIA
13
21
62%
Midrange
ATL
8
23
35%
MIA
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
24
34
71%
MIA
18
22
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson1953%9.5 / 18
M. Williams1753%8.5 / 16
J. Smith1454%7.0 / 13
R. Murray1454%7.0 / 13
S. Jones880%4.0 / 5
M. Evans433%2.0 / 6
M. Bibby214%1.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia117%0.5 / 3
A. Law0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3576%17.5 / 23
D. Cook1662%8.0 / 13
M. Chalmers1243%6.0 / 14
U. Haslem850%4.0 / 8
M. Blount880%4.0 / 5
J. Magloire675%3.0 / 4
Y. Diawara536%2.5 / 7
C. Quinn338%1.5 / 4
M. Beasley220%1.0 / 5
J. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
72
+14
-19
86
MIA
76
+12
-15
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.92 45.9%
MIA
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
107.6
ATL 86.8 +17.6
MIA 104.4
Pace
89.8
90.2
ATL 98.9 +14.1
MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
ATL 14.6 +2.4
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.0%
ATL 40.4%
MIA 50.7% +10.3%
TO %
13.6%
13.1%
ATL 19.4%
MIA 16.6% +2.8%
ORB %
26.0%
24.6%
ATL 28.9% +3.3%
MIA 25.6%
FTrt
32.3
28.2
ATL 50.0 +21.1
MIA 28.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
55.1%
ATL 26.9%
MIA 45.7% +18.8%
STL %
8.2%
8.7%
ATL 11.0% +5.5%
MIA 5.5%
BLK %
7.4%
9.2%
ATL 12.7%
MIA 23.1% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
52.6%
ATL 45.9%
MIA 53.4% +7.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
59.5%
ATL 51.7%
MIA 61.9% +10.2%
Mid FG%
40.2%
41.8%
ATL 34.8%
MIA 44.1% +9.3%
3P %
36.6%
35.7%
ATL 18.8%
MIA 33.3% +14.5%
FT %
73.8%
75.4%
ATL 70.6%
MIA 81.8% +11.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
30.3%
ATL 42.6% +15.0%
MIA 27.6%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
45.2%
ATL 33.8% +10.9%
MIA 44.7%
3P Att. %
25.3%
24.5%
ATL 23.5%
MIA 27.6% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes22.125.8
Points7995
Rebounds4242
Assists716
Steals105
Blocks712
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)32 (1)
Field Goals26-6835-76
At-the-Rim FG15-2913-21
Midrange FG8-2315-34
2-Point FG23-5228-55
3-Point FG3-167-21
Free Throws24-3418-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
44.3
19
53%
4
4
2
0
5
0
1
3
5-6
83%
7-13
54%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
38.0
17
53%
8
1
0
1
1
1
6
2
7-8
88%
2-9
22%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
36.5
14
54%
10
2
1
1
4
3
2
8
3-6
50%
4-8
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
32.2
2
14%
4
0
1
1
5
1
0
4
0-3
0%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
21.2
1
17%
4
0
1
3
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
24.5
14
54%
0
0
4
0
1
5
0
0
4-5
80%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
21.6
4
33%
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
4-4
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
13.2
8
80%
3
0
0
1
2
5
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
· 6'8" 225 · 23
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
46%
42
7
10
7
19
0
13
29
24-34
71%
23-52
44%
3-16
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.