Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Hawks	47%	94	79	86.8	91	98.9
	24	Heat	53%	95	95	104.4	91	84.8

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	44.3	19	53%	4	4	2	0	5	0	1	3	5-6	83%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	38.0	17	50%	8	1	0	1	1	1	6	2	7-8	88%	2-9	22%	2-4	50%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	36.5	14	54%	10	2	1	1	4	3	2	8	3-6	50%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	32.2	2	14%	4	0	1	1	5	1	0	4	0-3	0%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	21.2	1	17%	4	0	1	3	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	24.5	14	54%	0	0	4	0	1	5	0	0	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	21.6	4	33%	7	0	1	0	0	1	1	6	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 25	13.2	8	80%	3	0	0	1	2	5	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	8.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter · 6'8" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	46%	42	7	10	7	19	0	13	29	24-34	71%	23-52	44%	3-16	19%

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15 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 28	44.3	19	53%	4	4	2	0	5	0	1	3	5-6	83%	7-13	54%	0-2	0%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 23	38.0	17	50%	8	1	0	1	1	1	6	2	7-8	88%	2-9	22%	2-4	50%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 23	36.5	14	54%	10	2	1	1	4	3	2	8	3-6	50%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Mike Bibby G · 6'2" 195 · 31	32.2	2	14%	4	0	1	1	5	1	0	4	0-3	0%	1-2	50%	0-4	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 25	21.2	1	17%	4	0	1	3	1	2	2	2	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-0	-

Flip Murray G · 6'3" 200 · 29	24.5	14	54%	0	0	4	0	1	5	0	0	4-5	80%	5-9	56%	0-2	0%
Maurice Evans G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	21.6	4	33%	7	0	1	0	0	1	1	6	4-4	100%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 25	13.2	8	80%	3	0	0	1	2	5	1	2	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Acie Law G · 6'3" 202 · 24	8.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Randolph Morris C · 6'11" 275 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Mario West G · 6'5" 210 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Othello Hunter · 6'8" 225 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Thomas Gardner #3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Al Horford #15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	79	46%	42	7	10	7	19	0	13	29	24-34	71%	23-52	44%	3-16	19%

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24 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 29	43.0	8	50%	13	4	0	2	1	2	5	8	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 23	36.1	12	43%	2	6	1	0	5	3	0	2	1-1	100%	4-10	40%	1-4	25%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 27	34.2	35	76%	5	4	2	2	4	2	0	5	9-10	90%	13-19	68%	0-0	-
Yakhouba Diawara F · 6'7" 225 · 26	18.4	5	36%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-5	20%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 31	17.0	6	75%	6	0	0	2	0	3	2	4	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-

Daequan Cook G · 6'5" 210 · 22	30.9	16	62%	4	1	1	1	0	0	1	3	3-3	100%	2-6	33%	3-7	43%
Mark Blount C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33	19.1	8	80%	4	0	0	2	2	3	2	2	1-2	50%	2-3	67%	1-1	100%
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28	12.5	0	0%	2	1	0	1	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Chris Quinn G · 6'2" 175 · 25	11.9	3	38%	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	1-2	50%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 26	8.6	0	0%	2	0	0	2	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Michael Beasley F · 6'9" 235 · 20	8.2	2	20%	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	2	0-2	0%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Marcus Banks G · 6'2" 205 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shawn Marion #7 · G-F · 6'7" 228 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Dorell Wright #1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	53%	42	16	5	12	15	0	10	32	18-22	82%	28-55	51%	7-21	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIA

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

0.92 45.9%

MIA

1.07 53.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

15

29

52%

MIA

13

21

62%

Midrange

ATL

8

23

35%

MIA

15

34

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

3

4.5

16

19%

28%

MIA

7

10.5

21

33%

50%

Free Throws

ATL

24

34

71%

MIA

18

22

82%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	19	53%	9.5 / 18
M. Williams	17	50%	8.5 / 17
J. Smith	14	54%	7.0 / 13
R. Murray	14	54%	7.0 / 13
S. Jones	8	80%	4.0 / 5
M. Evans	4	33%	2.0 / 6
M. Bibby	2	14%	1.0 / 7
Z. Pachulia	1	17%	0.5 / 3
A. Law	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	35	76%	17.5 / 23
D. Cook	16	62%	8.0 / 13
M. Chalmers	12	43%	6.0 / 14
U. Haslem	8	50%	4.0 / 8
M. Blount	8	80%	4.0 / 5
J. Magloire	6	75%	3.0 / 4
Y. Diawara	5	36%	2.5 / 7
C. Quinn	3	38%	1.5 / 4
M. Beasley	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Jones	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 109.2 19 107.6	ATL 86.8 MIA 104.4 +17.6
Pace	24 89.8 23 90.2	ATL 98.9 +14.1 MIA 84.8
Avg. Poss. Time	13 15.9 7 16.3	ATL 14.6 −2.4 MIA 17.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	9 50.4% 16 50.0%	ATL 40.4% MIA 50.7% +10.3%
TO %	7 13.6% 3 13.1%	ATL 19.4% MIA 16.6% −2.8%
ORB %	19 26.0% 24 24.6%	ATL 28.9% +3.3% MIA 25.6%
FTrt	9 32.3 24 28.2	ATL 50.0 +21.1 MIA 28.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 56.1% 22 55.1%	ATL 26.9% MIA 45.7% +18.8%
STL %	9 8.2% 5 8.7%	ATL 11.0% +5.5% MIA 5.5%
BLK %	21 7.4% 2 9.2%	ATL 12.7% MIA 23.1% +10.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	14 53.2% 21 52.6%	ATL 45.9% MIA 53.4% +7.5%
Rim FG%	5 60.5% 9 59.5%	ATL 51.7% MIA 61.9% +10.2%
Mid FG%	19 40.2% 8 41.8%	ATL 34.8% MIA 44.1% +9.3%
3P %	16 36.6% 22 35.7%	ATL 18.8% MIA 33.3% +14.5%
FT %	28 73.8% 23 75.4%	ATL 70.6% MIA 81.8% +11.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	22 32.2% 25 30.3%	ATL 42.6% +15.0% MIA 27.6%
Mid Att. %	14 42.4% 22 45.2%	ATL 33.8% −10.9% MIA 44.7%
3P Att. %	6 25.3% 8 24.5%	ATL 23.5% MIA 27.6% +4.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIA
Possessions	91	91
Possession Minutes	22.1	25.8
Points	79	95
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	7	16
Steals	10	5
Blocks	7	12
Turnovers (Team)	19 (1)	15 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (1)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (3)	32 (1)
Field Goals	26-68	35-76
At-the-Rim FG	15-29	13-21
Midrange FG	8-23	15-34
2-Point FG	23-52	28-55
3-Point FG	3-16	7-21
Free Throws	24-34	18-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg