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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets54%10098
20Knicks46%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
34.3
21.5
11
28%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
46%
1-10
10%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
31.9
33.9
3
75%
5
2
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-2
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
30.9
32.4
20
46%
4
6
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
4-11
5-10
36%
45%
3-9
33%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
30.5
35.9
7
35%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-8
67%
42%
1-7
14%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.7
27.8
32.9
16
63%
14
1
1
1
0
0
2
12
4-4
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
20.4
15.0
13
66%
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
2-3
67%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
19.1
22.0
16
69%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
6-6
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
56%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
16.4
12.0
0
0%
6
1
2
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
15.7
24.3
9
57%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.1
13.0
14.6
3
150%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
1-1
100%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.4
17.1
0
4-7
53%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
1.1
0
0-0
53%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 26.4
40.6
35.1
12
55%
6
11
1
1
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
2-6
33%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
40.0
35.4
17
56%
13
2
0
1
0
3
2
11
3-5
60%
7-13
6-11
54%
57%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
26.9
31.3
13
50%
2
0
2
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 28.8
19.8
27.0
7
52%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
3-4
75%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 27.2
15.5
20.5
3
52%
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.9
29.0
22.2
11
56%
5
0
0
1
0
1
1
4
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 21.7
28.0
22.7
18
71%
7
3
0
1
1
1
0
7
5-6
83%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
1-1
100%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 24.7
27.0
28.7
19
60%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
49%
1-4
25%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.5
13.0
10.8
4
53%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 34.2
2.4
0
0-1
39%
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.9
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 33.2
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 33.4
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 31.9
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.