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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Timberwolves39%9790
25Bucks61%10183
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.3
40.2
37.0
12
49%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
4-9
40%
45%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.1
34.8
35.3
23
54%
10
2
3
1
1
1
1
9
3-3
100%
10-19
10-19
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.4
33.8
26.8
22
84%
8
0
0
1
0
1
0
8
7-7
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
47%
3-5
60%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.6
32.8
35.3
8
29%
0
5
3
1
0
6
0
0
1-2
50%
2-7
3-8
29%
40%
1-6
17%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.2
21.0
19.0
6
75%
5
1
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.9
26.6
28.8
3
75%
10
3
0
0
0
3
2
8
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.4
23.3
25.5
12
57%
7
2
0
0
0
2
3
4
8-8
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
47%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
21.4
18.1
3
19%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
1-7
14%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.7
6.1
7.0
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.3
4.6
0
1-1
45%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
2.5
0
0-0
38%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.0
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.7
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.9
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
39.2
27.5
8
32%
2
9
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-1
0%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
0-2
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
33.6
33.7
10
30%
9
2
2
1
0
2
3
6
4-4
100%
3-10
5-10
30%
50%
0-5
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
33.0
18.7
18
63%
4
2
3
1
0
4
1
3
4-5
80%
7-11
3-6
64%
49%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
23.2
26.0
15
56%
5
3
0
1
3
2
1
4
1-1
100%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
0-1
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
10.3
13.3
1
27%
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
27.9
19.1
7
39%
9
0
0
1
1
0
6
3
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
24.4
8.6
8
57%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
51%
0-2
0%
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
19.8
15.7
8
45%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
14.8
13.8
4
52%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
7.2
11.6
2
33%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
6.6
22.2
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
5.6
0
0-0
42%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.