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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 26, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Trail Blazers75%98113
30Clippers25%8988
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
34.3
36.4
10
52%
3
0
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-6
33%
4-7
7-14
57%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.5
33.7
36.7
33
85%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
9-10
90%
9-13
7-14
69%
50%
2-2
100%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.0
26.3
30.3
16
91%
6
0
2
1
1
1
2
4
2-4
50%
7-7
4-8
100%
55%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.1
20.3
19.1
4
25%
7
0
1
1
1
1
4
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.9
10.7
27.5
0
0%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.8
27.3
22.9
11
66%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
0-1
2-3
0%
50%
3-6
50%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
25.2
26.7
20
97%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-3
67%
6-7
3-7
86%
46%
2-2
100%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
22.4
16.6
5
42%
0
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
1-3
33%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.3
19.8
14.2
7
62%
8
0
0
0
0
1
1
7
3-6
50%
2-3
1-2
67%
59%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.6
16.9
27.8
7
67%
1
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5-5
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
1.9
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
1.4
1.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.2
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.1
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.1
44.6
39.0
23
49%
5
1
3
1
0
1
3
2
5-8
63%
9-19
7-15
47%
46%
0-1
0%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 29.9
42.7
28.0
19
70%
4
7
1
1
0
3
1
3
6-6
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
3-5
60%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 20.1
41.0
39.1
11
45%
0
7
0
1
0
3
0
0
3-3
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
0-4
0%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 32.7
37.1
13.1
8
44%
10
2
0
0
1
3
3
7
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 20.5
26.6
31.4
6
77%
8
1
0
1
1
1
3
5
0-2
0%
3-3
3-6
100%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
28.9
21.6
21
80%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
6-7
86%
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
5-8
63%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 30.7
8.0
11.9
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
38%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 29.3
6.3
26.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
45%
0-1
0%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 24.3
4.8
10.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 24.5
14.2
1
1-3
43%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 34.9
11.3
0
1-3
48%
Mike Taylor
G · 6'2" 165 · 23.0
2.4
0
0-1
43%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.7
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.