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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Kings14%90110
4Cavaliers86%104117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
44.0
37.2
35
71%
7
7
4
1
1
3
1
6
15-17
88%
4-8
4-10
50%
45%
4-9
44%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
35.5
38.2
21
76%
3
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
47%
3-4
75%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
33.5
30.7
8
57%
0
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
46%
2-2
100%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
26.6
29.5
16
68%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
4-4
100%
6-10
4-9
60%
47%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
21.9
29.2
7
58%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
27.2
23.9
7
39%
4
1
0
1
2
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
19.7
16.3
9
83%
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
16.5
10.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-2
0%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
15.3
8.8
7
60%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
1-2
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
10.4
0
1-3
43%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
5.3
0
0-1
52%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
3.2
0
0-1
39%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.1
42.2
35.2
43
81%
8
11
1
1
0
5
1
7
6-6
100%
8-12
5-9
67%
54%
7-12
58%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.1
37.5
40.0
23
69%
15
11
0
2
3
2
5
10
13-15
87%
5-8
10-18
63%
56%
0-2
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
35.3
35.3
7
40%
6
1
1
1
0
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-7
5-9
29%
55%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.2
23.2
29.7
12
75%
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
2-4
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.4
22.3
24.6
1
18%
5
0
1
1
1
0
2
3
1-4
25%
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.9
26.6
23.0
10
40%
4
0
1
1
0
2
2
2
5-6
83%
1-6
1-3
17%
48%
1-4
25%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.4
24.2
17.1
11
56%
8
0
1
0
1
2
3
5
3-4
75%
4-8
3-5
50%
57%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.9
18.1
6.0
9
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
1-2
50%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.9
6.5
17.6
1
15%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.2
4.1
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.9
0.2
0
0-0
75%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.6
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.5
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.