FinalWin Prob.pScore
1425%96
111
375%105
135
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
108.8102107.1
ORL logo ORL
133.710196.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL111
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0INDDiener 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)111
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ORLJohnson 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)108
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDHibbert Layup (12 PTS) (Graham 3 AST)108
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 1:03ORLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)106
0%
133
100%
Q4 - 1:03ORLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)106
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:06ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)106
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 1:07INDMISS Graham 3PT Jump Shot106
0%
131
100%
Q4 - 1:25ORLCook Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)106
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)106
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31INDMISS Diener 14' Jump Bank Shot106
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38ORLRedick 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)106
0.1%
131
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58INDHibbert Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Baston 1 AST)106
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13ORLMISS Gortat 5' Hook Shot104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15ORLGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ORLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27INDGortat BLOCK (1 BLK)104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59INDRush 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)104
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)102
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ORLMISS Cook Layup102
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30INDGraham 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)102
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:45INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)100
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46ORLMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot100
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59INDMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot100
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)100
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)100
0.1%
128
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)100
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot100
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)100
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)100
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)100
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21INDHibbert 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS)100
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Pietrus 4 AST)98
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01INDMurphy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)98
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 6:10ORLLewis 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 6:26ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 6:37INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)95
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)93
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08INDGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)93
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:08INDGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)92
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13ORLMISS Pietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:18ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:22INDLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)91
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 7:38INDJohnson STEAL (1 STL)91
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 7:54ORLLewis Driving Layup (19 PTS)91
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04INDMISS Graham Driving Layup91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:22INDPacers Rebound91
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 8:22INDMISS Granger 8' Jump Shot91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34ORLTurkoglu Backcourt Turnover (P3.T15)91
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 8:45ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46INDMISS Hibbert 10' Fadeaway Jumper91
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 9:05ORLPietrus 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)91
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 9:15ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 9:17INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.4%
111
99.6%
Q4 - 9:29ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lewis 4 AST)91
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 9:45INDGraham 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)91
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 10:00INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 10:02ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 189
0.7%
108
99.3%
Q4 - 10:15INDDaniels 10' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS)89
1.0%
106
99.0%
Q4 - 10:34ORLPietrus 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Turkoglu 8 AST)87
0.8%
106
99.2%
Q4 - 10:46ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 10:48INDMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot87
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 10:54INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 10:55ORLMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 11:14ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 11:15INDMISS Graham 20' Jump Shot87
1.2%
104
98.8%
Q4 - 11:36ORLLewis 14' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)87
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL87
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDDiener Layup (4 PTS)87
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0ORLBattie 3' Hook Shot (11 PTS)85
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
2.1%
100
97.9%
Q3 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.3%
100
97.7%
Q3 - 0:31.0INDDaniels Layup (14 PTS) (Graham 2 AST)85
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0ORLLee 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 7 AST)83
1.6%
100
98.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)83
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q3 - 1:00INDGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q3 - 1:02ORLMISS Battie 7' Hook Shot81
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q3 - 1:19INDDaniels Dunk (12 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)81
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q3 - 1:29ORLBattie Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)79
1.5%
97
98.5%
Q3 - 1:40INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)79
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q3 - 1:52ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)76
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q3 - 1:52ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)76
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q3 - 2:06INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)76
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q3 - 2:15ORLBattie 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)73
1.2%
93
98.8%
Q3 - 2:33ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)73
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:35INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 273
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:35INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)73
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q3 - 2:46ORLPietrus Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q3 - 2:46ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 1 of 272
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q3 - 2:49ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
1.4%
90
98.6%
Q3 - 2:50INDMISS Granger 24' Jump Shot72
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q3 - 2:57ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)72
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q3 - 3:07INDHoward STEAL (2 STL)72
1.6%
90
98.4%
Q3 - 3:22ORLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pietrus 3 AST)72
1.9%
90
98.1%
Q3 - 3:26ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)72
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 3:28ORLMISS Lewis 14' Fadeaway Jumper72
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q3 - 3:52INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)72
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q3 - 4:03ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T13)69
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q3 - 4:06ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw Technical69
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q3 - 4:17INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)69
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q3 - 4:23INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 4:24ORLMISS Lee 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 4:33ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)66
1.0%
87
99.0%
Q3 - 4:36INDHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)66
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q3 - 4:50ORLPietrus 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)66
1.2%
87
98.8%
Q3 - 5:05INDJack Driving Layup (10 PTS)66
1.6%
85
98.4%
Q3 - 5:16ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)64
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q3 - 5:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)64
1.4%
84
98.6%
Q3 - 5:28INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)64
1.6%
83
98.4%
Q3 - 5:28INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 5:37INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
1.4%
83
98.6%
Q3 - 5:39ORLMISS Howard 10' Hook Shot62
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 5:53ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 5:55INDMISS Jack 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.2%
83
98.8%
Q3 - 6:21ORLLewis 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)62
1.5%
83
98.5%
Q3 - 6:28ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 6:29INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot62
2.1%
80
97.9%
Q3 - 6:44ORLNelson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)62
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 6:53INDDunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)62
2.0%
80
98.0%
Q3 - 7:05ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)59
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 7:17INDFord 17' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS)59
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 7:40ORLLee Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)57
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 7:58INDMurphy Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)57
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 8:06INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot57
1.2%
80
98.8%
Q3 - 8:33INDFord Driving Layup (13 PTS)57
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 8:39INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 8:41ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 8:49ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
0.8%
80
99.2%
Q3 - 8:51INDMISS Dunleavy 12' Jump Shot55
0.9%
80
99.1%
Q3 - 9:08ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (20 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)55
1.0%
80
99.0%
Q3 - 9:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 9:24INDMISS Dunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 9:39ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
1.4%
78
98.6%
Q3 - 9:51INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)55
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 10:10ORLLee Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS)55
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 10:24INDFord Foul Turnover (P2.T11)55
2.6%
73
97.4%
Q3 - 10:32ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)55
3.0%
73
97.0%
Q3 - 11:01INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)55
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q3 - 11:13ORLHoward Dunk (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)52
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 11:24ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q3 - 11:25INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
3.8%
68
96.2%
Q3 - 11:31INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
4.2%
68
95.8%
Q3 - 11:33ORLMISS Lee 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
4.0%
68
96.0%
Q3 - 11:50INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)52
3.6%
68
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL50
3.2%
68
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound50
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 67' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0INDHibbert Tip Shot (4 PTS)50
3.0%
68
97.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS Daniels Layup48
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q2 - 0:14.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Fadeaway Jumper48
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLMAGIC Rebound48
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Howard Layup48
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot48
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDHibbert 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)48
2.3%
68
97.7%
Q2 - 1:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)46
2.1%
68
97.9%
Q2 - 1:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)46
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q2 - 1:11ORLLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
2.4%
66
97.6%
Q2 - 1:12INDMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot46
2.5%
66
97.5%
Q2 - 1:31ORLTurkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)46
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q2 - 1:47INDDiener 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
3.6%
63
96.4%
Q2 - 1:57ORLLee Slam Dunk (9 PTS)44
3.0%
63
97.0%
Q2 - 2:02INDLee STEAL (2 STL)44
3.6%
61
96.4%
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)44
4.1%
61
95.9%
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)44
4.3%
60
95.7%
Q2 - 2:30INDDaniels 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)44
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q2 - 2:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q2 - 2:36ORLMISS Lee 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q2 - 2:56INDJack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)42
3.6%
59
96.4%
Q2 - 3:12ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)39
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q2 - 3:30ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q2 - 3:32ORLMISS Pietrus 3PT Jump Shot39
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 3:51INDDaniels Layup (8 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)39
3.7%
56
96.3%
Q2 - 3:55INDDiener REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 3:57INDMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot37
3.0%
56
97.0%
Q2 - 4:07INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q2 - 4:09INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
3.2%
56
96.8%
Q2 - 4:22ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
3.4%
56
96.6%
Q2 - 4:22ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 4:30INDFord Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)37
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q2 - 4:36ORLLee 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)34
3.1%
54
96.9%
Q2 - 4:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
3.8%
51
96.2%
Q2 - 4:53INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 134
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 5:01ORLPietrus 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)32
3.6%
51
96.4%
Q2 - 5:18INDDaniels 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 5:24INDPacers Rebound30
3.6%
49
96.4%
Q2 - 5:24INDMISS Ford 16' Jump Shot30
3.3%
49
96.7%
Q2 - 5:44ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T9)30
3.6%
49
96.4%
Q2 - 5:48ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)30
3.2%
49
96.8%
Q2 - 5:49INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot30
3.3%
49
96.7%
Q2 - 6:04ORLHoward Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)30
3.9%
49
96.1%
Q2 - 6:12ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)30
3.4%
49
96.6%
Q2 - 6:14INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot30
3.5%
49
96.5%
Q2 - 6:31ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)30
3.8%
49
96.2%
Q2 - 6:31ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 230
4.0%
48
96.0%
Q2 - 6:31ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 6:35INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot30
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 6:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.3%
48
95.7%
Q2 - 6:42ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)30
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 6:42ORLMISS Pietrus Layup30
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 6:44ORLMISS Howard 11' Hook Shot30
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 7:10INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)30
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 7:21INDPacers Rebound27
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 7:21ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot27
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 7:28INDNelson STEAL (3 STL)27
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 7:44ORLNelson Layup (4 PTS)27
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 7:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
3.5%
46
96.5%
Q2 - 7:52INDHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)27
3.6%
46
96.4%
Q2 - 8:08ORLLee Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)27
4.1%
46
95.9%
Q2 - 8:14INDPietrus STEAL (1 STL)27
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 8:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 8:25ORLMISS Pietrus Free Throw 2 of 227
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 8:25ORLPietrus Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
4.7%
44
95.3%
Q2 - 8:25ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)27
5.1%
43
94.9%
Q2 - 8:26INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)27
5.6%
42
94.4%
Q2 - 8:36ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
6.2%
42
93.8%
Q2 - 8:36ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)27
6.4%
41
93.6%
Q2 - 8:41INDFord 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
6.9%
40
93.1%
Q2 - 8:56INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.2%
40
93.8%
Q2 - 8:58ORLMISS Battie 14' Jump Shot25
6.0%
40
94.0%
Q2 - 9:17ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 9:21ORLMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot25
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 9:33ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
5.7%
40
94.3%
Q2 - 9:34INDMISS Dunleavy 9' Jump Shot25
5.9%
40
94.1%
Q2 - 9:47INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
6.3%
40
93.7%
Q2 - 9:49ORLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot25
6.1%
40
93.9%
Q2 - 10:22ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
5.9%
40
94.1%
Q2 - 10:24INDMISS Baston Free Throw 2 of 225
6.0%
40
94.0%
Q2 - 10:24INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
6.4%
40
93.6%
Q2 - 10:33ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
5.9%
40
94.1%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 224
6.1%
39
93.9%
Q2 - 10:42INDDaniels Layup (4 PTS)24
5.9%
39
94.1%
Q2 - 10:56ORLTurkoglu Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)22
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 11:16INDFord 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)22
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 11:34ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)20
4.6%
39
95.4%
Q2 - 11:49INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
5.6%
36
94.4%
Q2 - 11:49INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL18
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound18
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Pietrus 67' 3PT Jump Shot18
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:06.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
5.3%
36
94.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0INDMISS Daniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
5.2%
36
94.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLMISS Battie 10' Fadeaway Jumper18
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLMAGIC Rebound18
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
5.1%
36
94.9%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)18
4.9%
36
95.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot18
5.0%
36
95.0%
Q1 - 1:27ORLPietrus Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)18
5.5%
36
94.5%
Q1 - 1:32INDDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)18
6.2%
34
93.8%
Q1 - 1:47ORLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)16
5.5%
34
94.5%
Q1 - 1:54ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q1 - 1:56INDPietrus BLOCK (1 BLK)16
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q1 - 2:08INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.5%
31
92.5%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 216
7.4%
31
92.6%
Q1 - 2:10ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)16
7.1%
31
92.9%
Q1 - 2:10ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 2:10ORLMISS Howard Layup16
8.0%
30
92.0%
Q1 - 2:27ORLPietrus REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q1 - 2:28INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
7.7%
30
92.3%
Q1 - 2:44ORLPietrus 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
8.1%
30
91.9%
Q1 - 2:53ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.8%
27
90.2%
Q1 - 2:54INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
10.0%
27
90.0%
Q1 - 3:10ORLHoward Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Pietrus 2 AST)16
10.5%
27
89.5%
Q1 - 3:18ORLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.4%
25
88.6%
Q1 - 3:19INDMISS Graham 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q1 - 3:46ORLNelson Layup (2 PTS)16
12.3%
25
87.7%
Q1 - 3:50INDNelson STEAL (2 STL)16
13.4%
23
86.6%
Q1 - 3:58ORLPietrus Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)16
14.4%
23
85.6%
Q1 - 4:28INDFoster 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)16
15.5%
21
84.5%
Q1 - 4:51ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pietrus 1 AST)16
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 5:16INDJack 17' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 5:28ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T6)14
18.3%
18
81.7%
Q1 - 5:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)14
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 5:38INDMISS Ford 12' Jump Shot14
17.3%
18
82.7%
Q1 - 5:46ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)14
18.3%
18
81.7%
Q1 - 6:10INDJack Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)14
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 6:28ORLHoward 9' Hook Shot (8 PTS)11
18.0%
15
82.0%
Q1 - 6:46INDMurphy Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)11
19.2%
13
80.8%
Q1 - 6:51INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 6:52ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot9
17.6%
13
82.4%
Q1 - 7:03INDFord Layup (4 PTS)9
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 7:15ORLTurkoglu Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)7
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 7:23INDNelson STEAL (1 STL)7
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:30ORLLewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)7
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 7:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)7
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:39INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot7
14.6%
13
85.4%
Q1 - 7:55ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)7
15.4%
13
84.6%
Q1 - 8:14INDGranger 12' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 8:19ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)5
15.2%
11
84.8%
Q1 - 8:42INDLee STEAL (1 STL)5
14.1%
11
85.9%
Q1 - 8:49INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.2%
11
84.8%
Q1 - 8:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot5
14.9%
11
85.1%
Q1 - 8:56ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)5
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 8:57INDMISS Ford Layup5
14.5%
11
85.5%
Q1 - 9:06ORLLewis 16' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)5
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 9:19INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)5
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 9:36ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 9:40ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 9:41INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
13.8%
9
86.2%
Q1 - 9:50INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 9:52ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup2
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 9:58INDHoward STEAL (1 STL)2
13.5%
9
86.5%
Q1 - 10:09ORLLewis Dunk (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)2
14.9%
9
85.1%
Q1 - 10:20INDGranger Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)2
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 10:21ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 10:28ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
15.7%
7
84.3%
Q1 - 10:30INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
16.1%
7
83.9%
Q1 - 10:39ORLHoward 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)2
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 10:48ORLLewis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
17.8%
5
82.2%
Q1 - 11:01ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 11:03INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
19.1%
4
80.9%
Q1 - 11:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 11:16ORLHoward Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
19.9%
4
80.1%
Q1 - 11:19ORLMISS Howard 5' Hook Bank Shot2
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 11:28INDFord Layup (2 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)2
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 11:41ORLLee Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Murphy: Tip to Nelson0
20.9%
0
79.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.19 59.7%
ORL
1.32 66.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
20
28
71%
ORL
19
26
73%
Midrange
IND
15
35
43%
ORL
11
23
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
ORL
15
22.5
33
45%
68%
Free Throws
IND
14
17
82%
ORL
30
37
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford2388%11.5 / 13
M. Daniels1673%8.0 / 11
T. Murphy1381%6.5 / 8
R. Hibbert1260%6.0 / 10
J. Jack1071%5.0 / 7
D. Granger1036%5.0 / 14
M. Dunleavy932%4.5 / 14
T. Diener770%3.5 / 5
S. Graham638%3.0 / 8
J. Foster2100%1.0 / 1
B. Rush2100%1.0 / 1
M. Baston150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Pietrus2775%13.5 / 18
R. Lewis2492%12.0 / 13
D. Howard2258%11.0 / 19
C. Lee1478%7.0 / 9
T. Battie1365%6.5 / 10
J. Nelson1275%6.0 / 8
H. Turkoglu1155%5.5 / 10
A. Johnson1083%5.0 / 6
J. Redick2100%1.0 / 1
M. Gortat0-0.0 / 1
B. Cook0-0.0 / 2
K. Bogans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
87
+6
-15
93
ORL
85
+14
-16
99
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.19 59.7%
ORL
1.32 66.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.0
IND 108.8
ORL 133.7 +24.8
Pace
96.5
92.5
IND 107.1 +10.8
ORL 96.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.5
15.5
IND 13.4 +1.5
ORL 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
52.0%
IND 55.7%
ORL 64.0% +8.3%
TO %
14.4%
14.6%
IND 13.7% +0.3%
ORL 14.0%
ORB %
25.5%
24.1%
IND 9.1%
ORL 28.6% +19.5%
FTrt
26.7
35.1
IND 19.5
ORL 45.1 +25.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
54.4%
IND 47.7%
ORL 64.4% +16.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.5%
IND 3.9%
ORL 8.9% +5.0%
BLK %
8.1%
8.0%
IND 8.2% +0.3%
ORL 7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
54.4%
IND 59.7%
ORL 66.2% +6.5%
Rim FG%
56.5%
60.9%
IND 71.4%
ORL 73.1% +1.7%
Mid FG%
40.6%
39.3%
IND 42.9%
ORL 47.8% +4.9%
3P %
37.8%
38.1%
IND 37.5%
ORL 45.5% +8.0%
FT %
80.7%
71.5%
IND 82.4% +1.3%
ORL 81.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.3%
IND 32.2% +0.5%
ORL 31.7%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
35.2%
IND 40.2%
ORL 28.0% +12.2%
3P Att. %
24.4%
33.5%
IND 27.6%
ORL 40.2% +12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.58 and 2.58.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions102101
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points111135
Rebounds2950
Assists2129
Steals49
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)40 (0)
Field Goals44-8745-82
At-the-Rim FG20-2819-26
Midrange FG15-3511-23
2-Point FG35-6330-49
3-Point FG9-2415-33
Free Throws14-1730-37
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 230 · 28
28.6
9
32%
2
4
1
0
3
2
0
2
3-4
75%
0-5
0%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 200 · 25
27.8
10
71%
1
4
0
0
4
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 222 · 26
27.7
10
36%
2
2
2
2
3
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-10
20%
2-4
50%
G · 6'0" 165 · 26
25.6
23
88%
3
2
0
0
3
2
0
3
5-5
100%
9-12
75%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 29
25.1
13
81%
7
0
1
0
1
3
0
7
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 28
24.3
16
73%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
8-10
80%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 27
22.4
7
70%
5
4
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27
17.9
6
38%
1
3
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
C · 7'2" 270 · 22
15.0
12
60%
4
1
0
2
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32
11.3
2
100%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
7.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 33
6.7
1
50%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#8 · C · 7'0" 255 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · · 6'10" 240 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
60%
29
21
4
4
15
0
4
25
14-17
82%
35-63
56%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.