FinalWin Prob.pScore
574%100
100
2926%91
85
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
101.09993.7
MEM logo MEM
87.697102.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

GrizzliesNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENMEM
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN100
100%
85
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0MEMWarrick Dunk (9 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)100
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMiles STEAL (1 STL)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0MEMMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DENWeems Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T26)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MEMJaric Layup (2 PTS)100
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06DENPetro 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)100
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:09DENJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12DENMiles BLOCK (2 BLK)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19DENJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:20DENMISS Petro Layup98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21DENPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:23DENMISS Petro 6' Running Jump Shot98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38DENPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 2 of 298
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:39MEMMISS Warrick Free Throw 1 of 298
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:44DENKleiza Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)98
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:50MEMLowry Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)96
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53DENLowry STEAL (2 STL)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03MEMJaric Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T26)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 296
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:10MEMLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)96
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)96
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)95
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:24MEMMISS Mayo Layup94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29MEMMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30DENMISS Jones Layup94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:33DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:49DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MEMMISS Lowry 3PT Jump Shot94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)94
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:00DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MEMMISS Mayo 6' Jump Shot92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:15DENNene 3 Second Violation Turnover (P8.T24)92
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T25)92
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 3:44MEMGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 3:45DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 292
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 3:45DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)92
99.8%
78
0.2%
Q4 - 3:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 3:46DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 4:09MEMMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T24)91
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:18DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T23)91
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 4:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:33MEMMISS Lowry Reverse Layup91
99.7%
78
0.3%
Q4 - 4:49DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
99.6%
78
0.4%
Q4 - 5:12DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
98.6%
78
1.4%
Q4 - 5:15MEMMISS Gay 15' Turnaround Jump Shot88
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 5:38DENNene 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)88
98.0%
78
2.0%
Q4 - 5:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 5:58MEMMISS Gay Layup86
97.1%
78
2.9%
Q4 - 5:59MEMGay REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q4 - 6:03MEMMISS Conley Layup86
96.3%
78
3.7%
Q4 - 6:13DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)86
95.4%
78
4.6%
Q4 - 6:13DENMartin Layup (12 PTS)86
95.4%
78
4.6%
Q4 - 6:15DENGay BLOCK (1 BLK)84
92.6%
78
7.4%
Q4 - 6:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
94.0%
78
6.0%
Q4 - 6:31MEMMISS Gasol 7' Running Hook Shot84
93.5%
78
6.5%
Q4 - 6:43DENSmith Foul Turnover (P2.T22)84
92.0%
78
8.0%
Q4 - 6:58DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 284
94.0%
78
6.0%
Q4 - 6:58DENKleiza Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (14 PTS)84
95.2%
78
4.8%
Q4 - 7:01MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T23)83
91.5%
78
8.5%
Q4 - 7:23DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
88.9%
78
11.1%
Q4 - 7:23DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 282
88.2%
78
11.8%
Q4 - 7:44MEMLowry 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
89.1%
78
10.9%
Q4 - 7:56DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T21)82
91.4%
76
8.6%
Q4 - 8:10DENNuggets Rebound82
92.8%
76
7.2%
Q4 - 8:11MEMMISS Warrick 23' Jump Shot82
92.3%
76
7.7%
Q4 - 8:26MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)82
91.0%
76
9.0%
Q4 - 8:29DENMayo BLOCK (2 BLK)82
91.6%
76
8.4%
Q4 - 8:43MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)82
92.9%
76
7.1%
Q4 - 9:00DENKleiza Dunk (13 PTS)82
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 9:01DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)80
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q4 - 9:02DENMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot80
92.7%
73
7.3%
Q4 - 9:18MEMWarrick Foul Turnover (P4.T22)80
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q4 - 9:21DENMayo STEAL (2 STL)80
92.2%
73
7.8%
Q4 - 9:37MEMWarrick Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)80
93.7%
73
6.3%
Q4 - 9:49MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
92.3%
73
7.7%
Q4 - 9:50DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
92.8%
73
7.2%
Q4 - 10:07MEMRoss Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)80
93.2%
73
6.8%
Q4 - 10:07MEMRoss Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)80
93.5%
72
6.5%
Q4 - 10:07MEMMISS Ross Free Throw 1 of 380
93.9%
71
6.1%
Q4 - 10:25DENAndersen Dunk (7 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)80
94.6%
71
5.4%
Q4 - 10:47MEMMayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)78
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 11:05DENAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T19)78
95.1%
68
4.9%
Q4 - 11:11DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
96.0%
68
4.0%
Q4 - 11:13MEMMISS Ross 21' Jump Shot78
95.8%
68
4.2%
Q4 - 11:38DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)78
95.2%
68
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MEMLowry 18' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
92.7%
68
7.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)75
93.6%
66
6.4%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)74
93.5%
66
6.5%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENNuggets Rebound73
92.1%
66
7.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0MEMMISS Ross 19' Jump Shot73
91.7%
66
8.3%
Q3 - 0:18.0MEMGay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
90.7%
66
9.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0MEMMISS Lowry Layup73
91.7%
66
8.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)73
90.7%
66
9.3%
Q3 - 0:38.0DENAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)72
90.2%
66
9.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
88.6%
66
11.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 271
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q3 - 1:06MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
88.3%
65
11.7%
Q3 - 1:07DENMISS Carter 22' Jump Shot71
88.8%
65
11.2%
Q3 - 1:31MEMGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)71
90.0%
65
10.0%
Q3 - 1:49DENMartin Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)71
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 2:01MEMMiles Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)69
91.3%
62
8.7%
Q3 - 2:03DENWarrick STEAL (2 STL)69
93.9%
59
6.1%
Q3 - 2:28DENCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 2:31DENMISS Billups 13' Jump Shot69
94.2%
59
5.8%
Q3 - 2:36MEMGay Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)69
94.9%
59
5.1%
Q3 - 2:37MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
95.7%
57
4.3%
Q3 - 2:39DENMayo BLOCK (1 BLK)69
96.0%
57
4.0%
Q3 - 2:56MEMMayo 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
96.4%
57
3.6%
Q3 - 3:17MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
96.9%
55
3.1%
Q3 - 3:20DENMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)69
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 3:24DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
97.4%
55
2.6%
Q3 - 3:25MEMMISS Warrick 6' Jump Shot69
97.2%
55
2.8%
Q3 - 3:29MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
96.9%
55
3.1%
Q3 - 3:33DENMISS Billups 7' Running Hook Shot69
97.0%
55
3.0%
Q3 - 3:54MEMWarrick 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)69
97.4%
55
2.6%
Q3 - 3:57MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound69
97.8%
53
2.2%
Q3 - 3:57MEMMISS Gay Layup69
98.1%
53
1.9%
Q3 - 4:14DENNuggets Rebound69
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 4:14DENAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)69
97.6%
53
2.4%
Q3 - 4:14DENMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 268
97.5%
53
2.5%
Q3 - 4:19DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)68
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 4:21DENMISS Smith 20' Pullup Jump Shot68
97.3%
53
2.7%
Q3 - 4:33MEMGay Traveling Turnover (P6.T20)68
97.7%
53
2.3%
Q3 - 4:43DENBillups 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)68
97.1%
53
2.9%
Q3 - 5:01MEMArthur 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 4 AST)65
95.7%
53
4.3%
Q3 - 5:11MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)65
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 5:13DENMISS Billups 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
96.5%
51
3.5%
Q3 - 5:23MEMArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)65
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 5:32DENJones Traveling Turnover (P3.T17)65
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 5:43MEMGay Foul Turnover (P5.T18)65
96.9%
51
3.1%
Q3 - 5:57DENBillups 20' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)65
96.3%
51
3.7%
Q3 - 6:13MEMArthur Slam Dunk (6 PTS)63
95.5%
51
4.5%
Q3 - 6:24DENBillups 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)63
96.1%
49
3.9%
Q3 - 6:44MEMArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)61
95.5%
49
4.5%
Q3 - 7:07DENBillups 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Martin 4 AST)61
94.3%
49
5.7%
Q3 - 7:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
92.5%
49
7.5%
Q3 - 7:13MEMMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
92.1%
49
7.9%
Q3 - 7:45DENMayo STEAL (1 STL)58
91.3%
49
8.7%
Q3 - 7:50MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)58
92.5%
49
7.5%
Q3 - 8:15DENBillups Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)58
91.1%
49
8.9%
Q3 - 8:16DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
89.9%
49
10.1%
Q3 - 8:21MEMMISS Arthur Reverse Layup56
89.4%
49
10.6%
Q3 - 8:38DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
88.3%
49
11.7%
Q3 - 8:38DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)55
88.2%
49
11.8%
Q3 - 8:57MEMConley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)54
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 9:09DENNene Foul Turnover (P5.T15)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 9:12MEMMayo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)54
86.7%
49
13.3%
Q3 - 9:28DENSmith Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 9:32DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
86.7%
49
13.3%
Q3 - 9:35MEMGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 9:35MEMMISS Gay Putback Dunk54
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 9:37MEMMISS Conley 8' Turnaround Jump Shot54
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 9:44MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 9:44MEMMISS Gay 8' Jump Shot54
86.2%
49
13.8%
Q3 - 10:00DENJones Foul Turnover (P1.T13)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 10:02DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
86.6%
49
13.4%
Q3 - 10:04MEMMISS Arthur Layup54
86.1%
49
13.9%
Q3 - 10:05MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 10:06MEMMISS Mayo 22' Jump Shot54
86.1%
49
13.9%
Q3 - 10:30MEMGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 10:31DENMISS Martin 8' Jump Shot54
85.4%
49
14.6%
Q3 - 10:44MEMArthur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)54
86.6%
49
13.4%
Q3 - 10:55MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
84.9%
49
15.1%
Q3 - 10:57DENMISS Billups 19' Pullup Jump Shot54
85.4%
49
14.6%
Q3 - 11:12MEMMayo 22' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Conley 3 AST)54
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 11:24DENGay STEAL (2 STL)54
88.2%
47
11.8%
Q3 - 11:45MEMGay 13' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
89.6%
47
10.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MEM54
90.8%
45
9.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)54
90.8%
45
9.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)53
90.5%
45
9.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MEMJaric Foul Turnover (P2.T12)52
89.3%
45
10.7%
Q2 - 0:08.0MEMBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
88.4%
45
11.6%
Q2 - 0:09.0DENMISS Carter 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q2 - 0:28.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
89.4%
45
10.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0DENMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
88.7%
45
11.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
89.4%
45
10.6%
Q2 - 0:43.0MEMMISS Warrick Layup52
89.1%
45
10.9%
Q2 - 1:06MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
88.3%
45
11.7%
Q2 - 1:08DENMISS Jones Running Layup52
88.6%
45
11.4%
Q2 - 1:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
89.3%
45
10.7%
Q2 - 1:13MEMMISS Conley Layup52
89.0%
45
11.0%
Q2 - 1:33DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)52
88.3%
45
11.7%
Q2 - 1:33DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)51
88.0%
45
12.0%
Q2 - 1:38MEMWarrick Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)50
86.5%
45
13.5%
Q2 - 2:02DENMartin Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)50
85.1%
45
14.9%
Q2 - 2:17MEMArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
83.5%
45
16.5%
Q2 - 2:17MEMArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
83.9%
44
16.1%
Q2 - 2:27MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
85.1%
43
14.9%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Martin 15' Turnaround Jump Shot48
85.6%
43
14.4%
Q2 - 2:40DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
86.7%
43
13.3%
Q2 - 2:41MEMMISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot48
86.2%
43
13.8%
Q2 - 2:56MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound48
85.1%
43
14.9%
Q2 - 2:57DENMISS Martin 9' Running Jump Shot48
85.6%
43
14.4%
Q2 - 3:12MEMWarrick Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)48
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q2 - 3:18MEMMISS Gay Free Throw Technical48
85.2%
43
14.8%
Q2 - 3:20DENBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)48
85.2%
43
14.8%
Q2 - 3:24MEMMayo Foul Turnover (P1.T9)48
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q2 - 3:28MEMMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
85.2%
43
14.8%
Q2 - 3:29DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
85.7%
43
14.3%
Q2 - 3:38MEMGay Layup (6 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)48
86.9%
43
13.1%
Q2 - 3:56DENMartin Slam Dunk (6 PTS)48
88.1%
41
11.9%
Q2 - 4:13MEMConley Reverse Layup (6 PTS)46
86.8%
41
13.2%
Q2 - 4:18MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q2 - 4:19DENMISS Nene Layup46
88.5%
39
11.5%
Q2 - 4:24DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
89.4%
39
10.6%
Q2 - 4:25MEMMISS Conley 3PT Jump Shot46
89.0%
39
11.0%
Q2 - 4:31MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q2 - 4:33MEMMISS Conley Layup46
89.0%
39
11.0%
Q2 - 4:44DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)46
88.1%
39
11.9%
Q2 - 4:55DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
85.4%
39
14.6%
Q2 - 4:55MEMMISS Warrick 16' Jump Shot43
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 5:11DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)43
84.0%
39
16.0%
Q2 - 5:14MEMConley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)40
80.4%
39
19.6%
Q2 - 5:35DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)40
78.5%
39
21.5%
Q2 - 5:37MEMGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)37
74.2%
39
25.8%
Q2 - 6:00DENMartin Slam Dunk (4 PTS)37
71.9%
39
28.1%
Q2 - 6:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
69.7%
39
30.3%
Q2 - 6:10MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 6:10MEMMISS Warrick Tip Shot35
68.8%
39
31.2%
Q2 - 6:11MEMMISS Gay 21' Jump Shot35
68.8%
39
31.2%
Q2 - 6:28DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)35
66.8%
39
33.2%
Q2 - 6:28DENBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
66.6%
39
33.4%
Q2 - 6:34DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
64.6%
39
35.4%
Q2 - 6:35MEMMISS Conley 18' Jump Shot33
63.7%
39
36.3%
Q2 - 7:04DENNene Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)33
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 7:16MEMWarrick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)31
60.0%
39
40.0%
Q2 - 7:16MEMWarrick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
60.7%
38
39.3%
Q2 - 7:18MEMJaric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 7:20MEMMISS Warrick 7' Jump Shot31
64.5%
37
35.5%
Q2 - 7:21MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 7:24MEMMISS Jaric Finger Roll Layup31
64.5%
37
35.5%
Q2 - 7:27MEMJaric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 7:30DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
65.3%
37
34.7%
Q2 - 7:30DENMISS Kleiza Dunk31
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 7:31DENMISS Billups 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot31
63.4%
37
36.6%
Q2 - 7:38DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
65.3%
37
34.7%
Q2 - 7:39MEMMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot31
64.4%
37
35.6%
Q2 - 7:56DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
62.5%
37
37.5%
Q2 - 7:56DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 230
61.8%
37
38.2%
Q2 - 8:00MEMConley 7' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)30
62.6%
37
37.4%
Q2 - 8:13MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
65.9%
35
34.1%
Q2 - 8:14DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 230
66.2%
35
33.8%
Q2 - 8:14DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
67.7%
35
32.3%
Q2 - 8:28MEMMiles 7' Running Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Warrick 1 AST)29
65.8%
35
34.2%
Q2 - 8:33DENWarrick STEAL (1 STL)29
68.3%
33
31.7%
Q2 - 8:46MEMLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)29
70.6%
33
29.4%
Q2 - 8:59DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
68.3%
33
31.7%
Q2 - 8:59DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
67.7%
33
32.3%
Q2 - 9:13MEMMiles Layup (8 PTS) (Jaric 1 AST)27
66.1%
33
33.9%
Q2 - 9:24MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 9:25DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
69.1%
31
30.9%
Q2 - 9:33DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
70.7%
31
29.3%
Q2 - 9:36MEMMISS Miles Running Layup27
70.0%
31
30.0%
Q2 - 9:56DENBillups 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
68.4%
31
31.6%
Q2 - 10:14MEMMiles Layup (6 PTS)24
64.1%
31
35.9%
Q2 - 10:27MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 10:29DENMISS Andersen 21' Jump Shot24
67.1%
29
32.9%
Q2 - 10:51DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
68.7%
29
31.3%
Q2 - 10:53MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 10:53MEMMISS Warrick Tip Shot24
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q2 - 10:55MEMMISS Ross Layup24
68.0%
29
32.0%
Q2 - 10:59DENRoss STEAL (2 STL)24
66.4%
29
33.6%
Q2 - 11:07MEMMiles Driving Layup (4 PTS)24
68.8%
29
31.2%
Q2 - 11:21DENRoss STEAL (1 STL)24
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 11:38MEMJaric Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)24
73.0%
27
27.0%
Q2 - 11:39DENLowry STEAL (1 STL)24
70.9%
27
29.1%
Q2 - 11:44MEMMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
73.0%
27
27.0%
Q2 - 11:44MEMMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
73.7%
26
26.3%
Q2 - 11:45MEMMiles REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
74.9%
25
25.1%
Q2 - 11:46MEMMISS Warrick 5' Turnaround Jump Shot24
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
74.9%
25
25.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound24
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMISS Smith 46' 3PT Jump Shot24
75.5%
25
24.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MEMLowry Foul Turnover (P2.T4)24
76.8%
25
23.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENSmith 6' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)24
75.4%
25
24.6%
Q1 - 0:24.0DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
73.0%
25
27.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0MEMMISS Miles 17' Jump Shot22
72.5%
25
27.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw Technical22
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0DENAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
71.5%
25
28.5%
Q1 - 0:56.0MEMLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)22
73.0%
25
27.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MEMMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 222
73.4%
24
26.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MEMLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
73.4%
24
26.6%
Q1 - 0:59.0DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot22
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q1 - 1:18MEMLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
75.2%
24
24.8%
Q1 - 1:18MEMLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
75.6%
23
24.4%
Q1 - 1:22MEMWarrick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
77.5%
22
22.5%
Q1 - 1:23DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot22
77.8%
22
22.2%
Q1 - 1:36DENNuggets Rebound22
78.6%
22
21.4%
Q1 - 1:36MEMMISS Ross Layup22
78.3%
22
21.7%
Q1 - 1:54DENKleiza Layup (5 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)22
77.5%
22
22.5%
Q1 - 2:13DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
75.5%
22
24.5%
Q1 - 2:15MEMMISS Gay 12' Pullup Jump Shot20
75.1%
22
24.9%
Q1 - 2:29MEMGay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 2:31DENMISS Kleiza 13' Jump Shot20
74.5%
22
25.5%
Q1 - 2:39DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
75.5%
22
24.5%
Q1 - 2:40MEMMISS Gay Layup20
75.1%
22
24.9%
Q1 - 3:00DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)20
74.1%
22
25.9%
Q1 - 3:16MEMLowry Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
70.8%
22
29.2%
Q1 - 3:28DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)17
68.9%
22
31.1%
Q1 - 3:41MEMGay Layup (4 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)14
64.8%
22
35.2%
Q1 - 3:56DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
66.8%
20
33.2%
Q1 - 3:56DENAndersen Tip Shot (2 PTS)14
66.8%
20
33.2%
Q1 - 3:58DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
63.3%
20
36.7%
Q1 - 4:11MEMLowry 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)12
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q1 - 4:30DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
67.3%
18
32.7%
Q1 - 4:30DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 211
66.9%
18
33.1%
Q1 - 4:43MEMArthur 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)11
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 4:49MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound11
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 4:49MEMMISS Gasol Layup11
70.6%
16
29.4%
Q1 - 5:00DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T5)11
69.2%
16
30.8%
Q1 - 5:17MEMMayo Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)11
71.0%
16
29.0%
Q1 - 5:17MEMMayo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)11
71.3%
15
28.7%
Q1 - 5:26DENMartin Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)11
72.6%
14
27.4%
Q1 - 5:40MEMMayo 12' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)11
74.5%
14
25.5%
Q1 - 5:56MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
75.9%
12
24.1%
Q1 - 5:57DENMISS Nene 18' Jump Shot11
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 6:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
78.0%
12
22.0%
Q1 - 6:04MEMMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot11
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 6:07MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound11
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 6:09MEMMISS Gasol 5' Jump Shot11
77.5%
12
22.5%
Q1 - 6:21DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
76.4%
12
23.6%
Q1 - 6:30DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
77.9%
12
22.1%
Q1 - 6:32MEMMISS Gay Free Throw 3 of 311
77.7%
12
22.3%
Q1 - 6:32MEMGay Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)11
76.7%
12
23.3%
Q1 - 6:32MEMGay Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)11
77.0%
11
23.0%
Q1 - 6:48MEMGRIZZLIES Rebound11
79.3%
10
20.7%
Q1 - 6:48MEMMISS Gasol Layup11
80.3%
10
19.7%
Q1 - 6:55MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
79.3%
10
20.7%
Q1 - 6:57DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot11
79.7%
10
20.3%
Q1 - 7:09MEMMayo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Conley 2 AST)11
81.0%
10
19.0%
Q1 - 7:28DENSmith 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)11
83.3%
7
16.7%
Q1 - 7:34DENNuggets Rebound9
82.2%
7
17.8%
Q1 - 7:34DENMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot9
81.3%
7
18.7%
Q1 - 7:52MEMConley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
82.2%
7
17.8%
Q1 - 7:52MEMConley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
82.5%
6
17.5%
Q1 - 8:03DENJones 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
83.6%
5
16.4%
Q1 - 8:27MEMMayo 22' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)7
82.4%
5
17.6%
Q1 - 8:32DENGay STEAL (1 STL)7
83.6%
3
16.4%
Q1 - 8:42DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
84.7%
3
15.3%
Q1 - 8:43MEMMISS Conley 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
84.4%
3
15.6%
Q1 - 8:52DENArthur STEAL (1 STL)7
83.6%
3
16.4%
Q1 - 9:04MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)7
84.8%
3
15.2%
Q1 - 9:13MEMArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
83.9%
3
16.1%
Q1 - 9:14MEMMISS Gay 3PT Jump Shot7
84.5%
3
15.5%
Q1 - 9:44DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
83.8%
3
16.2%
Q1 - 9:56DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
81.4%
3
18.6%
Q1 - 9:58MEMMISS Mayo 21' Jump Shot4
81.1%
3
18.9%
Q1 - 10:18DENJones Layup (2 PTS)4
80.3%
3
19.7%
Q1 - 10:22MEMGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
79.2%
3
20.8%
Q1 - 10:37MEMConley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
77.9%
3
22.1%
Q1 - 10:38DENMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot2
78.3%
3
21.7%
Q1 - 10:56MEMMayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Conley 1 AST)2
79.2%
3
20.8%
Q1 - 11:03DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 11:03DENMISS Billups 3PT Jump Shot2
81.8%
0
18.2%
Q1 - 11:23MEMMISS Gasol Layup2
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 11:42DENMartin 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
81.5%
0
18.5%
Q1 - 12:00MEMJump Ball Gasol vs. Nene: Tip to Martin0
80.5%
0
19.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.6%
MEM
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
15
24
63%
MEM
13
37
35%
Midrange
DEN
8
25
32%
MEM
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
MEM
4
6.0
9
44%
67%
Free Throws
DEN
27
34
79%
MEM
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Billups2976%14.5 / 19
J. Smith2063%10.0 / 16
L. Kleiza1667%8.0 / 12
K. Martin1250%6.0 / 12
Nene1050%5.0 / 10
C. Andersen770%3.5 / 5
D. Jones429%2.0 / 7
J. Petro233%1.0 / 3
A. Carter0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
O. Mayo1968%9.5 / 14
R. Gay1343%6.5 / 15
K. Lowry1359%6.5 / 11
D. Miles1365%6.5 / 10
H. Warrick935%4.5 / 13
D. Arthur857%4.0 / 7
M. Conley630%3.0 / 10
Q. Ross220%1.0 / 5
M. Jaric250%1.0 / 2
M. Gasol0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
72
+16
-27
88
MEM
71
+17
-26
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.11 55.6%
MEM
0.91 45.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
103.4
DEN 101.0
MEM 87.6 +13.4
Pace
94.5
90.3
DEN 93.7
MEM 102.9 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.2
DEN 15.4
MEM 14.0 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
48.6%
DEN 50.7% +10.7%
MEM 40.0%
TO %
15.8%
15.6%
DEN 23.7%
MEM 21.8% +1.9%
ORB %
27.5%
25.9%
DEN 32.5% +5.2%
MEM 27.3%
FTrt
38.2
32.9
DEN 47.2 +9.7
MEM 37.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
49.7%
DEN 43.8%
MEM 56.7% +12.9%
STL %
9.1%
8.2%
DEN 15.2% +2.8%
MEM 12.4%
BLK %
9.7%
7.9%
DEN 21.1% +10.9%
MEM 10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
51.5%
DEN 55.6% +9.9%
MEM 45.7%
Rim FG%
60.5%
55.3%
DEN 62.5% +27.4%
MEM 35.1%
Mid FG%
38.7%
40.9%
DEN 32.0%
MEM 38.2% +6.2%
3P %
37.1%
36.0%
DEN 39.1%
MEM 44.4% +5.3%
FT %
76.0%
75.6%
DEN 79.4% +9.4%
MEM 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
37.2%
DEN 33.3%
MEM 46.3% +12.9%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
45.3%
DEN 34.7% +7.8%
MEM 42.5%
3P Att. %
22.7%
17.5%
DEN 31.9% +20.7%
MEM 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENMEM
Possessions9997
Possession Minutes25.422.6
Points10085
Rebounds4539
Assists1417
Steals1512
Blocks155
Turnovers (Team)27 (0)26 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (3)27 (1)
Field Goals32-7230-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2413-37
Midrange FG8-2513-34
2-Point FG23-4926-71
3-Point FG9-234-9
Free Throws27-3421-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 225 · 23
36.6
20
63%
5
2
2
2
2
4
0
5
7-8
88%
2-5
40%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
35.8
12
50%
10
4
5
3
1
2
2
8
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
35.1
29
76%
4
3
4
2
4
3
0
4
9-9
100%
4-7
57%
4-8
50%
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
27.4
10
50%
7
1
1
2
8
4
1
6
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 225 · 28
21.0
4
29%
3
0
1
0
4
4
3
0
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
26.9
16
67%
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
5
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
26.1
7
70%
5
0
0
5
3
4
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
22.9
0
0%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
2.3
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
56%
45
14
15
15
27
0
13
32
27-34
79%
23-49
47%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.