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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Nuggets74%100100
29Grizzlies26%9285
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
36.6
31.9
20
64%
5
2
2
1
2
2
0
5
7-8
88%
2-5
4-8
40%
52%
3-7
43%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.1
35.8
31.2
12
50%
10
4
5
1
3
1
2
8
0-0
-
6-11
5-10
55%
52%
0-1
0%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.3
35.1
31.3
29
76%
4
3
4
1
2
4
0
4
9-9
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
47%
4-8
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
27.4
31.2
10
53%
7
1
1
1
2
8
1
6
6-10
60%
2-5
5-9
40%
59%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
21.0
16.2
4
29%
3
0
1
1
0
4
3
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
49%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.1
26.9
27.6
16
60%
7
1
1
1
0
1
2
5
2-3
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
56%
2-6
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
26.1
21.5
7
74%
5
0
0
0
5
3
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
56%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.6
22.9
28.9
0
0%
2
2
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
3.5
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.0
2.3
5.7
2
33%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
2.3
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
10.0
0
2-4
50%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
37.1
35.5
13
41%
8
1
2
1
1
6
3
5
2-4
50%
4-12
6-12
33%
49%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.2
32.8
34.1
19
68%
2
2
2
1
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
47%
3-4
75%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.3
28.3
29.8
6
30%
2
4
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-2
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.8
24.4
22.6
8
58%
9
2
1
1
0
3
3
6
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
19.8
29.2
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-5
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
28.0
25.2
9
34%
10
1
2
1
0
4
4
6
3-5
60%
3-11
4-9
27%
51%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.8
24.8
17.2
13
59%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
5-9
56%
4-6
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
18.8
14.3
13
63%
2
1
1
1
2
0
1
1
3-3
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
47%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.7
12.0
11.3
2
19%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.1
11.8
11.6
2
50%
2
1
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
2.3
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.7
1.5
0
0-0
51%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.