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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Spurs47%94106
12Jazz53%95100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
38.7
30.9
24
58%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
7-14
7-14
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
36.6
30.1
24
59%
9
8
2
1
3
3
3
6
4-10
40%
10-16
7-13
63%
50%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
36.5
22.8
13
82%
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-4
75%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
32.2
22.5
20
100%
5
0
2
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
52%
6-7
86%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
23.7
24.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
29.2
24.8
13
63%
9
5
4
1
1
6
0
9
11-12
92%
1-2
3-6
50%
50%
0-3
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
9.3
15.5
4
45%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
8.9
18.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
8.9
8.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
8.7
23.1
4
58%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-3
1-1
67%
42%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
7.2
12.3
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
2.0
0
0-1
40%
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
43.9
34.7
19
54%
4
13
2
1
0
3
1
3
2-6
33%
7-12
5-10
58%
51%
1-3
33%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
42.8
19.7
16
50%
5
2
1
1
1
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-10
2-5
40%
51%
2-5
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
42.0
31.1
22
59%
17
3
2
1
1
2
3
14
6-6
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
49%
2-5
40%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.9
39.7
27.7
23
82%
2
2
1
1
0
4
0
2
6-7
86%
7-9
4-8
78%
55%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.0
38.1
32.8
14
54%
9
0
0
1
0
2
2
7
0-0
-
7-13
6-11
54%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.9
13.9
24.9
4
34%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-2
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.7
12.1
17.0
2
33%
7
2
0
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
49%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
4.2
12.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
2.6
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
0.7
15.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
9.7
0
1-2
45%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
5.0
0
0-1
43%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.