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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 27, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bobcats20%90117
2Lakers80%101110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.6
53.0
36.4
21
56%
11
9
0
1
1
2
1
10
4-4
100%
7-13
4-9
54%
43%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
48.2
34.9
23
42%
9
9
2
1
0
3
0
9
5-8
63%
6-17
5-9
35%
50%
2-7
29%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 32.4
47.7
35.4
17
66%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
44%
3-6
50%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 26.3
46.6
28.7
18
60%
11
2
1
1
1
1
2
9
6-7
86%
6-12
5-9
50%
53%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
32.0
35.6
15
51%
4
2
2
2
0
2
0
4
1-4
25%
7-11
5-9
64%
49%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.2
22.1
9.9
14
64%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
2-5
40%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 36.0
14.9
13.7
2
35%
3
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 27.0
11.4
12.1
4
67%
6
0
1
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 24.5
9.1
9.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
1-2
50%
Sean Singletary
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.4
5.0
10.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 31.4
4.6
0
1-1
47%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 20.7
3.5
0
1-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 24.8
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 30.4
45.4
33.8
38
60%
8
5
1
1
0
2
2
6
7-8
88%
14-25
7-13
56%
51%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 34.5
41.8
28.4
14
64%
1
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 28.6
41.7
32.9
10
29%
7
1
0
0
0
3
6
1
2-3
67%
4-16
6-10
25%
55%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 21.3
41.1
27.7
24
74%
14
1
0
0
6
4
2
12
4-5
80%
10-14
6-10
71%
58%
0-0
-
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.8
17.9
16.8
5
50%
2
1
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 29.2
33.2
26.4
7
33%
4
1
1
1
2
0
1
3
3-6
50%
2-8
3-6
25%
54%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
29.7
19.8
10
53%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
3-8
38%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 22.2
21.1
16.8
2
14%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 23.6
11.1
24.3
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-1
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
7.0
12.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.0
6.0
0
1-2
49%
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.5
4.1
0
1-1
48%
Yue Sun
G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.