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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Bucks43%9899
19Pacers57%100107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
42.3
24.8
28
59%
8
4
1
1
1
5
0
8
10-11
91%
9-16
5-10
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
35.8
23.6
16
52%
3
3
1
1
1
4
1
2
8-10
80%
4-11
4-7
36%
47%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
30.6
33.1
19
55%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
7-10
70%
3-11
5-10
27%
48%
2-2
100%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
30.6
31.3
10
51%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
46%
0-4
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
2.8
12.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
29.6
16.6
10
83%
5
0
4
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
28.9
14.4
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
19.4
21.8
4
69%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.7
10.3
17.0
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
6.9
10.0
5
102%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
2.9
14.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
4.3
0
0-0
42%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
42.1
27.1
14
44%
2
6
3
1
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
6-12
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.9
36.5
26.1
34
69%
1
3
2
1
0
5
0
1
6-8
75%
14-21
4-9
67%
47%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.7
33.9
30.4
11
50%
13
0
1
1
0
4
1
12
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
3-7
43%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.0
28.3
21.5
7
72%
9
1
0
1
0
0
2
7
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
27.9
26.2
14
56%
3
2
0
1
1
3
0
3
6-10
60%
1-4
4-7
25%
49%
2-4
50%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
29.2
19.7
3
22%
4
4
3
1
0
2
2
2
1-4
25%
1-4
3-7
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.7
21.9
15.5
14
78%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-9
3-6
78%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.6
12.4
15.0
7
102%
3
1
0
0
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.7
6.6
6.4
3
32%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
0-3
1-1
0%
56%
0-0
-
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.1
1.1
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
12.8
0
1-1
45%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
7.3
0
1-1
45%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.