FinalWin Prob.pScore
2543%98
99
1957%100
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
95.2104107.6
IND logo IND
102.9104100.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILIND
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL99
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)99
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 299
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MILDaniels STEAL (3 STL)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)99
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)99
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDPACERS Rebound99
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILMISS Alexander 1' Layup99
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)99
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 299
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 0:11.0INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 299
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)99
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0MILMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot99
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)99
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 0:19.0INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 299
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)99
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDMISS Dunleavy 21' Jump Shot99
2.6%
103
97.4%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILBell 9' Jump Bank Shot (5 PTS)99
3.3%
103
96.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0INDFord Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T23)97
1.9%
103
98.1%
Q4 - 1:18INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)97
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 1:19MILMISS Jefferson 21' Jump Shot97
2.9%
103
97.1%
Q4 - 1:32INDFord 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (32 PTS)97
5.3%
103
94.7%
Q4 - 2:00INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
9.3%
101
90.7%
Q4 - 2:00MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 297
10.0%
101
90.0%
Q4 - 2:00MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 297
13.5%
101
86.5%
Q4 - 2:03INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T22)97
16.3%
101
83.7%
Q4 - 2:16MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
8.9%
101
91.1%
Q4 - 2:16MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)96
8.3%
101
91.7%
Q4 - 2:27INDFord 3' Layup (30 PTS)95
6.8%
101
93.2%
Q4 - 2:40MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P5.T20)95
8.8%
99
91.2%
Q4 - 2:49MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)95
16.6%
99
83.4%
Q4 - 2:51INDMISS Jack 8' Jump Shot95
15.5%
99
84.5%
Q4 - 3:11MILVillanueva 14' Floating Jump Shot (28 PTS)95
10.7%
99
89.3%
Q4 - 3:25INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)93
8.0%
99
92.0%
Q4 - 3:25INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 293
8.3%
98
91.7%
Q4 - 3:35MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)93
10.8%
98
89.2%
Q4 - 3:35MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)92
10.3%
98
89.7%
Q4 - 3:50INDJack Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)91
7.6%
98
92.4%
Q4 - 3:55INDPACERS Rebound91
10.4%
96
89.6%
Q4 - 3:56INDMISS Jack 13' Jump Shot91
13.4%
96
86.6%
Q4 - 4:05MILMurphy STEAL (1 STL)91
10.3%
96
89.7%
Q4 - 4:11MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
14.8%
96
85.2%
Q4 - 4:12INDMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot91
13.2%
96
86.8%
Q4 - 4:29MILVillanueva Double Dribble Turnover (P4.T18)91
10.1%
96
89.9%
Q4 - 4:41INDNesterovic 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)91
14.6%
96
85.4%
Q4 - 5:07MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)91
22.6%
94
77.4%
Q4 - 5:07MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)90
21.7%
94
78.3%
Q4 - 5:16INDJack Foul Turnover (P3.T21)89
17.4%
94
82.6%
Q4 - 5:33MILDaniels STEAL (2 STL)89
12.8%
94
87.2%
Q4 - 5:46INDMurphy Foul Turnover (P4.T20)89
17.3%
94
82.7%
Q4 - 6:06MILMbah a Moute 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)89
15.2%
94
84.8%
Q4 - 6:16MILBucks Rebound87
11.8%
94
88.2%
Q4 - 6:17INDMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot87
10.8%
94
89.2%
Q4 - 6:40INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)87
8.8%
94
91.2%
Q4 - 6:40MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 287
9.1%
94
90.9%
Q4 - 6:40MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)87
11.0%
94
89.0%
Q4 - 6:59INDMurphy 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)86
8.8%
94
91.2%
Q4 - 7:13INDFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
13.1%
92
86.9%
Q4 - 7:14MILMISS Sessions 19' Jump Shot86
14.1%
92
85.9%
Q4 - 7:30INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T19)86
16.8%
92
83.2%
Q4 - 7:43MILMbah a Moute 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)86
13.0%
92
87.0%
Q4 - 7:55INDJack 11' Running Bank Shot (12 PTS)84
10.3%
92
89.7%
Q4 - 8:17INDPACERS Rebound84
14.8%
90
85.2%
Q4 - 8:18MILMISS Villanueva 3' Layup84
15.8%
90
84.2%
Q4 - 8:25INDMurphy Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T18)84
18.2%
90
81.8%
Q4 - 8:40INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
14.7%
90
85.3%
Q4 - 8:41MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot84
15.7%
90
84.3%
Q4 - 8:55INDFord 8' Running Bank Shot (27 PTS)84
18.1%
90
81.9%
Q4 - 9:13MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
24.0%
88
76.0%
Q4 - 9:13MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)83
23.3%
88
76.7%
Q4 - 9:28INDFord 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)82
19.7%
88
80.3%
Q4 - 9:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
24.0%
86
76.0%
Q4 - 9:38MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot82
25.3%
86
74.7%
Q4 - 9:51INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)82
28.4%
86
71.6%
Q4 - 10:04MILVillanueva 10' Running Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
24.9%
86
75.1%
Q4 - 10:34INDFord 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)80
20.8%
86
79.2%
Q4 - 10:47MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)80
24.8%
84
75.2%
Q4 - 10:47MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
24.2%
84
75.8%
Q4 - 11:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)78
21.8%
84
78.2%
Q4 - 11:10INDMISS Daniels 1' Layup78
20.7%
84
79.3%
Q4 - 11:15INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)78
18.5%
84
81.5%
Q4 - 11:16MILMISS Lue 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
19.4%
84
80.5%
Q4 - 11:34INDDaniels 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)78
21.7%
84
78.3%
Q4 - 11:46MILMbah a Moute Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T16)78
25.8%
82
74.2%
Q4 - 11:48MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
29.9%
82
70.1%
Q4 - 11:49MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot78
27.0%
82
73.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND78
29.8%
82
70.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound78
25.8%
82
74.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Murphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
28.6%
82
71.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)78
26.7%
82
73.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0INDMISS Foster 19' Jump Shot78
29.2%
82
70.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)78
26.6%
82
73.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)77
26.0%
82
74.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)76
22.4%
82
77.6%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
26.6%
80
73.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
27.7%
80
72.3%
Q3 - 1:05MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
30.5%
80
69.5%
Q3 - 1:06INDMISS Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
29.4%
80
70.6%
Q3 - 1:21MILSessions 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)76
26.9%
80
73.1%
Q3 - 1:26INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)74
22.9%
80
77.1%
Q3 - 1:37MILJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
19.9%
80
80.1%
Q3 - 1:50INDDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)74
22.9%
80
77.1%
Q3 - 1:55MILJack STEAL (3 STL)74
19.9%
80
80.1%
Q3 - 2:19INDJack 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS)74
23.7%
80
76.3%
Q3 - 2:27MILMbah a Moute 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS)74
27.2%
78
72.8%
Q3 - 2:29MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
23.7%
78
76.3%
Q3 - 2:31MILMISS Sessions 3' Jump Shot72
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q3 - 2:43MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)72
23.6%
78
76.4%
Q3 - 2:44INDMISS Daniels 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
22.6%
78
77.4%
Q3 - 2:58INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
20.4%
78
79.6%
Q3 - 2:59MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot72
21.4%
78
78.6%
Q3 - 3:06INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)72
24.5%
78
75.5%
Q3 - 3:22INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
21.1%
78
78.9%
Q3 - 3:23MILMISS Villanueva 14' Jump Shot72
22.1%
78
77.9%
Q3 - 3:42INDNesterovic 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)72
24.4%
78
75.6%
Q3 - 3:54INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
27.7%
76
72.3%
Q3 - 3:55MILMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot72
28.9%
76
71.1%
Q3 - 4:09INDNesterovic 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)72
32.1%
76
67.9%
Q3 - 4:23INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
35.4%
74
64.6%
Q3 - 4:24MILMISS Sessions 4' Jump Shot72
36.8%
74
63.2%
Q3 - 4:35INDGraham Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T13)72
40.1%
74
59.9%
Q3 - 4:54MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)72
35.4%
74
64.6%
Q3 - 4:54MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)71
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q3 - 5:05INDFord 3' Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS)70
32.1%
74
67.9%
Q3 - 5:16MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)70
35.4%
72
64.6%
Q3 - 5:22INDDunleavy Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)68
32.1%
72
67.9%
Q3 - 5:36MILJefferson 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)68
28.2%
72
71.8%
Q3 - 5:44MILBucks Rebound66
25.3%
72
74.7%
Q3 - 5:44MILDunleavy BLOCK (1 BLK)66
22.9%
72
77.1%
Q3 - 5:50INDDunleavy Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)66
25.3%
72
74.7%
Q3 - 6:00MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)66
21.9%
72
78.1%
Q3 - 6:00MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)65
21.4%
72
78.6%
Q3 - 6:08MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
20.1%
72
79.9%
Q3 - 6:09INDMISS Nesterovic 4' Layup64
19.3%
72
80.7%
Q3 - 6:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)64
17.4%
72
82.6%
Q3 - 6:26MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
18.2%
72
81.8%
Q3 - 6:41MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
20.1%
72
79.9%
Q3 - 6:42INDMISS Dunleavy 16' Jump Shot64
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q3 - 6:51INDPACERS Rebound64
17.4%
72
82.6%
Q3 - 6:51INDMISS Jack 8' Jump Shot64
19.2%
72
80.8%
Q3 - 7:02MILElson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Villanueva 4 AST)64
18.1%
72
81.9%
Q3 - 7:17INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)62
16.0%
72
84.0%
Q3 - 7:31MILElson Foul Turnover (P1.T13)62
20.5%
69
79.5%
Q3 - 7:43INDJack 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)62
23.2%
69
76.8%
Q3 - 7:59INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)62
25.9%
67
74.1%
Q3 - 8:00MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
26.9%
67
73.1%
Q3 - 8:10MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
29.4%
67
70.6%
Q3 - 8:11INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
28.3%
67
71.7%
Q3 - 8:20MILVillanueva 9' Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
26.1%
67
73.9%
Q3 - 8:35INDPACERS Rebound60
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 8:35INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
23.5%
67
76.5%
Q3 - 8:35INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 260
23.9%
66
76.1%
Q3 - 8:46MILElson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)60
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 8:46MILElson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
22.7%
66
77.3%
Q3 - 8:58MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
20.9%
66
79.1%
Q3 - 8:59INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot58
20.1%
66
79.9%
Q3 - 9:16MILJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)58
18.8%
66
81.2%
Q3 - 9:27INDDunleavy Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)55
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 9:39MILJefferson Foul Turnover (P1.T12)55
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q3 - 9:53INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)55
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 9:53INDMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 255
14.9%
65
85.1%
Q3 - 9:58INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 9:59MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q3 - 10:14INDFord 3' Layup (18 PTS)55
17.2%
65
82.8%
Q3 - 10:16MILFord STEAL (2 STL)55
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 10:19MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
21.7%
63
78.3%
Q3 - 10:20INDMISS Ford 19' Jump Shot55
20.9%
63
79.1%
Q3 - 10:30INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 10:31MILMISS Sessions 7' Jump Shot55
20.0%
63
80.0%
Q3 - 10:38INDFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)55
21.6%
63
78.4%
Q3 - 11:00MILJefferson 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)55
19.3%
63
80.7%
Q3 - 11:10MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
15.9%
63
84.1%
Q3 - 11:11INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
15.3%
63
84.7%
Q3 - 11:29INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)52
14.0%
63
86.0%
Q3 - 11:29MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 252
14.2%
63
85.8%
Q3 - 11:29MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
15.4%
63
84.6%
Q3 - 11:40MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
14.1%
63
85.9%
Q3 - 11:42INDMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND51
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
12.4%
63
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS Baston 3' Layup51
13.6%
63
86.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MILLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)51
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q2 - 0:24.0INDHibbert Foul Turnover (P1.T8)51
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0MILRidnour 8' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
13.2%
63
86.8%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDMISS Ford 3' Layup49
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q2 - 1:09MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q2 - 1:09MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q2 - 1:23INDFord 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)47
9.4%
63
90.6%
Q2 - 1:36INDPACERS Rebound47
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 1:36MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q2 - 1:43MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q2 - 1:44INDMISS Baston Dunk47
11.5%
61
88.5%
Q2 - 2:07MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q2 - 2:07MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)46
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q2 - 2:14INDGraham Foul Turnover (P2.T7)45
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q2 - 2:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
8.8%
61
91.2%
Q2 - 2:30MILMISS Sessions 19' Jump Shot45
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q2 - 2:45INDFoster 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Graham 1 AST)45
9.9%
61
90.1%
Q2 - 2:54INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
11.1%
59
88.9%
Q2 - 2:55INDMISS Jack 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
12.0%
59
88.0%
Q2 - 3:12MILSessions 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
11.4%
59
88.6%
Q2 - 3:26INDGraham 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)43
10.4%
59
89.6%
Q2 - 3:44MILVillanueva 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)43
11.4%
57
88.6%
Q2 - 3:54INDGraham Foul Turnover (P1.T6)41
10.4%
57
89.6%
Q2 - 4:02MILVillanueva 1' Driving Slam Dunk (12 PTS)41
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q2 - 4:07INDNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
8.6%
57
91.4%
Q2 - 4:27MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
7.6%
57
92.4%
Q2 - 4:27MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q2 - 4:35INDGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 4:44INDJack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
8.5%
54
91.5%
Q2 - 4:45MILMISS Elson 1' Tip Shot37
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 4:47MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q2 - 4:48MILMISS Sessions 6' Jump Shot37
8.8%
54
91.2%
Q2 - 5:00INDNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)37
9.6%
54
90.4%
Q2 - 5:09INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)37
11.2%
52
88.8%
Q2 - 5:11MILMISS Ridnour 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.6%
52
88.4%
Q2 - 5:36INDJack 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 5:41MILJack STEAL (2 STL)37
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q2 - 5:52MILElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 5:53INDMISS Nesterovic 3' Layup37
14.7%
50
85.3%
Q2 - 6:14MILSessions 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)37
14.1%
50
85.9%
Q2 - 6:23INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)35
13.0%
50
87.0%
Q2 - 6:23INDPACERS Rebound35
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 6:23INDMISS Jack 18' Jump Shot35
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q2 - 6:47INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 6:49MILMISS Villanueva 19' Jump Shot35
11.9%
50
88.1%
Q2 - 7:06INDDunleavy 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)35
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q2 - 7:14INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 7:15MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.0%
48
85.0%
Q2 - 7:33INDJack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)35
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q2 - 7:47INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 7:49MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 235
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 7:49MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
15.7%
48
84.3%
Q2 - 7:50MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 7:51MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot34
13.6%
48
86.4%
Q2 - 7:56MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 7:59INDMISS Murphy 12' Jump Shot34
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q2 - 8:10MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)34
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 8:26INDMurphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)31
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 8:43MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)31
13.7%
45
86.3%
Q2 - 8:55MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.3%
45
88.7%
Q2 - 8:57INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 228
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 8:57INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)28
10.4%
45
89.6%
Q2 - 9:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)28
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 9:04MILMISS Ridnour 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
11.9%
44
88.1%
Q2 - 9:14MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 9:15INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 9:30MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)28
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 9:36MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
12.8%
44
87.2%
Q2 - 9:37INDMISS Murphy 9' Jump Shot28
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 9:53MILSessions 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 10:07INDFoster 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)26
11.0%
44
89.0%
Q2 - 10:08INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
12.1%
42
87.9%
Q2 - 10:10INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
12.9%
42
87.1%
Q2 - 10:24MILVillanueva 5' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)26
12.0%
42
88.0%
Q2 - 10:41INDFord 11' Running Bank Shot (14 PTS)24
11.0%
42
89.0%
Q2 - 11:06MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P1.T7)24
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 11:16INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)24
13.7%
40
86.3%
Q2 - 11:26MILAllen 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)24
12.5%
40
87.5%
Q2 - 11:45INDNesterovic 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)22
11.5%
40
88.5%
Q2 - 11:46INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 11:47INDMISS Dunleavy 10' Jump Shot22
13.3%
38
86.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL22
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDFord 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)22
14.1%
38
85.9%
Q1 - 0:26.0MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
15.6%
36
84.4%
Q1 - 0:36.0MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q1 - 0:38.0INDMISS Baston 3' Layup19
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDBaston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDMISS Ford 18' Jump Shot19
12.7%
36
87.3%
Q1 - 1:00MILAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q1 - 1:09INDBaston Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
10.6%
36
89.4%
Q1 - 1:09INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)16
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q1 - 1:17INDNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.8%
34
88.2%
Q1 - 1:18MILMISS Villanueva Free Throw 1 of 116
11.9%
34
88.1%
Q1 - 1:30INDNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)14
10.6%
34
89.4%
Q1 - 1:49INDPACERS Rebound14
11.8%
32
88.2%
Q1 - 1:50MILMISS Jefferson 14' Jump Shot14
12.0%
32
88.0%
Q1 - 2:09MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.1%
32
86.9%
Q1 - 2:10INDMISS Baston Free Throw 2 of 214
13.0%
32
87.0%
Q1 - 2:10INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
12.3%
32
87.7%
Q1 - 2:24MILAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)14
13.3%
31
86.7%
Q1 - 2:37MILAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.2%
31
85.8%
Q1 - 2:39INDMISS Ford 2' Layup14
13.9%
31
86.1%
Q1 - 3:02INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q1 - 3:03MILMISS Jefferson 20' Jump Shot14
13.7%
31
86.3%
Q1 - 3:17INDGraham Putback Dunk (2 PTS)14
14.5%
31
85.5%
Q1 - 3:18INDGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 3:20INDMISS Daniels 14' Jump Shot14
16.5%
29
83.5%
Q1 - 3:38MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
15.6%
29
84.4%
Q1 - 3:38MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
15.4%
29
84.6%
Q1 - 3:51INDJack Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
14.4%
29
85.6%
Q1 - 3:51INDJack Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
14.6%
28
85.4%
Q1 - 3:54INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
15.6%
27
84.4%
Q1 - 3:56INDMISS Jack 5' Jump Shot12
16.5%
27
83.5%
Q1 - 4:11MILDaniels STEAL (1 STL)12
16.0%
27
84.0%
Q1 - 4:30INDFoster 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)12
17.3%
27
82.7%
Q1 - 4:35INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 4:36INDMISS Jack 15' Jump Shot12
19.5%
25
80.5%
Q1 - 4:50MILJefferson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Elson 1 AST)12
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 5:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)10
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q1 - 5:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)10
17.4%
24
82.6%
Q1 - 5:00INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 310
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q1 - 5:12INDPACERS Rebound10
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 5:13MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot10
19.3%
23
80.7%
Q1 - 5:38INDFord 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)10
20.4%
23
79.6%
Q1 - 5:42MILFord STEAL (1 STL)10
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 5:48MILAlexander REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.4%
21
76.6%
Q1 - 5:49INDMISS Ford 17' Jump Shot10
22.8%
21
77.2%
Q1 - 6:00MILLue 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)10
21.7%
21
78.3%
Q1 - 6:22INDFord 14' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)8
20.5%
21
79.5%
Q1 - 6:47MILMbah a Moute 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)8
21.9%
19
78.1%
Q1 - 7:02INDDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)6
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 7:12INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 7:13MILMISS Mbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot6
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 7:26INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 7:49INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
23.3%
16
76.7%
Q1 - 7:50MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Shot6
23.8%
16
76.2%
Q1 - 8:05INDMurphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)6
24.9%
16
75.1%
Q1 - 8:17INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
28.2%
13
71.8%
Q1 - 8:18MILMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot6
28.8%
13
71.2%
Q1 - 8:35INDFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)6
30.0%
13
70.0%
Q1 - 8:35INDFord Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)6
30.2%
12
69.8%
Q1 - 8:43MILJack STEAL (1 STL)6
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 8:52INDDunleavy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)6
33.6%
11
66.4%
Q1 - 9:10MILGadzuric Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
38.1%
8
61.9%
Q1 - 9:20INDFord 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)6
39.8%
8
60.2%
Q1 - 9:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.9%
6
58.1%
Q1 - 9:26MILMISS Villanueva 20' Jump Shot6
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 9:41MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.6%
6
56.4%
Q1 - 9:42INDMISS Ford 9' Jump Shot6
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 9:55MILRidnour 17' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
41.8%
6
58.2%
Q1 - 10:01MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.0%
6
60.0%
Q1 - 10:02INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
39.5%
6
60.5%
Q1 - 10:22MILJefferson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gadzuric 1 AST)4
38.2%
6
61.8%
Q1 - 10:33MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.5%
6
63.5%
Q1 - 10:34INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 3 of 32
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 10:34INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)2
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 10:34INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)2
35.4%
5
64.6%
Q1 - 10:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
38.2%
4
61.8%
Q1 - 10:41MILMISS Villanueva 10' Jump Shot2
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 10:55INDJack Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 11:01MILSessions Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
41.5%
2
58.5%
Q1 - 11:14INDFord 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)2
43.2%
2
56.8%
Q1 - 11:40MILRidnour 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
44.8%
0
55.2%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Foster vs. Gadzuric: Tip to Ridnour0
43.2%
0
56.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.3%
IND
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
10
17
59%
IND
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIL
19
39
49%
IND
20
39
51%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
3
4.5
13
23%
35%
IND
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
MIL
32
38
84%
IND
20
31
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva2861%14.0 / 23
R. Jefferson1953%9.5 / 18
R. Sessions1650%8.0 / 16
L. Ridnour1050%5.0 / 10
L. Mbah a Moute1083%5.0 / 6
C. Bell550%2.5 / 5
M. Allen5125%2.5 / 2
F. Elson467%2.0 / 3
T. Lue250%1.0 / 2
D. Gadzuric0-0.0 / 0
J. Alexander0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Ford3468%17.0 / 25
J. Jack1444%7.0 / 16
M. Dunleavy1458%7.0 / 12
R. Nesterovic1478%7.0 / 9
T. Murphy1150%5.5 / 11
J. Foster770%3.5 / 5
S. Graham7117%3.5 / 3
M. Daniels321%1.5 / 7
M. Baston338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
83
+5
-21
88
IND
82
+15
-22
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.13 56.3%
IND
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.3
108.1
MIL 95.2 +7.7
IND 102.9
Pace
93.0
96.5
MIL 107.6 +6.9
IND 100.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.5
MIL 13.4 +0.9
IND 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
50.1%
MIL 48.6%
IND 55.1% +6.5%
TO %
14.6%
14.4%
MIL 19.7% +0.2%
IND 19.9%
ORB %
27.9%
25.5%
MIL 11.1%
IND 27.0% +15.9%
FTrt
30.6
26.7
MIL 55.1 +15.9
IND 39.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.9%
55.1%
MIL 43.8%
IND 43.9% +0.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
MIL 7.7%
IND 8.7% +1.0%
BLK %
6.5%
8.1%
MIL 6.3% +4.5%
IND 1.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.8%
53.2%
MIL 56.3% +0.6%
IND 55.7%
Rim FG%
55.5%
56.5%
MIL 58.8%
IND 64.0% +5.2%
Mid FG%
40.3%
40.6%
MIL 48.7%
IND 51.3% +2.6%
3P %
36.3%
37.8%
MIL 23.1%
IND 33.3% +10.2%
FT %
78.0%
80.7%
MIL 84.2% +19.7%
IND 64.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
35.1%
MIL 24.6%
IND 31.6% +7.0%
Mid Att. %
45.9%
40.6%
MIL 56.5%
IND 49.4% +7.2%
3P Att. %
20.8%
24.4%
MIL 18.8%
IND 19.0% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILIND
Possessions104104
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points99107
Rebounds3142
Assists1418
Steals89
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)32 (5)
Field Goals32-6941-79
At-the-Rim FG10-1716-25
Midrange FG19-3920-39
2-Point FG29-5636-64
3-Point FG3-135-15
Free Throws32-3820-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'11" 232 · 24
42.3
28
61%
8
4
1
1
5
6
0
8
10-11
91%
9-16
56%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 23
35.8
16
50%
3
3
1
1
4
4
1
2
8-10
80%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 233 · 29
30.6
19
53%
2
0
0
0
3
4
0
2
7-10
70%
3-11
27%
2-2
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 28
30.6
10
50%
4
4
2
0
1
2
0
4
4-4
100%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 31
2.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
29.6
10
83%
5
0
4
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
28.9
5
50%
1
1
0
0
2
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 33
19.4
4
67%
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 32
10.3
2
50%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 31
6.9
5
125%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 22
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
#22 · G · 6'6" 215 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
56%
31
14
8
4
21
0
4
27
32-38
84%
29-56
52%
3-13
23%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.