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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Kings9%89100
1Celtics91%106119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
37.6
36.7
22
70%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
4-7
57%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
36.3
28.1
21
80%
11
4
0
1
0
3
5
6
7-7
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
46%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
36.0
39.3
18
57%
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
10-13
77%
4-8
4-10
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
28.4
26.4
11
42%
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-10
3-6
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
20.4
31.4
4
67%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.3
27.6
11.5
13
55%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
39%
3-6
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
22.9
17.7
3
22%
6
3
0
0
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
1-6
2-6
17%
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
18.3
25.1
6
44%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
5.3
4.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
4.0
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
3.1
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
13.3
0
1-2
40%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.5
32.4
33.7
12
48%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
55%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.9
28.6
33.5
24
66%
3
9
0
2
0
1
0
3
4-7
57%
10-15
5-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.3
27.5
30.3
8
52%
3
8
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-6
100%
1-4
4-8
25%
52%
0-1
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
26.9
27.9
14
47%
8
5
1
1
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
7-15
6-11
47%
56%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.2
24.0
23.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
2
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
62%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.0
23.4
18.4
10
92%
8
3
3
1
1
4
2
6
0-1
0%
5-5
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.1
21.9
16.5
14
90%
3
0
1
1
1
0
2
1
4-4
100%
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
20.3
22.6
28
108%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
8-9
89%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
18.4
11.0
6
44%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
1-5
2-3
20%
56%
0-0
-
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.8
8.5
12.0
2
53%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.3
4.0
8.5
1
27%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-2
0%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
4.0
5.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.