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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Wizards36%9171
23Heat64%9693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
42.1
36.3
21
44%
12
1
3
1
0
3
1
11
3-4
75%
9-18
6-13
50%
48%
0-4
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
39.9
38.5
18
57%
5
6
0
2
0
6
0
5
3-4
75%
6-12
6-12
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
32.4
31.8
5
31%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
42%
1-4
25%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.0
30.9
16.8
10
37%
3
1
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-1
0%
5-13
2-5
38%
48%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
23.1
31.5
3
40%
9
2
0
1
0
0
4
5
3-4
75%
0-2
2-5
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
19.9
15.5
6
43%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
18.1
7.8
4
29%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
1-2
33%
43%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
17.3
14.3
2
25%
6
0
0
0
1
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.1
8.4
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.1
7.8
12.3
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.4
28.2
1
5-10
49%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
8.0
0
0-1
42%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.2
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
29.4
35.5
14
39%
9
9
3
2
0
0
0
9
2-4
50%
6-15
9-17
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
28.4
32.0
10
73%
6
5
3
2
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
26.6
36.7
14
72%
3
1
1
1
1
2
0
3
4-4
100%
5-8
4-9
63%
52%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
20.6
17.7
3
25%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
49%
1-4
25%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
11.7
16.8
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
31.7
9.6
3
52%
9
1
2
0
3
1
4
5
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
27.4
29.7
16
58%
5
0
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
4-11
36%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
26.1
15.5
16
54%
7
0
0
0
3
1
2
5
4-4
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
51%
0-2
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
20.5
8.1
10
46%
4
0
1
0
1
0
2
2
2-2
100%
1-4
0-1
25%
43%
2-6
33%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
17.7
13.7
5
36%
1
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.2
13.9
0
2-4
49%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
3.0
0
0-1
49%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.