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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Raptors51%98107
21Nets49%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
36.7
22.1
17
65%
4
11
3
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
3-5
60%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.6
36.4
25.2
10
71%
4
0
1
1
3
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.8
36.2
37.0
18
59%
6
0
0
1
1
4
1
5
4-5
80%
7-13
8-15
54%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.6
35.4
36.1
21
72%
7
6
0
1
0
4
0
7
4-6
67%
4-5
4-8
80%
49%
3-7
43%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.3
22.4
33.8
8
45%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-9
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
26.4
27.3
15
94%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
7-9
78%
4-4
4-7
100%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.0
21.4
20.1
10
73%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
2-3
67%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
21.1
19.7
8
57%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
47%
0-0
-
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.1
3.3
10.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
0.7
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
6.1
0
1-1
52%
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
1.9
0
0-0
51%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
42.9
32.1
25
56%
3
10
3
1
0
1
0
3
10-12
83%
6-13
6-11
46%
50%
1-4
25%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
39.2
31.1
27
59%
10
5
1
1
0
1
2
8
4-4
100%
4-11
5-9
36%
48%
5-10
50%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
35.3
25.4
16
54%
5
3
3
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
3-8
1-3
38%
47%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
34.1
31.2
14
70%
4
0
0
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
7-10
6-11
70%
51%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
14.6
19.6
3
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
31.1
23.5
17
86%
3
2
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
5-8
63%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
22.0
22.0
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
13.3
15.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
7.5
18.4
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
8.3
0
1-1
48%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
6.5
0
1-2
47%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
2.8
0
0-1
45%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.