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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Nuggets39%9481
9Hornets61%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 31.1
38.4
33.2
22
77%
6
1
0
1
2
2
1
5
2-5
40%
10-11
5-10
91%
50%
0-1
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23.4
38.0
33.8
20
53%
6
5
0
1
0
4
1
5
4-4
100%
5-10
4-8
50%
50%
2-7
29%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 32.3
35.0
32.6
12
37%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
3-8
3-7
38%
45%
1-6
17%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 26.4
30.7
29.4
11
58%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
5-9
5-8
56%
56%
0-0
-
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 28.1
26.5
18.7
3
34%
3
2
1
1
1
3
2
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.6
27.2
25.6
4
50%
2
6
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.1
21.4
27.1
5
31%
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
54%
1-6
17%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 30.6
20.2
23.6
4
40%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
54%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 23.0
2.6
4.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-1
0%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.7
10.0
0
2-4
47%
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.5
5.7
0
1-1
52%
Sonny Weems
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
3.4
0
0-1
45%
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.6
40.9
38.1
26
80%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
4-5
80%
8-10
3-7
80%
46%
2-4
50%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
37.8
39.0
12
39%
2
10
4
3
0
5
0
2
6-8
75%
3-11
7-14
27%
53%
0-1
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.2
30.1
15.8
8
57%
5
2
2
0
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-3
57%
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
17.3
33.7
2
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
14.1
15.5
4
69%
3
1
0
1
1
3
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.0
36.1
32.2
6
20%
9
1
1
1
0
0
1
8
4-5
80%
1-7
2-3
14%
52%
0-6
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
24.1
3.3
18
108%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
45%
3-3
100%
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.4
17.9
17.8
6
77%
7
1
0
0
1
0
3
4
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.9
11.2
12.4
5
42%
0
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
1-2
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.2
7.1
7.9
4
100%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
3.4
5.7
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-1
100%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.7
9.3
0
1-3
45%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.