Final Win Prob. pScore
639%93
81
961%97
94
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
91.08996.2
Hornets
108.08780.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Q4 - 0:00.0NOH81
94
Q4 - 0:00.0NOHBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
94
Q4 - 0:00.0DENMISS Petro 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
94
Q4 - 0:24.0NOHBowen 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)81
94
Q4 - 0:45.0DENAndersen Putback Dunk (4 PTS)81
92
Q4 - 0:45.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
92
Q4 - 0:46.0DENMISS Jones Layup79
92
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
92
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHSUB: Bowen FOR Stojakovic79
91
Q4 - 0:57.0NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
91
Q4 - 0:57.0DENPetro P.FOUL (P1.PN)79
90
Q4 - 1:14DENJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)79
90
Q4 - 1:14NOHBrown S.FOUL (P2.PN)78
90
Q4 - 1:14DENJones Layup (2 PTS) (Petro 1 AST)78
90
Q4 - 1:21NOHStojakovic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)76
90
Q4 - 1:38DENKleiza 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Carter 6 AST)76
90
Q4 - 1:50DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
90
Q4 - 1:51NOHMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
90
Q4 - 2:16DENPetro Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T19)74
90
Q4 - 2:27NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)74
90
Q4 - 2:27NOHPaul Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
89
Q4 - 2:27DENAndersen S.FOUL (P3.T4)74
88
Q4 - 2:37DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith74
88
Q4 - 2:37DENSUB: Jones FOR Billups74
88
Q4 - 2:37DENSUB: Petro FOR Nene74
88
Q4 - 2:37DENSUB: Andersen FOR Martin74
88
Q4 - 2:37DENBillups P.FOUL (P4.T3)74
88
Q4 - 2:58NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)74
88
Q4 - 2:59DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
88
Q4 - 3:07NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P3.T4)74
88
Q4 - 3:14NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)74
88
Q4 - 3:14DENSmith S.FOUL (P4.T2)74
87
Q4 - 3:14NOHBrown Layup (17 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)74
87
Q4 - 3:19DENPaul STEAL (4 STL)74
85
Q4 - 3:29DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
85
Q4 - 3:31NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
85
Q4 - 3:57DENMartin 8' Hook Shot (22 PTS)74
85
Q4 - 4:18DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Carter72
85
Q4 - 4:18DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)72
85
Q4 - 4:20NOHBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Stojakovic 3 AST)72
85
Q4 - 4:29DENPosey STEAL (1 STL)72
82
Q4 - 4:34DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
82
Q4 - 4:35DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
82
Q4 - 4:42DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
82
Q4 - 4:44NOHMISS Brown Layup72
82
Q4 - 4:52DENBrown STEAL (1 STL)72
82
Q4 - 5:08NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T14)72
82
Q4 - 5:34DENBillups Layup (12 PTS)72
82
Q4 - 5:41DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
82
Q4 - 5:43NOHMISS Paul 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
82
Q4 - 6:01NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
82
Q4 - 6:02DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
82
Q4 - 6:13NOHPaul 12' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stojakovic 2 AST)70
82
Q4 - 6:34NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
80
Q4 - 6:35DENMISS Billups 12' Jump Shot70
80
Q4 - 6:42NOHArmstrong P.FOUL (P2.T3)70
80
Q4 - 6:57NOHBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)70
80
Q4 - 6:57NOHBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
79
Q4 - 6:57DENSUB: Martin FOR Andersen70
78
Q4 - 6:57NOHSUB: Paul FOR Daniels70
78
Q4 - 6:57DENBillups S.FOUL (P3.T1)70
78
Q4 - 7:02NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)70
78
Q4 - 7:03DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
78
Q4 - 7:18NOHDaniels 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)70
78
Q4 - 7:44NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
76
Q4 - 7:45DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot70
76
Q4 - 8:03DENSUB: Billups FOR Kleiza70
76
Q4 - 8:03DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)70
76
Q4 - 8:07NOHBrown 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
76
Q4 - 8:15NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
74
Q4 - 8:18DENArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)70
74
Q4 - 8:36NOHStojakovic 22' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)70
74
Q4 - 8:5070
72
Q4 - 8:50DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)70
72
Q4 - 8:50DENNuggets Rebound70
72
Q4 - 8:50DENMISS Kleiza 28' 3PT Jump Shot70
72
Q4 - 9:04NOHBrown P.FOUL (P1.T2)70
72
Q4 - 9:06NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Marks70
72
Q4 - 9:06DENSUB: Nene FOR Martin70
72
Q4 - 9:06NOHPosey P.FOUL (P4.T1)70
72
Q4 - 9:25NOHStojakovic 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)70
72
Q4 - 9:45NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
70
Q4 - 9:47DENMISS Carter 18' Jump Shot70
70
Q4 - 10:00NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
70
Q4 - 10:00NOHPosey Dunk (6 PTS)70
70
Q4 - 10:06NOHMISS Daniels Layup70
68
Q4 - 10:24DENSmith 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)70
68
Q4 - 10:34DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
68
Q4 - 10:35NOHMISS Posey 22' Jump Shot68
68
Q4 - 11:06DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Carter 5 AST)68
68
Q4 - 11:11DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
68
Q4 - 11:13NOHMISS Daniels Layup65
68
Q4 - 11:34NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
68
Q4 - 11:37DENMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot65
68
Q4 - 11:40DENNuggets Rebound65
68
Q4 - 11:40DENMarks BLOCK (1 BLK)65
68
Q4 - 12:0065
68
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN65
68
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNuggets Rebound65
68
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Kleiza 3PT Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 0:00.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
68
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 0:26.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Andersen65
68
Q3 - 0:26.0NOHMarks P.FOUL (P1.T3)65
68
Q3 - 0:26.0DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
68
Q3 - 0:27.0NOHMISS Paul 12' Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 0:48.0NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)65
68
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 1:01DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
68
Q3 - 1:03NOHMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot65
68
Q3 - 1:25DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
68
Q3 - 1:25DENMartin Dunk (20 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 1:26DENMISS Andersen Layup63
68
Q3 - 1:39NOHMarks Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
68
Q3 - 1:39NOHMarks Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
67
Q3 - 1:39DENMartin S.FOUL (P3.PN)63
66
Q3 - 1:39NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)63
66
Q3 - 1:40NOHMISS Posey Layup63
66
Q3 - 2:00NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)63
66
Q3 - 2:00NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (21 PTS)63
65
Q3 - 2:00NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)63
64
Q3 - 2:00DENCarter T.FOUL (P2.PN)63
64
Q3 - 2:0063
64
Q3 - 2:00DENCarter Backcourt Turnover (P3.T14)63
64
Q3 - 2:07DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
64
Q3 - 2:09NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
64
Q3 - 2:32DENMartin Driving Layup (18 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 2:45DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
64
Q3 - 2:46NOHMISS Marks 13' Jump Shot61
64
Q3 - 3:09DEN61
64
Q3 - 3:09DENBillups 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
64
Q3 - 3:21DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
64
Q3 - 3:25NOHMISS Stojakovic Free Throw 2 of 259
64
Q3 - 3:25DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith59
64
Q3 - 3:25DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Jones59
64
Q3 - 3:25NOHStojakovic Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)59
64
Q3 - 3:25DENSmith S.FOUL (P3.PN)59
63
Q3 - 3:29NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
63
Q3 - 3:30DENMISS Jones Layup59
63
Q3 - 3:49NOHBrown 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)59
63
Q3 - 3:57DENStojakovic STEAL (1 STL)59
61
Q3 - 4:13NOHBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)59
61
Q3 - 4:36DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)59
58
Q3 - 4:36NOHPosey S.FOUL (P3.T2)58
58
Q3 - 4:36DENMartin Dunk (15 PTS)58
58
Q3 - 4:55NOHSUB: Marks FOR Armstrong56
58
Q3 - 4:55NOHPaul Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)56
58
Q3 - 5:18DENBillups Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
58
Q3 - 5:26DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene54
58
Q3 - 5:26DENNuggets Rebound54
58
Q3 - 5:26NOHMISS Posey 17' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 5:42DENNene L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)54
58
Q3 - 5:42NOHHORNETS Rebound54
58
Q3 - 5:42NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 6:04NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
58
Q3 - 6:07DENMISS Billups 18' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 6:13NOHSUB: Posey FOR Wright54
58
Q3 - 6:13NOHArmstrong Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)54
58
Q3 - 6:19NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)54
58
Q3 - 6:20DENMISS Martin 18' Jump Shot54
58
Q3 - 6:31NOHStojakovic 16' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)54
58
Q3 - 6:49DENSmith L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)54
56
Q3 - 6:49NOHHORNETS Rebound54
56
Q3 - 6:49DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
56
Q3 - 6:55DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)54
56
Q3 - 6:57NOHMISS Paul Layup54
56
Q3 - 7:11NOHSUB: Brown FOR Butler54
56
Q3 - 7:11DENNene P.FOUL (P3.T2)54
56
Q3 - 7:19DENPaul STEAL (3 STL)54
56
Q3 - 7:22DENJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
56
Q3 - 7:24NOHMISS Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot54
56
Q3 - 7:45DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)54
56
Q3 - 7:50DENJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)51
56
Q3 - 7:51DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot51
56
Q3 - 8:05DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
56
Q3 - 8:06NOHMISS Armstrong 16' Jump Shot51
56
Q3 - 8:27DENMartin Layup (13 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)51
56
Q3 - 8:33DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
56
Q3 - 8:36NOHMISS Paul Layup49
56
Q3 - 8:44NOHHORNETS Rebound49
56
Q3 - 8:46DENWright BLOCK (1 BLK)49
56
Q3 - 9:02NOHArmstrong 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
56
Q3 - 9:24DENMartin Dunk (11 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)49
54
Q3 - 9:38DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)47
54
Q3 - 9:44NOHStojakovic Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)47
54
Q3 - 9:51NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
52
Q3 - 9:53NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot47
52
Q3 - 10:17DENSmith P.FOUL (P1.T1)47
52
Q3 - 10:17DENArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)47
52
Q3 - 10:28NOHWright 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)47
52
Q3 - 10:48DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)47
50
Q3 - 10:48NOHButler S.FOUL (P4.T1)46
50
Q3 - 10:48DENSmith Driving Layup (11 PTS)46
50
Q3 - 11:08NOHWright Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)44
50
Q3 - 11:13NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
48
Q3 - 11:14DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot44
48
Q3 - 11:37NOHStojakovic 15' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)44
48
Q3 - 12:0044
46
Q2 - 0:00.0NOH44
46
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN44
46
Q2 - 0:00.0DENCarter Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)44
46
Q2 - 0:05.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
46
Q2 - 0:05.0NOHHORNETS Rebound42
45
Q2 - 0:05.0NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 242
45
Q2 - 0:05.0DENSUB: Billups FOR Jones42
45
Q2 - 0:05.0NOHStojakovic Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)42
45
Q2 - 0:05.0DENMartin T.FOUL (P2.PN)42
44
Q2 - 0:05.0DENMartin P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
44
Q2 - 0:10.0DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
44
Q2 - 0:10.0DENSUB: Jones FOR Billups41
44
Q2 - 0:10.0NOHPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)41
44
Q2 - 0:10.0DENSmith Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
44
Q2 - 0:30.0NOHPaul Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)39
44
Q2 - 0:30.0DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Andersen39
43
Q2 - 0:30.0NOHHORNETS Rebound39
43
Q2 - 0:30.0DENSUB: Billups FOR Jones39
43
Q2 - 0:30.0NOHMISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 239
43
Q2 - 0:30.0DENAndersen S.FOUL (P2.PN)39
43
Q2 - 0:32.0DENSUB: Carter FOR Billups39
43
Q2 - 0:32.0DENJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)39
43
Q2 - 0:37.0NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 0:37.0NOHPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 0:37.0DENAndersen L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)39
41
Q2 - 0:37.0NOHHORNETS Rebound39
41
Q2 - 0:37.0DENMISS Smith 14' Jump Shot39
41
Q2 - 0:57.0NOHBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)39
41
Q2 - 1:11NOHHORNETS Rebound39
38
Q2 - 1:12DENMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot39
38
Q2 - 1:36NOHStojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marks 1 AST)39
38
Q2 - 1:40NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
35
Q2 - 1:43NOHMISS Posey Layup39
35
Q2 - 1:48DENPaul STEAL (2 STL)39
35
Q2 - 1:57NOHPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
35
Q2 - 1:57DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene39
34
Q2 - 1:57NOHHORNETS Rebound39
34
Q2 - 1:57NOHMISS Posey Free Throw 1 of 239
34
Q2 - 1:57DENMartin S.FOUL (P1.T3)39
34
Q2 - 2:11DENSmith 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
34
Q2 - 2:30DENSUB: Jones FOR Carter37
34
Q2 - 2:30NOHArmstrong Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)37
34
Q2 - 2:30NOHSUB: Marks FOR Armstrong37
34
Q2 - 2:30DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
34
Q2 - 2:30NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
34
Q2 - 2:30NOHMISS Paul Layup37
34
Q2 - 2:39DENNene Layup (11 PTS) (Carter 4 AST)37
34
Q2 - 2:46DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 2:50DENMISS Billups Layup35
34
Q2 - 3:03DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34
Q2 - 3:05NOHMISS Posey Layup35
34
Q2 - 3:15DENBillups Foul Turnover (P2.T8)35
34
Q2 - 3:15DENBillups OFF.Foul (P2)35
34
Q2 - 3:28NOHStojakovic Layup (9 PTS)35
34
Q2 - 3:42DENCarter P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
32
Q2 - 3:52NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
32
Q2 - 3:54DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 235
32
Q2 - 3:54DENMartin Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
32
Q2 - 3:54NOHPaul P.FOUL (P2.PN)34
32
Q2 - 4:01DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
32
Q2 - 4:02NOHMISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
32
Q2 - 4:25DENNene 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)34
32
Q2 - 4:41NOHArmstrong Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)32
32
Q2 - 4:57DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
30
Q2 - 4:57NOHSUB: Brown FOR Butler31
30
Q2 - 4:57DENNuggets Rebound31
30
Q2 - 4:57DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 231
30
Q2 - 4:57NOHButler S.FOUL (P3.T4)31
30
Q2 - 5:15NOHArmstrong Layup (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)31
30
Q2 - 5:38DENCarter 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)31
28
Q2 - 5:53DENBillups Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)29
28
Q2 - 5:53NOHSUB: Stojakovic FOR Bowen28
28
Q2 - 5:53NOHSUB: Butler FOR Daniels28
28
Q2 - 5:53DENSUB: Martin FOR Kleiza28
28
Q2 - 5:53NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)28
28
Q2 - 5:53NOHDaniels T.FOUL (P0.T3)28
28
Q2 - 5:53NOHDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)28
28
Q2 - 6:12DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)28
28
Q2 - 6:19DENBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
28
Q2 - 6:20NOHMISS Daniels 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
28
Q2 - 6:44NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28
Q2 - 6:45DENMISS Kleiza 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
28
Q2 - 6:51NOHSUB: Paul FOR Wright28
28
Q2 - 7:07DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28
Q2 - 7:09NOHHORNETS Rebound28
28
Q2 - 7:09NOHMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 228
28
Q2 - 7:09NOHMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 228
28
Q2 - 7:09DENNuggets Violation: Delay of game Violation28
28
Q2 - 7:09DENNene S.FOUL (P2.T1)28
28
Q2 - 7:14NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
28
Q2 - 7:15DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot28
28
Q2 - 7:22DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
28
Q2 - 7:23NOHMISS Daniels 11' Jump Shot28
28
Q2 - 7:36DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carter 3 AST)28
28
Q2 - 7:50NOHDaniels Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)25
28
Q2 - 8:01DENBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
28
Q2 - 8:01DENNuggets Rebound24
28
Q2 - 8:01DENMISS Billups Free Throw 1 of 224
28
Q2 - 8:01NOHWright S.FOUL (P2.T3)24
28
Q2 - 8:18DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
28
Q2 - 8:20NOHMISS Armstrong 11' Jump Shot24
28
Q2 - 8:36NOHPosey Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)24
28
Q2 - 8:3624
27
Q2 - 8:36DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Billups )24
27
Q2 - 8:50NOHArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
27
Q2 - 8:51DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
27
Q2 - 9:05NOHSUB: Wright FOR Peterson24
27
Q2 - 9:05DENSUB: Billups FOR Andersen24
27
Q2 - 9:05NOHBowen P.FOUL (P1.T2)24
27
Q2 - 9:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
27
Q2 - 9:09NOHMISS Peterson Layup24
27
Q2 - 9:15DENBowen STEAL (1 STL)24
27
Q2 - 9:19DENAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
27
Q2 - 9:20NOHMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
27
Q2 - 9:36DENAndersen Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)24
27
Q2 - 9:54NOHDaniels 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)22
27
Q2 - 10:11DENSmith Driving Layup (4 PTS)22
24
Q2 - 10:18NOHSUB: Armstrong FOR Marks20
24
Q2 - 10:18NOHPeterson P.FOUL (P1.T1)20
24
Q2 - 10:23DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
24
Q2 - 10:24NOHMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot20
24
Q2 - 10:46DENSUB: Smith FOR Martin20
24
Q2 - 10:46DENSUB: Nene FOR Jones20
24
Q2 - 10:46DENAndersen Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)20
24
Q2 - 11:04NOHPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)20
24
Q2 - 11:17NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
21
Q2 - 11:19DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21
Q2 - 11:38NOHBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)20
21
Q2 - 12:0020
19
Q1 - 0:00.0NOH20
19
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHHORNETS Rebound20
19
Q1 - 0:00.0NOHMISS Paul 11' Jump Bank Shot20
19
Q1 - 0:03.0DENCarter P.FOUL (P1.T4)20
19
Q1 - 0:07.0DENMartin 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)20
19
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHSUB: Peterson FOR Butler18
19
Q1 - 0:28.0NOHPaul Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)18
19
Q1 - 0:41.0NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
19
Q1 - 0:43.0DENMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot18
19
Q1 - 0:49.0NOHMarks Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)18
19
Q1 - 1:04DENMartin 11' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 1:19NOHMarks Dunk (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)16
17
Q1 - 1:37DENMartin 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)16
15
Q1 - 1:46NOHButler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)14
15
Q1 - 1:46NOHButler OFF.Foul (P2)14
15
Q1 - 2:07DENPaul STEAL (1 STL)14
15
Q1 - 2:09DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15
Q1 - 2:11NOHMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 2:22NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15
Q1 - 2:24DENMISS Kleiza 14' Jump Shot14
15
Q1 - 2:47NOHStojakovic 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)14
15
Q1 - 2:56DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
13
Q1 - 2:56DENJones L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)14
13
Q1 - 2:56NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
13
Q1 - 2:56NOHMISS Paul 16' Jump Shot14
13
Q1 - 3:10DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Smith14
13
Q1 - 3:10DENSUB: Andersen FOR Nene14
13
Q1 - 3:10DENNene P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
13
Q1 - 3:23DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
13
Q1 - 3:23DENSUB: Carter FOR Billups13
13
Q1 - 3:23DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
13
Q1 - 3:23NOHButler S.FOUL (P1.T4)12
13
Q1 - 3:43NOHStojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)12
13
Q1 - 3:50NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
10
Q1 - 3:51DENMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot12
10
Q1 - 4:02NOHPaul 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
10
Q1 - 4:13NOHButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
8
Q1 - 4:14DENMISS Billups 25' 3PT Jump Shot12
8
Q1 - 4:39NOHStojakovic 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 5:02NOHMarks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
6
Q1 - 5:03DENMISS Nene 15' Jump Shot12
6
Q1 - 5:17NOHPaul 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
6
Q1 - 5:40NOHPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4
Q1 - 5:42DENMISS Martin Free Throw 2 of 212
4
Q1 - 5:42DENNuggets Rebound12
4
Q1 - 5:42DENMISS Martin Free Throw 1 of 212
4
Q1 - 5:42NOHPosey S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
4
Q1 - 5:53NOHSUB: Marks FOR Armstrong12
4
Q1 - 5:53NOHSUB: Posey FOR Wright12
4
Q1 - 5:53NOHHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)12
4
Q1 - 5:53NOHWright Foul Turnover (P3.T6)12
4
Q1 - 5:53NOHWright OFF.Foul (P1)12
4
Q1 - 6:02NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
4
Q1 - 6:03DENMISS Billups 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 6:10DENMartin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4
Q1 - 6:11NOHMISS Paul 17' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 6:24DENSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)12
4
Q1 - 6:36NOHWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)12
4
Q1 - 6:40NOHWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4
Q1 - 6:41DENMISS Martin 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 6:57NOHArmstrong L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)12
4
Q1 - 6:57DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
4
Q1 - 6:57NOHMISS Stojakovic 18' Jump Shot12
4
Q1 - 7:13DENBillups Foul Turnover (P1.T2)12
4
Q1 - 7:13DENBillups OFF.Foul (P1)12
4
Q1 - 7:17NOHJump Ball Butler vs. Nene: Tip to Billups12
4
Q1 - 7:33DENJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
4
Q1 - 7:35DENMISS Smith Dunk12
4
Q1 - 7:41NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)12
4
Q1 - 7:48DENNene Layup (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)12
4
Q1 - 8:01NOHStojakovic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)10
4
Q1 - 8:01NOHStojakovic OFF.Foul (P1)10
4
Q1 - 8:03DENJones P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
4
Q1 - 8:16DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
4
Q1 - 8:16NOHPaul S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
4
Q1 - 8:16DENNene Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
4
Q1 - 8:24DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 8:25NOHMISS Armstrong 13' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 8:35DENMartin 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)7
4
Q1 - 8:47NOHWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)5
4
Q1 - 9:08NOHPaul REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
4
Q1 - 9:10DENMISS Billups 7' Running Jump Shot5
4
Q1 - 9:36NOHButler 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
4
Q1 - 9:59DENBillups 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
2
Q1 - 10:07DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:09NOHMISS Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:22DENNene Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 10:34NOHPaul Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 10:50NOHStojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:53DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:15NOHArmstrong Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:39DENArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 12:00NOHJump Ball Armstrong vs. Nene: Tip to Billups0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENNOH
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
NOH
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
18
25
72%
NOH
11
21
52%
Midrange
DEN
11
27
41%
NOH
16
31
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
NOH
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
DEN
11
16
69%
NOH
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Martin2279%11.0 / 14
J. Smith2056%10.0 / 18
C. Billups1238%6.0 / 16
Nene1161%5.5 / 9
L. Kleiza531%2.5 / 8
A. Carter450%2.0 / 4
C. Andersen440%2.0 / 5
D. Jones338%1.5 / 4
J. Petro0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Stojakovic2687%13.0 / 15
D. Brown18113%9.0 / 8
C. Paul1238%6.0 / 16
H. Armstrong857%4.0 / 6
J. Posey620%3.0 / 15
S. Marks675%3.0 / 4
A. Daniels542%2.5 / 6
J. Wright467%2.0 / 3
R. Bowen4100%2.0 / 2
M. Peterson375%1.5 / 2
R. Butler250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
71
+10
-18
81
NOH
72
+9
-15
81
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.00 50.0%
NOH
1.13 56.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.2
108.6
DEN 91.0
NOH 108.0 +17.0
Pace
94.5
88.0
DEN 96.2 +15.3
NOH 80.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
16.8
DEN 15.0 −2.8
NOH 17.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.1%
DEN 47.3%
NOH 53.6% +6.3%
TO %
15.8%
13.3%
DEN 19.0%
NOH 15.6% −3.4%
ORB %
27.5%
24.6%
DEN 19.4% +2.3%
NOH 17.1%
FTrt
38.2
28.8
DEN 21.6
NOH 35.7 +14.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
55.3%
DEN 54.5%
NOH 67.6% +13.1%
STL %
9.1%
8.2%
DEN 6.7%
NOH 11.5% +4.8%
BLK %
9.7%
7.2%
DEN 7.7% +1.9%
NOH 5.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
53.1%
DEN 50.0%
NOH 56.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%
60.5%
58.6%
DEN 72.0% +19.6%
NOH 52.4%
Mid FG%
38.7%
42.5%
DEN 40.7%
NOH 51.6% +10.9%
3P %
37.1%
36.4%
DEN 18.2%
NOH 38.9% +20.7%
FT %
76.0%
80.7%
DEN 68.8%
NOH 76.0% +7.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.7%
29.0%
DEN 33.8% +3.8%
NOH 30.0%
Mid Att. %
37.6%
47.0%
DEN 36.5% −7.8%
NOH 44.3%
3P Att. %
22.7%
24.0%
DEN 29.7% +4.0%
NOH 25.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENNOH
Possessions8987
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points8194
Rebounds3635
Assists1823
Steals610
Blocks43
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (1)29 (4)
Field Goals33-7434-70
At-the-Rim FG18-2511-21
Midrange FG11-2716-31
2-Point FG29-5227-52
3-Point FG4-227-18
Free Throws11-1619-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 31
38.4
22
79%
6
1
0
2
2
3
1
5
2-5
40%
10-11
91%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 225 · 23
38.0
20
56%
6
5
0
0
4
4
1
5
4-4
100%
5-10
50%
2-7
29%
G · 6'3" 210 · 32
35.0
12
38%
2
2
1
0
2
4
0
2
3-5
60%
3-8
38%
1-6
17%
C · 6'11" 250 · 26
30.7
11
61%
6
1
1
1
1
4
1
5
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 225 · 28
26.5
3
38%
3
2
1
1
3
2
2
1
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 34
27.2
4
50%
2
6
2
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 24
21.4
5
31%
6
0
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31
20.2
4
40%
5
0
0
0
2
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 247 · 23
2.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 25
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23
#45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
50%
36
18
6
4
18
0
7
29
11-16
69%
29-52
56%
4-22
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.