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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 28, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Warriors29%10193
8Mavericks71%109117
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.8
30.9
35.3
25
68%
5
3
2
1
0
4
0
5
9-10
90%
5-12
4-10
42%
44%
2-2
100%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
26.7
33.7
12
60%
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
2-3
67%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
25.9
26.2
4
22%
11
1
1
1
1
1
6
5
0-0
-
2-9
4-7
22%
58%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
25.4
27.7
7
28%
2
3
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-10
6-12
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
23.3
26.7
3
25%
4
1
1
1
0
4
0
4
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
22.8
26.4
21
64%
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
7-8
88%
7-13
4-8
54%
49%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.0
22.0
19.2
6
75%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
21.6
28.5
6
38%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
17.0
20.3
3
38%
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.5
14.7
9.1
6
50%
2
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.9
7.4
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
2.4
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
32.6
33.0
3
31%
7
9
2
2
2
3
0
7
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
30.3
34.2
19
71%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-1
0%
5-10
6-13
50%
50%
3-3
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
28.1
36.5
20
46%
4
0
1
1
1
0
1
3
4-4
100%
8-20
9-17
40%
52%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.5
26.1
24.1
10
83%
11
2
0
0
2
0
7
4
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
62%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
25.2
19.2
9
64%
2
1
2
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
1-3
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
26.1
31.3
22
87%
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
5-6
83%
4-6
5-9
67%
54%
3-4
75%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.7
24.2
20.6
16
55%
11
3
0
0
2
3
3
8
8-8
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
52%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
17.6
7.7
14
74%
5
0
0
0
1
0
2
3
1-1
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
55%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
15.4
13.7
0
0%
3
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
8.4
6.2
4
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
45%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
6.1
7.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
1-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
7.1
0
0-1
45%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.2
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.9
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.