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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 29, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs46%97114
10Suns54%98104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
41.2
32.5
20
47%
15
4
1
1
1
3
6
9
8-12
67%
6-16
7-14
38%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
34.4
33.8
26
59%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
12-20
8-15
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
32.2
28.1
12
56%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
26.3
26.3
3
50%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
1-1
100%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
20.3
23.9
6
60%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
2-5
40%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
32.4
26.5
30
72%
9
3
2
1
0
0
0
9
18-18
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
0-4
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
20.9
14.2
6
60%
8
1
1
0
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
47%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
18.6
17.1
9
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
6-8
75%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
1-3
33%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.7
13.8
12.9
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
10.1
0
1-2
57%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
9.1
0
1-1
48%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.2
43.2
36.3
28
55%
10
1
0
1
1
0
3
7
6-6
100%
11-23
7-13
48%
56%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.0
42.9
32.0
16
56%
2
18
0
1
1
3
0
2
5-5
100%
4-11
3-5
36%
52%
1-1
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.3
36.2
24.0
20
75%
10
0
1
1
1
1
0
10
2-3
67%
9-12
3-6
75%
52%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.9
34.6
33.7
13
40%
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
3-5
60%
5-14
7-12
36%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.0
26.3
34.1
7
54%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-5
4-8
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.2
21.8
24.4
7
55%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.9
19.4
19.8
13
73%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
3-4
75%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.1
10.6
16.1
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.6
5.1
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.8
5.1
0
0-1
53%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
4.0
0
1-1
48%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
3.8
0
0-1
43%
Courtney Sims
C · 6'11" 245 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.