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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Mavericks60%97111
23Heat40%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 35.9
34.6
32.0
7
70%
5
11
2
2
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
42%
1-1
100%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.6
34.3
32.2
30
93%
7
3
0
1
1
0
1
6
5-5
100%
11-13
7-15
85%
50%
1-1
100%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
28.2
32.0
15
58%
6
0
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
6-10
5-11
60%
47%
1-3
33%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.6
25.8
24.7
4
52%
6
0
1
0
2
5
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
60%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
17.6
21.8
6
51%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.4
30.4
28.6
20
59%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-12
4-8
58%
52%
2-5
40%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.4
19.8
5.0
5
83%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 23.8
18.3
22.1
11
59%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
1-3
33%
5-8
3-7
63%
49%
0-0
-
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
16.8
12.2
2
33%
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 24.6
13.4
14.5
11
79%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.3
0.8
6.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
7.1
0
1-1
43%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 34.2
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.0
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 27.0
36.0
33.8
30
61%
3
2
1
2
1
6
0
3
2-4
50%
11-19
8-16
58%
51%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.7
34.6
22.8
17
60%
0
2
4
1
0
2
0
0
6-7
86%
1-6
2-4
17%
48%
3-5
60%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28.6
30.4
22.7
10
59%
7
0
1
0
0
1
1
6
4-8
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.7
23.9
11.7
2
50%
9
2
1
0
0
0
4
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26.4
6.3
21.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
28.7
30.5
2
11%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
2-5
14%
41%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.1
27.0
21.3
18
54%
10
0
0
0
0
1
3
7
4-4
100%
7-14
4-9
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.3
18.5
20.7
10
61%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-5
80%
3-5
1-3
60%
42%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.3
15.8
18.8
3
80%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33.2
12.0
15.0
4
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 27.2
4.1
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26.5
2.6
16.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23.2
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.