Final Win Prob. pScore
1060%97
111
2340%94
96
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo Mavericks
119.49391.6
MIA logo Heat
102.19495.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA111
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DALMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)111
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALSUB: Hollins FOR Bass111
95
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAHEAT Rebound111
95
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 2111
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0DALGeorge S.FOUL (P2.PN)111
95
Q4 - 0:59.0DALBarea 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)111
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16DALSUB: Wright FOR Terry109
95
Q4 - 1:16DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd109
95
Q4 - 1:16MIABanks P.FOUL (P1.T3)109
95
Q4 - 1:16MIABlount Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:28DALTerry 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS)109
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 1:56DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)107
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 2:07MIAAnthony L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)105
95
Q4 - 2:07DALMavericks Rebound105
99.6%
95
0.4%
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Bass 16' Jump Shot105
99.4%
95
0.6%
Q4 - 2:21MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)105
99.6%
95
0.4%
Q4 - 2:21DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea105
94
Q4 - 2:21MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)105
99.7%
94
0.3%
Q4 - 2:21DALGeorge L.B.FOUL (P1.PN)105
93
Q4 - 2:21MIAHEAT Rebound105
99.7%
93
0.3%
Q4 - 2:21DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 2:39MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)105
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:39MIASUB: Anthony FOR Beasley105
91
Q4 - 2:39DALBarea P.FOUL (P2.PN)105
91
Q4 - 2:49MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:09MIABeasley 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS)105
99.9%
91
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:26DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:44DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:05MIASUB: Banks FOR Cook105
89
Q4 - 4:05MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 6 Short 1)105
89
Q4 - 4:05DALSingleton Traveling Turnover (P1.T15)105
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 4:22DALSingleton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 4:23DALMISS Terry 16' Jump Shot105
99.8%
89
0.2%
Q4 - 4:40MIABeasley 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)105
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 5:00DALBarea 10' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)105
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIABeasley 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)103
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 5:35MIASUB: Beasley FOR Chalmers103
85
Q4 - 5:35DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)103
85
Q4 - 5:35MIASUB: Jones FOR Beasley103
85
Q4 - 5:35MIAHEAT Rebound103
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 5:36DALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 5:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)103
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 5:54DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd103
84
Q4 - 5:54DALSingleton S.FOUL (P4.T4)103
84
Q4 - 5:54MIAChalmers Driving Layup (16 PTS)103
84
Q4 - 6:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 6:04DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 6:17MIABlount Putback Dunk (4 PTS)103
99.9%
82
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18MIABlount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Quinn 8' Driving Jump Shot103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34DALBass Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)103
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIASUB: Cook FOR Wade102
80
Q4 - 6:34DALMavericks Rebound102
80
Q4 - 6:34DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 2102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:34MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.T1)102
80
Q4 - 6:49DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 6:50MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot102
99.9%
80
0.1%
Q4 - 7:08DALBass 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS)102
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 7:27DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 7:28MIAMISS Blount 3PT Jump Shot100
99.8%
80
0.2%
Q4 - 7:45MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)100
80
Q4 - 7:46DALBass Running Dunk (8 PTS) (Kidd 11 AST)100
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 7:49MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)98
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 8:02DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)98
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 8:19MIABlount 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)95
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 8:33DALSingleton P.FOUL (P3.T3)95
78
Q4 - 8:38MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)95
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 8:39DALMISS Bass Layup95
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 8:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
99.3%
78
0.7%
Q4 - 8:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)95
99.4%
77
0.6%
Q4 - 8:56DALSUB: Singleton FOR Nowitzki95
76
Q4 - 8:56DALKidd S.FOUL (P1.T2)95
76
Q4 - 9:10DALNowitzki 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS)95
99.3%
76
0.7%
Q4 - 9:32DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 9:38MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 9:39DALMISS Kidd 18' Jump Shot93
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 9:57MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)93
99.1%
76
0.9%
Q4 - 10:19DALTerry 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)93
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)91
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 10:31DALBass S.FOUL (P3.T1)91
72
Q4 - 10:31MIAWade 5' Running Hook Shot (26 PTS)91
72
Q4 - 10:43MIASUB: Quinn FOR Jones91
70
Q4 - 10:43MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)91
70
Q4 - 10:43DALTerry 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kidd 10 AST)91
99.4%
70
0.6%
Q4 - 10:58DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
99.3%
70
0.7%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Beasley 5' Hook Shot89
99.2%
70
0.8%
Q4 - 11:19DALBass 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (George 1 AST)89
98.8%
70
1.2%
Q4 - 11:27DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
98.6%
70
1.4%
Q4 - 11:28MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot87
98.5%
70
1.5%
Q4 - 11:44DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)87
98.2%
70
1.8%
Q4 - 12:0085
70
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL85
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)85
97.4%
70
2.6%
Q3 - 0:08.0DALSUB: George FOR Terry85
67
Q3 - 0:08.0DALTerry P.FOUL (P3.T1)85
67
Q3 - 0:08.0DALChalmers STEAL (4 STL)85
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation85
67
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P6.T10)85
98.6%
67
1.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS)85
98.3%
67
1.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWade Driving Layup (21 PTS)83
97.9%
67
2.1%
Q3 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q3 - 1:03DALMISS Terry 11' Running Jump Shot83
98.1%
65
1.9%
Q3 - 1:10DALMavericks Rebound83
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 1:13MIAMISS Beasley 21' Jump Shot83
98.3%
65
1.7%
Q3 - 1:30DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)83
98.0%
65
2.0%
Q3 - 1:30DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
97.9%
65
2.1%
Q3 - 1:30DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)81
97.6%
65
2.4%
Q3 - 1:30MIAWade T.FOUL (P1.PN)80
65
Q3 - 1:30MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.PN)80
65
Q3 - 1:32DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (25 PTS)80
97.1%
65
2.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Jones )79
65
Q3 - 1:41DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
96.5%
65
3.5%
Q3 - 1:43MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper79
96.3%
65
3.7%
Q3 - 1:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
95.8%
65
4.2%
Q3 - 1:54DALMISS Bass Free Throw 1 of 179
95.9%
65
4.1%
Q3 - 1:54MIAJones S.FOUL (P1.T3)79
65
Q3 - 1:54DALBass 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)79
65
Q3 - 2:10DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
94.3%
65
5.7%
Q3 - 2:11MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot77
94.0%
65
6.0%
Q3 - 2:32DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
93.2%
65
6.8%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
92.0%
65
8.0%
Q3 - 3:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
92.8%
63
7.2%
Q3 - 3:14DALMISS Kidd 22' Jump Shot75
93.2%
63
6.8%
Q3 - 3:30MIASUB: Jones FOR Cook75
63
Q3 - 3:30DALSUB: Terry FOR Dampier75
63
Q3 - 3:30DALSUB: Bass FOR Howard75
63
Q3 - 3:30DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)75
63
Q3 - 3:32MIABeasley Dunk (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)75
94.0%
63
6.0%
Q3 - 3:48DALDampier 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 9 AST)75
94.9%
61
5.1%
Q3 - 4:09MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
93.6%
61
6.4%
Q3 - 4:33DALHoward Layup (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)73
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 4:38MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)71
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q3 - 4:43DALHaslem STEAL (1 STL)71
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 4:57MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
93.6%
59
6.4%
Q3 - 5:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
94.7%
56
5.3%
Q3 - 5:06DALMISS Nowitzki Tip Shot71
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 5:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q3 - 5:08DALMISS Wright 22' Jump Shot71
95.0%
56
5.0%
Q3 - 5:21DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q3 - 5:22MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot71
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 5:33MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)71
56
Q3 - 5:33DALNowitzki Layup (24 PTS) (Kidd 8 AST)71
94.8%
56
5.2%
Q3 - 5:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)69
94.0%
56
6.0%
Q3 - 5:53DALDampier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)69
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 6:01MIASUB: Beasley FOR Magloire69
56
Q3 - 6:01MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)69
93.6%
56
6.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)69
92.4%
56
7.6%
Q3 - 6:07DALMISS Howard 10' Running Hook Shot69
92.8%
56
7.2%
Q3 - 6:23DALMavericks Rebound69
93.6%
56
6.4%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot69
93.3%
56
6.7%
Q3 - 6:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
92.5%
56
7.5%
Q3 - 6:30DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
92.8%
56
7.2%
Q3 - 6:37MIACook P.FOUL (P2.T2)69
56
Q3 - 6:43DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
93.6%
56
6.4%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
93.3%
56
6.7%
Q3 - 7:04DALKidd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)69
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q3 - 7:09DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
92.9%
56
7.1%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
92.6%
56
7.4%
Q3 - 7:34DALKidd 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)69
91.8%
56
8.2%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)66
89.3%
56
10.7%
Q3 - 8:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)66
54
Q3 - 8:09DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)66
90.2%
54
9.8%
Q3 - 8:16DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
87.3%
54
12.7%
Q3 - 8:17MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup63
86.7%
54
13.3%
Q3 - 8:35DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 8:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
83.5%
54
16.5%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Haslem 3' Jump Shot61
82.8%
54
17.2%
Q3 - 9:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
81.0%
54
19.0%
Q3 - 9:08DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot61
81.7%
54
18.3%
Q3 - 9:34MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)61
83.3%
54
16.7%
Q3 - 9:43DALCook STEAL (2 STL)61
86.9%
51
13.1%
Q3 - 9:49DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
88.6%
51
11.4%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Cook 9' Jump Shot61
88.1%
51
11.9%
Q3 - 10:14DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)61
86.5%
51
13.5%
Q3 - 10:23DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper59
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 10:34DALChalmers STEAL (3 STL)59
82.8%
51
17.2%
Q3 - 10:39DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Cook 7' Jump Shot59
84.2%
51
15.8%
Q3 - 11:08DALWright 10' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)59
82.5%
51
17.5%
Q3 - 11:21MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T1)57
51
Q3 - 11:38MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)57
80.6%
51
19.4%
Q3 - 12:0057
49
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA57
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound57
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 47' 3PT Jump Shot57
84.0%
49
16.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)57
82.6%
49
17.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier55
49
Q2 - 0:23.0DALMavericks Rebound55
80.0%
49
20.0%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Magloire Tip Shot55
79.5%
49
20.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)55
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Wade Driving Finger Roll Layup55
79.5%
49
20.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALHoward Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Kidd 7 AST)55
78.4%
49
21.6%
Q2 - 0:41.0DALMavericks Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)53
49
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAHaslem Dunk (10 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)53
75.4%
49
24.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALChalmers STEAL (2 STL)53
78.4%
47
21.6%
Q2 - 1:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
80.1%
47
19.9%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot53
79.4%
47
20.6%
Q2 - 1:28DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kidd 6 AST)53
78.2%
47
21.8%
Q2 - 1:41MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)51
75.3%
47
24.7%
Q2 - 1:59DALNowitzki Layup (15 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)51
78.3%
45
21.7%
Q2 - 2:17MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)49
75.5%
45
24.5%
Q2 - 2:33DALHoward 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
77.7%
43
22.3%
Q2 - 2:48MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q2 - 3:00DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
77.7%
41
22.3%
Q2 - 3:00DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)46
76.9%
41
23.1%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)45
41
Q2 - 3:18DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)45
41
Q2 - 3:18MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Magloire 2 AST)45
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)45
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 3:23MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Jump Bank Shot45
81.2%
38
18.8%
Q2 - 3:38DALWade STEAL (1 STL)45
79.6%
38
20.4%
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
81.9%
38
18.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIAHEAT Rebound45
37
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 245
82.2%
37
17.8%
Q2 - 3:57DALHoward S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
37
Q2 - 3:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
81.6%
37
18.4%
Q2 - 3:58MIAMISS Cook Reverse Layup45
83.0%
37
17.0%
Q2 - 4:16MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
81.4%
37
18.6%
Q2 - 4:17DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
82.0%
37
18.0%
Q2 - 4:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)45
83.3%
37
16.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)45
83.6%
36
16.4%
Q2 - 4:26MIASUB: Haslem FOR Beasley45
35
Q2 - 4:26DALDampier S.FOUL (P2.PN)45
35
Q2 - 4:35DALCook STEAL (1 STL)45
84.8%
35
15.2%
Q2 - 4:42DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
86.4%
35
13.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot45
86.0%
35
14.0%
Q2 - 4:56DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Kidd 5 AST)45
84.8%
35
15.2%
Q2 - 5:16MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
83.0%
35
17.0%
Q2 - 5:16DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Singleton43
34
Q2 - 5:16MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)43
83.4%
34
16.6%
Q2 - 5:16DALSingleton P.FOUL (P2.PN)43
33
Q2 - 5:23DALSUB: Kidd FOR Barea43
33
Q2 - 5:23MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Quinn43
33
Q2 - 5:23DALBarea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)43
84.7%
33
15.3%
Q2 - 5:34MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)43
86.1%
33
13.9%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)43
87.5%
31
12.5%
Q2 - 5:45DALMISS Singleton 22' Jump Shot43
87.9%
31
12.1%
Q2 - 5:50MIACook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)43
88.7%
31
11.3%
Q2 - 6:10DALBarea 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Singleton 1 AST)43
86.8%
31
13.2%
Q2 - 6:25MIABeasley 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)40
84.3%
31
15.7%
Q2 - 6:34MIASUB: Wade FOR Jones40
29
Q2 - 6:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)40
29
Q2 - 6:41DALHoward 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)40
85.5%
29
14.5%
Q2 - 6:59MIABeasley 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
82.7%
29
17.3%
Q2 - 7:09DALTerry L.B.FOUL (P2.T4)37
27
Q2 - 7:09MIAHEAT Rebound37
84.0%
27
16.0%
Q2 - 7:10MIAMISS Beasley 7' Jump Shot37
85.1%
27
14.9%
Q2 - 7:21DALTerry P.FOUL (P1.T3)37
27
Q2 - 7:30DALTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)37
84.0%
27
16.0%
Q2 - 7:46MIACook 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)34
80.8%
27
19.2%
Q2 - 8:01DALSingleton Putback Dunk (2 PTS)34
82.0%
25
18.0%
Q2 - 8:02DALSingleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
80.3%
25
19.7%
Q2 - 8:03DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot32
79.1%
25
20.9%
Q2 - 8:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
80.3%
25
19.7%
Q2 - 8:25MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot32
79.8%
25
20.2%
Q2 - 8:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
78.6%
25
21.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot32
79.8%
25
20.2%
Q2 - 8:4732
25
Q2 - 8:47DALBarea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)32
78.6%
25
21.4%
Q2 - 8:49DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
80.4%
25
19.6%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Beasley 11' Turnaround Jump Shot32
79.9%
25
20.1%
Q2 - 9:11DALBarea 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)32
78.2%
25
21.8%
Q2 - 9:29MIAQuinn 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)30
76.3%
25
23.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)30
78.2%
23
21.8%
Q2 - 9:41DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot30
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q2 - 10:00MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
80.0%
23
20.0%
Q2 - 10:00MIASUB: Magloire FOR Haslem30
22
Q2 - 10:00DALSUB: Dampier FOR Nowitzki30
22
Q2 - 10:00MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
80.4%
22
19.6%
Q2 - 10:00DALSingleton S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
21
Q2 - 10:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)30
81.3%
21
18.7%
Q2 - 10:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)29
81.1%
21
18.9%
Q2 - 10:14MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
21
Q2 - 10:26MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)28
79.7%
21
20.3%
Q2 - 10:42DALBarea Driving Layup (2 PTS)28
81.3%
19
18.7%
Q2 - 11:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
79.2%
19
20.8%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 126
79.0%
19
21.0%
Q2 - 11:03DALBarea S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
19
Q2 - 11:03MIAQuinn 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)26
19
Q2 - 11:20DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)26
80.8%
17
19.2%
Q2 - 11:42MIABeasley Tip Shot (2 PTS)24
79.2%
17
20.8%
Q2 - 11:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
80.8%
15
19.2%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Beasley Driving Layup24
81.9%
15
18.1%
Q2 - 12:0024
15
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
80.9%
15
19.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
80.5%
15
19.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Singleton 3PT Jump Shot24
80.8%
15
19.2%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (2 PTS)24
81.6%
15
18.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0DALGeorge Driving Layup (5 PTS)24
83.4%
13
16.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)22
81.7%
13
18.3%
Q1 - 1:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
80.2%
13
19.8%
Q1 - 1:04DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
80.5%
13
19.5%
Q1 - 1:10MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers22
13
Q1 - 1:23MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
81.2%
13
18.8%
Q1 - 1:23DALSUB: Singleton FOR Bass22
12
Q1 - 1:23MIAHEAT Rebound22
12
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 222
81.5%
12
18.5%
Q1 - 1:23DALBass P.FOUL (P2.PN)22
12
Q1 - 1:31MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
81.7%
12
18.3%
Q1 - 1:32DALMISS Bass 9' Jump Shot22
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 1:49MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)22
82.6%
12
17.4%
Q1 - 1:58DALSUB: Barea FOR Kidd22
12
Q1 - 2:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q1 - 2:03DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot22
81.6%
12
18.4%
Q1 - 2:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
82.3%
12
17.7%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Running Jump Shot22
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Terry: Tip to Cook22
12
Q1 - 2:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q1 - 2:29DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot22
81.6%
12
18.4%
Q1 - 2:36MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
82.4%
12
17.6%
Q1 - 2:39MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
81.2%
12
18.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot22
82.0%
12
18.0%
Q1 - 2:59DALBass 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kidd 4 AST)22
81.3%
12
18.7%
Q1 - 3:05DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
79.8%
12
20.2%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
79.3%
12
20.7%
Q1 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
78.3%
12
21.7%
Q1 - 3:19DALMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot20
78.7%
12
21.3%
Q1 - 3:39DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
79.7%
12
20.3%
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 220
79.5%
12
20.5%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHEAT Rebound20
12
Q1 - 3:40MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 220
78.5%
12
21.5%
Q1 - 3:40DALBass S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
12
Q1 - 3:52DALGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kidd 3 AST)20
78.2%
12
21.8%
Q1 - 4:02MIASUB: Beasley FOR Magloire17
12
Q1 - 4:02MIAMagloire P.FOUL (P2.T3)17
12
Q1 - 4:20DALSUB: Bass FOR Dampier17
12
Q1 - 4:20DALSUB: Terry FOR Howard17
12
Q1 - 4:20DALMavericks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
12
Q1 - 4:20MIAMagloire Tip Shot (2 PTS)17
73.6%
12
26.4%
Q1 - 4:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
75.0%
10
25.0%
Q1 - 4:22MIAMISS Cook 9' Jump Shot17
76.1%
10
23.9%
Q1 - 4:33MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
75.0%
10
25.0%
Q1 - 4:34DALWade BLOCK (1 BLK)17
75.4%
10
24.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
76.3%
10
23.7%
Q1 - 4:56MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)17
76.6%
9
23.4%
Q1 - 4:56DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T4)17
8
Q1 - 5:13DALHoward Layup (4 PTS) (Kidd 2 AST)17
76.8%
8
23.2%
Q1 - 5:20DALNowitzki Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)15
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 5:20MIAHEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Haslem )14
8
Q1 - 5:32MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
74.1%
8
25.9%
Q1 - 5:41MIASUB: Cook FOR Diawara14
8
Q1 - 5:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
8
Q1 - 5:50DALKidd 5' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
72.3%
8
27.7%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMagloire L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)12
8
Q1 - 6:09DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
70.8%
8
29.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Chalmers Driving Layup12
70.4%
8
29.6%
Q1 - 6:30DALNowitzki 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
69.1%
8
30.9%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHEAT Rebound10
7
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 210
67.8%
7
32.2%
Q1 - 6:50DALDampier S.FOUL (P1.T3)10
7
Q1 - 7:03DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kidd 1 AST)10
67.4%
7
32.6%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
66.0%
7
34.0%
Q1 - 7:16DALMagloire STEAL (1 STL)8
64.3%
7
35.7%
Q1 - 7:40DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
65.7%
7
34.3%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 28
65.5%
7
34.5%
Q1 - 7:41MIAHEAT Rebound8
7
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 28
64.6%
7
35.4%
Q1 - 7:41DALSUB: George FOR Wright8
7
Q1 - 7:41DALWright S.FOUL (P2.T2)8
7
Q1 - 7:54DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)8
64.1%
7
35.9%
Q1 - 8:11MIAHaslem Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)6
62.7%
7
37.3%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
64.0%
5
36.0%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot6
64.9%
5
35.1%
Q1 - 8:44DALHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
63.8%
5
36.2%
Q1 - 8:44DALHoward OFF.Foul (P1)6
5
Q1 - 8:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
64.9%
5
35.1%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot6
64.5%
5
35.5%
Q1 - 9:04DALChalmers STEAL (1 STL)6
64.0%
5
36.0%
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)6
64.7%
5
35.3%
Q1 - 9:22DALWright S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:22MIAWade 5' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 9:30DALMISS Dampier 4' Hook Shot6
66.8%
2
33.2%
Q1 - 9:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
67.3%
2
32.7%
Q1 - 9:32DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot6
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 9:41DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
67.0%
2
33.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot6
66.8%
2
33.2%
Q1 - 9:54MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 9:55DALMISS Wright 4' Jump Bank Shot6
66.1%
2
33.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
2
Q1 - 10:07DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.9%
2
34.1%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
65.7%
2
34.3%
Q1 - 10:34DALNowitzki 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
64.3%
2
35.7%
Q1 - 10:54MIAWade Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
63.1%
2
36.9%
Q1 - 11:13DALWright Layup (2 PTS)4
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 11:17DALKidd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 11:18MIAMISS Wade 18' Fadeaway Jumper2
62.1%
0
37.9%
Q1 - 11:37DALKidd 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Magloire vs. Dampier: Tip to Nowitzki0
60.4%
0
39.6%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.34 66.9%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
17
76%
MIA
14
22
64%
Midrange
DAL
27
45
60%
MIA
16
40
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
DAL
10
12
83%
MIA
21
30
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki30100%15.0 / 15
J. Terry2059%10.0 / 17
J. Howard1558%7.5 / 13
B. Bass1161%5.5 / 9
J. Barea1179%5.5 / 7
J. Kidd770%3.5 / 5
A. Wright650%3.0 / 6
D. George583%2.5 / 3
E. Dampier450%2.0 / 4
J. Singleton233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3063%15.0 / 24
M. Beasley1853%9.0 / 17
M. Chalmers1761%8.5 / 14
U. Haslem1056%5.0 / 9
C. Quinn1063%5.0 / 8
M. Blount450%2.0 / 4
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
J. Magloire250%1.0 / 2
D. Cook211%1.0 / 9
Y. Diawara0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
78
+5
-15
83
MIA
82
+11
-12
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.34 66.9%
MIA
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.3
107.6
DAL 119.4 +17.2
MIA 102.1
Pace
91.7
90.2
DAL 91.6
MIA 95.5 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
DAL 15.7
MIA 15.1 −0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
50.0%
DAL 64.7% +16.0%
MIA 48.7%
TO %
13.2%
13.1%
DAL 15.3%
MIA 11.7% −3.6%
ORB %
26.6%
24.6%
DAL 13.8%
MIA 22.5% +8.7%
FTrt
27.4
28.2
DAL 15.4
MIA 39.0 +23.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.9%
55.1%
DAL 46.8% +15.4%
MIA 31.4%
STL %
7.8%
8.7%
DAL 9.7% +0.1%
MIA 9.6%
BLK %
8.0%
9.2%
DAL 6.5% +4.9%
MIA 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.6%
DAL 66.9% +15.3%
MIA 51.6%
Rim FG%
57.7%
59.5%
DAL 76.5% +12.9%
MIA 63.6%
Mid FG%
44.9%
41.8%
DAL 60.0% +20.0%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
35.0%
35.7%
DAL 43.8% +10.5%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
81.9%
75.4%
DAL 83.3% +13.3%
MIA 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.9%
30.3%
DAL 21.8%
MIA 28.6% +6.8%
Mid Att. %
47.0%
45.2%
DAL 57.7%
MIA 51.9% −5.7%
3P Att. %
24.1%
24.5%
DAL 20.5% +1.0%
MIA 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.44 and 2.44.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points11196
Rebounds3534
Assists2211
Steals99
Blocks41
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)25 (2)
Field Goals47-7835-77
At-the-Rim FG13-1714-22
Midrange FG27-4516-40
2-Point FG40-6230-62
3-Point FG7-165-15
Free Throws10-1221-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 36
34.6
7
70%
5
11
2
0
2
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-1
100%
F · 7'0" 245 · 31
34.3
30
100%
7
3
0
1
0
1
1
6
5-5
100%
11-13
85%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 210 · 29
28.2
15
58%
6
0
0
0
2
2
0
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
1-3
33%
C · 6'11" 265 · 34
25.8
4
50%
6
0
1
2
5
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 25
17.6
6
50%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 31
30.4
20
59%
5
3
1
0
3
3
0
5
0-0
-
7-12
58%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
19.8
5
83%
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 250 · 24
18.3
11
61%
2
1
1
1
0
3
0
2
1-3
33%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 28
16.8
2
33%
2
1
1
0
1
4
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 25
13.4
11
79%
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 240 · 24
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 212 · 28
#42 · F · 6'6" 218 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F · 6'10" 230 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
67%
35
22
9
4
15
0
4
31
10-12
83%
40-62
65%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.