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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Warriors22%9693
6Rockets78%106110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.8
37.8
36.9
16
51%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
5-6
83%
4-9
4-10
44%
43%
1-4
25%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
31.6
23.8
4
25%
10
4
2
0
4
1
1
9
0-0
-
2-8
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
29.9
31.6
10
39%
6
1
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
4-12
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
26.3
30.7
14
58%
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
23.2
25.7
8
80%
7
1
0
1
0
1
3
4
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
57%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
32.9
27.2
17
51%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
5-8
63%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
0-2
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
20.9
15.1
12
87%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
2-3
67%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
18.9
15.8
5
31%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
45%
1-2
50%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.9
11.7
4.3
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.5
6.0
7.5
5
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
0.6
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
26.2
1
3-6
46%
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 30.4
34.6
31.9
0
0%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-3
0%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 28.4
34.6
21.9
25
68%
11
1
1
0
0
4
2
9
7-10
70%
9-14
5-9
64%
55%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.2
32.4
24.3
27
69%
7
7
0
1
1
3
3
4
3-6
50%
6-11
3-6
55%
48%
4-6
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 28.8
29.9
31.6
9
57%
8
0
1
1
0
1
2
6
1-2
50%
4-7
6-11
57%
55%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 32.5
22.2
32.7
2
13%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
45%
0-2
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 24.0
42.8
16.5
22
51%
1
9
1
0
0
2
1
0
5-6
83%
7-15
2-4
47%
48%
1-4
25%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 25.4
20.1
19.5
17
87%
8
0
1
0
0
1
3
5
4-4
100%
5-7
4-6
71%
59%
1-1
100%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 23.5
16.5
17.0
8
41%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-6
3-5
17%
52%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 25.6
6.9
10.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 29.7
33.0
1
5-11
48%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 37.1
9.7
0
0-0
57%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 42.6
1.1
0
0-0
57%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.2
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 25.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.