FinalWin Prob.pScore
1749%95
107
2251%96
110
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
117.69192.4
MIL logo MIL
119.69290.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL107
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)104
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)104
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 0:02.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)104
1.5%
108
98.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)104
1.8%
107
98.2%
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)102
1.5%
106
98.5%
Q4 - 0:08.0ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot102
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)102
2.9%
106
97.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILBUCKS Rebound102
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 0:12.0MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot102
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)102
2.0%
106
98.0%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)101
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 0:41.0MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)100
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 1:02ATLJohnson Layup (22 PTS)100
1.8%
106
98.2%
Q4 - 1:10MILSessions Driving Layup (20 PTS)98
1.2%
106
98.8%
Q4 - 1:32ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)98
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 1:39MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)95
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 1:39MILMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 295
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 1:59ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)95
1.6%
103
98.4%
Q4 - 1:59ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)94
1.4%
103
98.6%
Q4 - 2:09MILRidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)93
1.1%
103
98.9%
Q4 - 2:09MILRidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)93
1.1%
102
98.9%
Q4 - 2:14MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 2:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)93
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 2:15ATLMISS Williams Tip Shot93
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 2:16ATLMISS Murray Layup93
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 2:22MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)93
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 2:36MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 2:38ATLMISS Johnson Layup93
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 2:57MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)93
3.8%
101
96.2%
Q4 - 2:57MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)93
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 3:11ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
5.2%
99
94.8%
Q4 - 3:11ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 292
4.8%
99
95.2%
Q4 - 3:19MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)92
5.7%
99
94.3%
Q4 - 3:19MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)92
6.1%
98
93.9%
Q4 - 3:38MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
12.0%
97
88.0%
Q4 - 3:39ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 292
12.5%
97
87.5%
Q4 - 3:39ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 292
15.2%
97
84.8%
Q4 - 3:47ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
16.7%
97
83.3%
Q4 - 3:48MILMISS Sessions 14' Jump Shot92
15.0%
97
85.0%
Q4 - 4:15ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)92
11.4%
97
88.6%
Q4 - 4:28ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
5.7%
97
94.3%
Q4 - 4:29MILMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot89
5.0%
97
95.0%
Q4 - 4:47ATLSmith Layup (14 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)89
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 4:51ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 4:52MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot87
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q4 - 5:17MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 5:18ATLMISS Bibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 5:41MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Villanueva 6 AST)87
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 5:59MILBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 6:00ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
8.5%
94
91.5%
Q4 - 6:06ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
13.4%
94
86.6%
Q4 - 6:07MILMISS Sessions Layup87
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 6:20ATLJohnson Layup (20 PTS)87
10.0%
94
90.0%
Q4 - 6:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 6:35MILMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
7.0%
94
93.0%
Q4 - 6:51ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)85
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 6:51ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)84
5.4%
94
94.6%
Q4 - 7:05MILBell 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Sessions 7 AST)83
5.6%
94
94.4%
Q4 - 7:20ATLMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)83
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q4 - 7:26ATLMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 7:27MILMISS Sessions Free Throw 2 of 280
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 7:27MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 7:46ATLSmith Layup (12 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)80
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 7:50MILJefferson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)78
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 8:14MILJefferson Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)78
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 8:25ATLMurray Layup (12 PTS)78
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 8:37MILBell 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)76
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q4 - 8:56ATLPachulia Layup (11 PTS)76
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 8:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
3.1%
88
96.9%
Q4 - 8:59ATLMISS Johnson Layup74
2.7%
88
97.3%
Q4 - 9:09MILBell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)74
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 9:14ATLSessions STEAL (1 STL)74
3.3%
88
96.7%
Q4 - 9:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)74
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 9:34MILMISS Ridnour 19' Jump Shot74
3.8%
88
96.2%
Q4 - 9:47ATLSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T11)74
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 9:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q4 - 9:53MILMISS Villanueva 8' Jump Shot74
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 9:58MILSessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 10:00MILMISS Sessions Layup74
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 10:14MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:15ATLMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q4 - 10:40MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)74
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 10:40MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q4 - 10:41MILMISS Villanueva Layup74
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q4 - 11:04MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q4 - 11:05ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot74
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q4 - 11:26ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 11:27MILMISS Bogut Free Throw 2 of 274
5.5%
88
94.5%
Q4 - 11:27MILBogut Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
4.9%
88
95.1%
Q4 - 11:45ATLJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)74
5.7%
87
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL74
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound74
6.8%
87
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 41' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
7.7%
87
92.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 12' Jump Shot74
7.3%
87
92.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)74
6.5%
87
93.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)71
4.3%
87
95.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)71
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q3 - 1:06MILBogut Dunk (8 PTS) (Ridnour 9 AST)69
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q3 - 1:11ATLBogut STEAL (2 STL)69
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q3 - 1:24MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)69
8.2%
82
91.8%
Q3 - 1:24MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 1:37ATLJones Foul Turnover (P2.T8)69
10.0%
80
90.0%
Q3 - 1:51MILJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
11.7%
80
88.3%
Q3 - 1:51MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)69
12.0%
79
88.0%
Q3 - 2:08MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q3 - 2:09ATLMISS Jones Layup69
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 2:10ATLJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
17.6%
78
82.4%
Q3 - 2:12ATLMISS Jones Layup69
15.8%
78
84.2%
Q3 - 2:23MILBogut 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)69
17.5%
78
82.5%
Q3 - 2:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q3 - 2:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
19.9%
76
80.1%
Q3 - 2:40ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw Technical67
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 2:42ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)67
17.5%
76
82.5%
Q3 - 2:43ATLMISS Murray Layup67
15.7%
76
84.3%
Q3 - 2:59MILBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)67
17.4%
76
82.6%
Q3 - 3:00ATLBogut STEAL (1 STL)67
14.9%
76
85.1%
Q3 - 3:09MILBogut Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)67
18.7%
76
81.3%
Q3 - 3:25MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
15.9%
76
84.1%
Q3 - 3:26ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot67
16.7%
76
83.3%
Q3 - 3:47MILSessions 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ridnour 8 AST)67
18.6%
76
81.4%
Q3 - 3:56MILElson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)67
21.3%
74
78.7%
Q3 - 3:58MILMISS Sessions Layup67
23.6%
74
76.4%
Q3 - 4:02MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
21.8%
74
78.2%
Q3 - 4:04ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
22.8%
74
77.2%
Q3 - 4:27MILJefferson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)67
25.4%
74
74.6%
Q3 - 4:46ATLMurray 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)67
28.3%
72
71.7%
Q3 - 5:14MILVillanueva 6' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Sessions 6 AST)64
22.9%
72
77.1%
Q3 - 5:31MILBUCKS Rebound64
25.5%
70
74.5%
Q3 - 5:31ATLMISS Smith Layup64
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 5:38ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
29.3%
70
70.7%
Q3 - 5:39ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot64
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 5:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
29.3%
70
70.7%
Q3 - 5:48MILMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot64
28.1%
70
71.9%
Q3 - 6:02ATLPachulia Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)64
26.4%
70
73.6%
Q3 - 6:09MILElson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)64
29.9%
70
70.1%
Q3 - 6:33ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)64
26.4%
70
73.6%
Q3 - 6:52MILVillanueva Dunk (23 PTS) (Sessions 5 AST)62
23.6%
70
76.4%
Q3 - 6:57MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)62
26.3%
68
73.7%
Q3 - 6:58ATLMISS Bibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
27.4%
68
72.6%
Q3 - 7:19MILSessions Layup (12 PTS) (Ridnour 7 AST)62
30.3%
68
69.7%
Q3 - 7:30ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)62
33.5%
66
66.5%
Q3 - 7:30ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 261
32.8%
66
67.2%
Q3 - 7:30ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
33.7%
66
66.3%
Q3 - 7:30ATLMISS Pachulia 12' Jump Shot61
31.2%
66
68.8%
Q3 - 7:55MILRidnour 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)61
33.7%
66
66.3%
Q3 - 8:16ATLBibby 8' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
37.1%
64
62.9%
Q3 - 8:20ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
33.9%
64
66.1%
Q3 - 8:22MILMISS Jefferson 17' Jump Shot59
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 8:39ATLPachulia Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)59
30.4%
64
69.6%
Q3 - 8:51ATLHawks Rebound57
27.5%
64
72.5%
Q3 - 8:52ATLMISS Johnson Layup57
25.3%
64
74.7%
Q3 - 9:13MILRidnour 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
27.9%
64
72.1%
Q3 - 9:30ATLSmith Dunk (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)57
30.9%
62
69.1%
Q3 - 9:34MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
27.9%
62
72.1%
Q3 - 9:45ATLBibby 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)55
24.9%
62
75.1%
Q3 - 10:06MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jefferson 3 AST)52
20.6%
62
79.4%
Q3 - 10:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
25.6%
59
74.4%
Q3 - 10:23ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
25.0%
59
75.0%
Q3 - 10:35MILJefferson Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Ridnour 6 AST)50
23.0%
59
77.0%
Q3 - 10:54ATLWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
25.6%
57
74.4%
Q3 - 11:10MILSessions Layup (10 PTS) (Ridnour 5 AST)48
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q3 - 11:16MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q3 - 11:17ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot48
27.1%
55
72.9%
Q3 - 11:39MILRidnour 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Villanueva 5 AST)48
29.2%
55
70.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL48
31.9%
53
68.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound48
35.2%
53
64.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Jones 40' 3PT Jump Shot48
32.9%
53
67.1%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILSessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
35.3%
53
64.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0MILSessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
35.8%
52
64.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0ATLRidnour STEAL (2 STL)48
39.2%
51
60.8%
Q2 - 0:22.0ATLJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)48
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Bibby 21' Jump Shot48
39.9%
51
60.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
41.6%
51
58.4%
Q2 - 0:39.0MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot48
40.9%
51
59.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)48
39.1%
51
60.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0ATLBibby Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)47
38.5%
51
61.5%
Q2 - 0:51.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
35.3%
51
64.7%
Q2 - 0:52.0MILMISS Sessions 13' Jump Shot46
34.5%
51
65.5%
Q2 - 1:08ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
33.4%
51
66.6%
Q2 - 1:08ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
32.8%
51
67.2%
Q2 - 1:14ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 1:16MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot44
29.2%
51
70.8%
Q2 - 1:30ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)44
27.9%
51
72.1%
Q2 - 1:37ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q2 - 1:38ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot41
21.1%
51
78.9%
Q2 - 1:58MILBogut 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)41
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 2:20MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q2 - 2:21ATLMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot41
21.6%
51
78.4%
Q2 - 2:35ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q2 - 2:36MILMISS Bogut Layup41
22.4%
51
77.6%
Q2 - 2:49ATLJohnson Palming Turnover (P2.T4)41
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q2 - 3:00MILSessions 6' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Villanueva 4 AST)41
23.1%
51
76.9%
Q2 - 3:22ATLMurray 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)41
25.7%
49
74.3%
Q2 - 3:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
23.8%
49
76.2%
Q2 - 3:31MILMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
23.0%
49
77.0%
Q2 - 3:49ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)39
21.2%
49
78.8%
Q2 - 3:53ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q2 - 3:54MILMISS Bogut Layup36
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 3:56MILBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
15.6%
49
84.4%
Q2 - 3:58MILMISS Bogut Layup36
17.0%
49
83.0%
Q2 - 4:13ATLMurray Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)36
16.2%
49
83.8%
Q2 - 4:18ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
14.7%
49
85.3%
Q2 - 4:19MILMISS Villanueva 9' Hook Shot34
14.2%
49
85.8%
Q2 - 4:38ATLMurray 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)34
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 5:08MILVillanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ridnour 4 AST)31
11.3%
49
88.7%
Q2 - 5:28MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
13.9%
46
86.1%
Q2 - 5:29ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q2 - 5:36ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 5:38MILMISS Sessions 20' Jump Shot31
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 6:01ATLSmith Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)31
14.3%
46
85.7%
Q2 - 6:19MILBell Layup (9 PTS) (Villanueva 3 AST)29
13.2%
46
86.8%
Q2 - 6:36ATLSmith Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)29
14.3%
44
85.7%
Q2 - 6:50MILElson Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Sessions 4 AST)27
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 7:01ATLSmith Layup (4 PTS)27
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 7:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Evans Layup25
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 7:05ATLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 7:06ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot25
12.6%
42
87.4%
Q2 - 7:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)25
13.5%
42
86.5%
Q2 - 7:27MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)25
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 7:50ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)25
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 8:04MILVillanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Sessions 3 AST)22
12.9%
40
87.1%
Q2 - 8:18MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
15.6%
37
84.4%
Q2 - 8:19ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
16.0%
37
84.0%
Q2 - 8:39MILBell Layup (7 PTS) (Sessions 2 AST)22
17.0%
37
83.0%
Q2 - 8:43MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)22
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 8:44ATLMISS Murray Layup22
19.2%
35
80.8%
Q2 - 9:02MILSessions 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
20.7%
35
79.3%
Q2 - 9:13MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 9:14ATLMISS Murray 12' Jump Shot22
23.1%
33
76.9%
Q2 - 9:28ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 9:29MILMISS Bell Layup22
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 9:38MILSessions REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 9:39ATLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot22
23.1%
33
76.9%
Q2 - 9:55MILVillanueva 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)22
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 9:58MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)22
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 9:59MILMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot22
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 10:10MILMbah a Moute REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
26.9%
31
73.1%
Q2 - 10:12ATLElson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 10:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 10:33ATLMISS Murray 27' 3PT Jump Shot22
27.6%
31
72.4%
Q2 - 10:57ATLHawks Rebound22
29.1%
31
70.9%
Q2 - 10:57MILMISS Jefferson 11' Jump Shot22
28.4%
31
71.6%
Q2 - 11:19MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q2 - 11:20ATLMISS Johnson Layup22
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 11:42MILBell 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)22
29.5%
31
70.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL22
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBell 45' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)22
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MILJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Murray 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q1 - 0:25.0MILMISS Mbah a Moute 15' Jump Shot22
40.3%
26
59.7%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLEvans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q1 - 1:13ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
41.2%
26
58.8%
Q1 - 1:15MILMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot22
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q1 - 1:33MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q1 - 1:34ATLMISS Johnson 5' Jump Shot22
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 1:56MILRidnour Layup (2 PTS)22
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q1 - 2:06MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
44.2%
24
55.8%
Q1 - 2:07ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot22
44.8%
24
55.2%
Q1 - 2:26MILVillanueva Layup (8 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)22
46.1%
24
53.9%
Q1 - 2:41ATLJohnson 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 2:50ATLJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 2:52ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot20
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 3:18MILBogut Layup (4 PTS) (Villanueva 2 AST)20
46.4%
22
53.6%
Q1 - 3:34ATLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)20
48.7%
20
51.3%
Q1 - 3:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q1 - 3:50MILMISS Ridnour 18' Jump Shot17
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 3:58MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
41.9%
20
58.1%
Q1 - 3:59ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot17
42.6%
20
57.4%
Q1 - 4:18MILBogut Layup (2 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)17
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q1 - 4:27MILBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 4:29ATLBogut BLOCK (1 BLK)17
47.0%
18
53.0%
Q1 - 4:42MILVillanueva Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
48.6%
18
51.4%
Q1 - 4:59ATLBibby 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
46.3%
18
53.7%
Q1 - 5:05ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 5:06MILMISS Villanueva Layup14
41.4%
18
58.6%
Q1 - 5:12ATLRidnour STEAL (1 STL)14
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 5:15MILRidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
42.1%
18
57.9%
Q1 - 5:29ATLJohnson 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
39.8%
18
60.2%
Q1 - 5:46MILSessions Dunk (2 PTS) (Villanueva 1 AST)12
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 5:50ATLElson STEAL (1 STL)12
39.8%
16
60.2%
Q1 - 6:12MILElson Layup (4 PTS)12
42.1%
16
57.9%
Q1 - 6:13MILElson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
44.1%
14
55.9%
Q1 - 6:14MILMISS Jefferson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 6:25ATLBibby Layup (4 PTS)12
44.1%
14
55.9%
Q1 - 6:39MILJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)10
42.1%
14
57.9%
Q1 - 6:53MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 6:55ATLMISS Smith Layup10
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 7:18MILJefferson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 7:27MILRidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot10
46.8%
11
53.2%
Q1 - 7:48MILBUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)10
48.4%
11
51.6%
Q1 - 7:48MILBUCKS Rebound10
46.1%
11
53.9%
Q1 - 7:48MILMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 8:13MILElson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 8:14ATLMISS Bibby 16' Jump Shot10
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 8:21ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 8:22MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
47.7%
11
52.3%
Q1 - 8:29MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
46.2%
11
53.8%
Q1 - 8:30ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot10
46.9%
11
53.1%
Q1 - 8:51MILVillanueva Free Throw 3 of 3 (6 PTS)10
48.3%
11
51.7%
Q1 - 8:51MILVillanueva Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)10
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 8:51MILVillanueva Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)10
49.0%
9
51.0%
Q1 - 9:11ATLSmith 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)10
52.8%
8
47.2%
Q1 - 9:22MILJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)8
50.6%
8
49.4%
Q1 - 9:44ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
54.8%
5
45.2%
Q1 - 9:44ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
54.4%
5
45.6%
Q1 - 10:12MILVillanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)6
52.4%
5
47.6%
Q1 - 10:33ATLJohnson 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)6
56.0%
2
44.0%
Q1 - 10:55MILElson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)4
54.3%
2
45.7%
Q1 - 11:07ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
55.2%
0
44.8%
Q1 - 11:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
53.6%
0
46.4%
Q1 - 11:14MILMISS Sessions Layup2
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 11:17MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 11:19MILMISS Sessions 20' Jump Shot2
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 11:35ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 11:35ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
51.7%
0
48.3%
Q1 - 11:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 11:36ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot0
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Elson vs. Smith: Tip to Pachulia0
50.3%
0
49.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.6%
MIL
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
17
32
53%
MIL
19
29
66%
Midrange
ATL
9
28
32%
MIL
12
31
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
16.5
24
46%
69%
MIL
7
10.5
13
54%
81%
Free Throws
ATL
22
27
81%
MIL
27
30
90%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Bibby2471%12.0 / 17
J. Johnson2244%11.0 / 25
J. Smith1853%9.0 / 17
R. Murray1864%9.0 / 14
Z. Pachulia1179%5.5 / 7
M. Williams857%4.0 / 7
M. Evans6100%3.0 / 3
S. Jones0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Villanueva2775%13.5 / 18
R. Sessions2056%10.0 / 18
R. Jefferson2067%10.0 / 15
C. Bell1667%8.0 / 12
L. Ridnour1260%6.0 / 10
A. Bogut956%4.5 / 8
F. Elson6100%3.0 / 3
L. Mbah a Moute0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
79
+17
-12
96
MIL
80
+9
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.09 54.6%
MIL
1.22 61.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
106.3
ATL 117.6
MIL 119.6 +2.0
Pace
89.8
93.0
ATL 92.4 +1.8
MIL 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
15.2
ATL 15.6 +0.3
MIL 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.4%
48.3%
ATL 50.6%
MIL 56.8% +6.2%
TO %
13.6%
14.6%
ATL 11.1% +3.7%
MIL 14.8%
ORB %
26.0%
27.9%
ATL 31.8% +11.2%
MIL 20.6%
FTrt
32.3
30.6
ATL 32.1
MIL 41.1 +9.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.1%
59.9%
ATL 54.1%
MIL 71.1% +17.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
ATL 9.9% +3.4%
MIL 6.5%
BLK %
7.4%
6.5%
ATL 6.7% +3.4%
MIL 3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
51.8%
ATL 54.6%
MIL 61.1% +6.5%
Rim FG%
60.5%
55.5%
ATL 53.1%
MIL 65.5% +12.4%
Mid FG%
40.2%
40.3%
ATL 32.1%
MIL 38.7% +6.6%
3P %
36.6%
36.3%
ATL 45.8%
MIL 53.8% +8.0%
FT %
73.8%
78.0%
ATL 81.5%
MIL 90.0% +8.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.2%
33.3%
ATL 38.1%
MIL 39.7% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
42.4%
45.9%
ATL 33.3% +9.1%
MIL 42.5%
3P Att. %
25.3%
20.8%
ATL 28.6% +10.8%
MIL 17.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIL
Possessions9192
Possession Minutes23.624.4
Points107110
Rebounds4137
Assists2027
Steals96
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (3)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (3)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)30 (1)
Field Goals37-8438-73
At-the-Rim FG17-3219-29
Midrange FG9-2812-31
2-Point FG26-6031-60
3-Point FG11-247-13
Free Throws22-2727-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 28
44.9
22
44%
5
9
2
0
3
1
0
5
4-4
100%
6-17
35%
2-6
33%
G · 6'2" 195 · 31
40.3
24
71%
4
4
1
0
2
4
0
4
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
4-8
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 23
40.3
18
53%
11
1
2
3
1
4
3
8
2-4
50%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 237 · 23
32.8
8
57%
8
3
3
0
0
4
4
4
6-6
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 25
20.4
11
79%
5
0
1
1
2
4
3
2
5-6
83%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 30
27.1
18
64%
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
4-8
50%
3-6
50%
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30
16.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
14.3
0
0%
5
0
0
0
3
5
3
2
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 202 · 24
3.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 25
· 6'8" 225 · 23
C · 6'11" 275 · 23
#3 · G · 6'5" 225 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#15 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
55%
41
20
9
4
12
0
14
27
22-27
81%
26-60
43%
11-24
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.