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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls26%96122
8Suns74%105111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
39.1
32.5
26
80%
1
6
1
1
0
0
1
0
5-5
100%
3-7
4-9
43%
46%
5-7
71%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
37.5
34.9
17
49%
10
1
0
1
0
2
1
9
3-3
100%
7-16
6-12
44%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.3
31.0
31.3
26
65%
6
4
0
1
0
0
4
2
2-2
100%
12-19
6-12
63%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
28.1
28.7
4
50%
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
25.4
28.7
10
51%
4
0
0
1
2
0
2
2
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.1
24.8
24.9
15
49%
1
6
3
1
0
3
1
0
2-3
67%
5-10
2-4
50%
44%
1-4
25%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
21.8
18.9
11
80%
8
2
1
1
1
2
0
8
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
1-2
50%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.2
16.4
18.3
11
49%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-3
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
15.9
12.4
2
35%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
6.4
0
1-2
42%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
3.9
0
0-1
37%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
3.8
0
0-1
46%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.2
43.0
38.7
12
60%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
4-7
57%
4-7
9-15
57%
57%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.3
40.0
28.8
19
73%
5
5
0
1
2
0
0
5
9-9
100%
5-9
4-7
56%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.0
37.6
36.1
15
50%
2
10
0
1
0
7
0
2
1-2
50%
7-11
3-7
64%
53%
0-3
0%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.9
35.0
33.4
18
60%
8
2
0
1
2
3
2
6
6-9
67%
6-11
7-12
55%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.0
33.0
30.3
12
56%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
2-4
4-7
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.2
32.0
23.2
32
80%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
7-7
100%
8-12
3-6
67%
52%
3-5
60%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.9
15.2
19.3
3
38%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
52%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
4.2
13.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.6
5.3
0
1-1
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.8
4.1
0
0-1
55%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
3.2
0
0-1
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.