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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 31, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Jazz36%95108
11Trail Blazers64%100122
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.6
37.8
36.0
35
78%
2
5
2
1
0
3
0
2
9-10
90%
10-13
5-10
77%
50%
2-5
40%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
37.5
25.8
12
60%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
50%
2-5
40%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.7
36.0
33.7
18
73%
7
0
0
1
0
2
0
7
10-12
83%
4-6
5-10
67%
48%
0-1
0%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 23.9
35.2
32.8
17
60%
4
3
0
2
0
4
2
2
5-7
71%
6-8
5-9
75%
54%
0-3
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 24.0
30.5
36.0
7
45%
2
3
1
1
0
1
2
0
1-4
25%
3-6
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 27.9
21.6
23.0
3
21%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
1-6
17%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 19.9
10.3
6.8
8
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 30.2
8.2
3.8
2
114%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 33.2
7.5
9.7
2
114%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
40%
0-0
-
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 22.1
7.2
11.6
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.6
4.3
6.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 32.7
3.9
15.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 27.2
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.0
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 24.5
35.4
34.5
30
67%
3
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
6-8
75%
9-15
7-14
60%
50%
2-4
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 23.5
32.9
35.1
14
41%
6
4
0
1
0
1
3
3
4-5
80%
5-15
7-13
33%
51%
0-0
-
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 20.1
25.5
17.9
16
82%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
51%
4-5
80%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 22.6
19.1
22.8
9
75%
2
7
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
1-1
100%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 21.0
11.0
28.5
5
87%
1
0
2
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
4-8
100%
56%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 29.3
33.5
16.7
14
78%
17
0
0
0
0
2
6
11
6-9
67%
4-5
1-2
80%
59%
0-0
-
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 23.8
25.2
26.0
13
93%
0
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
50%
3-4
75%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.4
24.3
20.8
4
41%
1
4
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
2-5
100%
45%
0-3
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 24.4
23.8
25.5
11
56%
3
2
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
3.3
2.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.4
3.1
1.2
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 25.2
3.0
1.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.9
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.