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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Timberwolves19%90101
4Celtics81%102109
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 24.1
41.3
37.2
34
73%
11
1
0
1
4
1
3
8
4-5
80%
15-21
10-21
71%
48%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 23.6
40.2
27.8
10
40%
1
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-7
2-6
43%
39%
1-5
20%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 26.4
39.5
31.5
17
61%
3
1
4
1
1
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-7
67%
45%
1-4
25%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 25.4
36.2
37.2
21
52%
2
9
2
1
0
1
1
1
7-7
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
43%
2-5
40%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 25.2
11.2
18.3
2
50%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 29.0
27.8
29.8
8
82%
6
3
0
0
0
2
0
6
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 20.4
25.5
23.7
6
52%
10
1
0
0
0
2
2
8
4-4
100%
1-4
3-7
25%
45%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 24.8
15.0
17.8
3
31%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
3.4
6.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.4
4.4
0
0-1
43%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 33.0
2.3
0
0-0
40%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.2
2.3
0
0-0
39%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.9
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 32.7
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.3
40.9
32.9
36
64%
8
6
0
1
1
4
4
4
9-9
100%
12-21
4-8
57%
51%
1-3
33%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.1
37.5
18.9
12
45%
6
2
3
1
0
1
1
5
2-3
67%
5-12
2-5
42%
49%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.5
35.2
34.0
22
64%
3
4
0
1
0
3
1
2
5-5
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
53%
3-8
38%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.2
34.9
25.9
8
67%
11
3
0
0
1
1
4
7
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
61%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.9
34.6
33.8
5
39%
7
8
2
2
1
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
52%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
19.3
13.0
7
40%
3
0
4
0
0
0
2
1
1-4
25%
3-7
2-4
43%
54%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.1
18.8
18.3
14
61%
1
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
6-8
75%
4-7
3-5
57%
52%
0-1
0%
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
14.7
18.3
5
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
4.2
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
12.3
0
1-3
51%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.8
6.7
0
1-1
49%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.3
4.1
0
1-1
53%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.2
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.