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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Magic61%99113
13Raptors39%9590
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
37.9
36.9
15
56%
7
3
1
1
2
1
0
7
1-1
100%
1-6
3-7
17%
50%
4-7
57%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 29.9
35.3
37.2
11
42%
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-5
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
1-5
20%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.2
34.5
34.7
29
61%
14
2
2
1
1
2
6
8
7-11
64%
11-19
7-12
58%
58%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 23.3
32.0
29.4
11
61%
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
3-4
75%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 27.0
31.0
29.3
18
73%
8
10
1
1
1
2
0
8
3-3
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
51%
3-6
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 27.0
30.2
22.6
22
57%
5
0
0
1
0
0
3
2
5-5
100%
7-12
2-4
58%
53%
1-5
20%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 33.0
18.4
12.7
1
13%
4
1
2
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 34.3
17.0
17.4
5
125%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.2
2.6
3.6
1
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 25.0
1.2
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 24.6
7.2
0
0-1
48%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 28.7
5.1
0
0-0
47%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 29.7
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24.9
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 33.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 23.3
35.3
30.0
12
34%
8
1
0
0
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
4-14
4-8
29%
45%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 24.9
30.1
37.0
11
43%
10
1
1
1
1
4
1
9
3-4
75%
4-11
7-15
36%
49%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
27.3
30.4
16
67%
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
52%
0-1
0%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 33.6
22.4
33.0
4
29%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 28.6
19.7
28.0
7
70%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-1
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.6
31.2
21.6
14
60%
12
0
2
0
1
0
2
10
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
26.9
24.1
8
52%
2
1
0
0
4
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.0
19.4
21.7
6
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
0-2
0%
Will Solomon
G · 6'1" 185 · 30.5
18.9
4.4
9
46%
5
5
0
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
2-6
0-1
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Roko Ukic
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.2
3.0
6.8
3
34%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
45%
0-0
-
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.3
3.0
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Nathan Jawai
F · 6'10" 280 · 22.3
3.0
1.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.