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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 1, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers55%9090
12Pistons45%8880
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 26.1
42.0
35.7
22
56%
7
4
2
1
0
2
0
7
4-4
100%
9-17
4-9
53%
50%
0-1
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 24.1
38.8
37.1
33
55%
4
8
1
2
1
5
4
0
6-11
55%
9-17
8-15
53%
53%
3-8
38%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 33.7
34.4
26.9
13
39%
8
0
0
0
0
0
2
6
1-2
50%
3-13
5-10
23%
49%
2-3
67%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 25.2
29.9
26.4
9
57%
4
2
0
1
2
3
0
4
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.4
25.2
22.3
0
0%
7
0
1
1
1
1
2
5
0-2
0%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.3
23.3
30.2
2
100%
6
0
0
1
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
1-1
4-7
100%
51%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.9
20.3
19.7
2
100%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
47%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 22.9
18.7
24.9
7
70%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
43%
1-2
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 20.4
7.5
16.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Darnell Jackson
F · 6'9" 253 · 23.2
2.9
0
0-1
48%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 33.2
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Jawad Williams
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.0
1.1
0
0-0
50%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 25.5
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 24.9
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 35.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 33.7
44.0
37.4
22
53%
3
1
3
1
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
9-19
6-12
47%
45%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 34.4
40.8
35.4
9
41%
6
0
1
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.9
36.0
34.0
11
50%
4
3
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
30.2
34.8
6
28%
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-4
50%
2-9
5-11
22%
46%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 21.8
21.5
11.5
10
63%
9
0
0
0
0
0
5
4
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
55%
0-0
-
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34.4
29.1
30.9
6
44%
8
0
1
1
1
0
2
6
2-2
100%
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 31.0
26.7
27.1
16
58%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
6-10
5-10
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.3
6.5
6.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 26.0
4.6
14.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.1
0.7
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 26.9
3.5
0
0-1
52%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.6
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Alex Acker
G · 6'5" 185 · 26.0
Walter Sharpe
F · 6'9" 245 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.