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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Grizzlies38%92113
26Wizards62%9697
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.5
42.3
37.3
23
59%
8
1
3
1
0
2
2
6
6-8
75%
7-14
6-13
50%
50%
1-2
50%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 21.2
41.5
35.5
33
66%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
6-7
86%
9-16
5-10
56%
49%
3-6
50%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
36.5
28.2
22
69%
11
4
2
1
0
1
4
7
8-11
73%
7-11
4-7
64%
52%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.3
35.3
31.8
14
57%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
1-2
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 20.9
25.1
27.4
8
44%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 32.4
26.1
1.8
9
77%
7
3
2
0
0
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-1
0-0
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.3
11.5
14.5
2
50%
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 30.1
8.8
5.0
2
50%
1
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 26.6
4.9
21.7
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 27.8
4.1
14.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 22.9
3.9
15.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 23.7
0.9
0
0-0
52%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
44.8
37.8
29
54%
13
2
0
1
0
3
4
9
7-11
64%
8-16
7-13
50%
51%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
40.9
39.1
21
63%
9
5
0
2
1
6
2
7
5-6
83%
5-9
6-13
56%
50%
2-5
40%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
27.2
29.3
4
100%
5
4
0
1
1
5
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
21.2
26.0
5
28%
6
3
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-1
0%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.0
20.0
24.5
2
33%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
26.3
17.4
11
53%
7
0
2
1
2
0
4
3
1-1
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
25.1
17.5
13
48%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
2-5
40%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.1
19.1
15.7
4
46%
2
3
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-3
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
8.8
8.2
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.2
6.6
2.8
2
35%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
14.3
0
1-2
44%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
11.6
0
2-4
51%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.2
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.