Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	11	Trail Blazers	39%	89	97	115.5	84	89.3
	10	Hornets	61%	93	89	104.7	85	80.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 24	41.9	22	48%	11	2	0	0	1	1	5	6	4-4	100%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 25	39.3	6	27%	4	5	1	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 23	19.1	6	50%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 21	17.9	6	50%	6	0	0	0	0	4	3	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 20	14.7	5	63%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	30.5	15	75%	8	2	1	0	3	3	1	7	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	29.3	2	33%	10	0	0	1	0	2	2	8	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	24.1	19	79%	2	6	2	0	1	4	0	2	5-7	71%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	23.3	16	67%	6	0	0	0	4	4	0	6	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Steve Blake #2 · G · 6'3" 172 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	52	16	4	1	15	0	13	39	17-19	89%	34-65	52%	4-13	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 Portland Trail Blazers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 24	41.9	22	48%	11	2	0	0	1	1	5	6	4-4	100%	9-20	45%	0-1	0%
Brandon Roy G · 6'6" 211 · 25	39.3	6	27%	4	5	1	0	3	2	2	2	2-2	100%	2-9	22%	0-1	0%
Sergio Rodriguez G · 6'3" 176 · 23	19.1	6	50%	1	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Greg Oden C · 7'0" 273 · 21	17.9	6	50%	6	0	0	0	0	4	3	3	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Nicolas Batum F · 6'7" 230 · 20	14.7	5	63%	4	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-3	33%

Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 24	30.5	15	75%	8	2	1	0	3	3	1	7	4-4	100%	1-2	50%	3-6	50%
Joel Przybilla C · 7'1" 245 · 29	29.3	2	33%	10	0	0	1	0	2	2	8	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 20	24.1	19	79%	2	6	2	0	1	4	0	2	5-7	71%	7-8	88%	0-1	0%
Travis Outlaw F · 6'9" 207 · 24	23.3	16	67%	6	0	0	0	4	4	0	6	2-2	100%	7-11	64%	0-0	-
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shavlik Randolph F · 6'10" 236 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ike Diogu F · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster #8 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Steve Blake #2 · G · 6'3" 172 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raef LaFrentz #9 · C-F · 6'11" 240 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	53%	52	16	4	1	15	0	13	39	17-19	89%	34-65	52%	4-13	31%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

10 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 28	42.5	25	48%	8	2	1	0	1	3	3	5	3-4	75%	11-23	48%	0-1	0%
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 32	39.1	18	50%	4	0	4	0	0	1	2	2	3-3	100%	3-8	38%	3-9	33%
Rasual Butler G · 6'7" 215 · 30	35.3	11	79%	4	2	2	1	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	4-6	67%	1-1	100%
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 24	28.3	12	43%	4	13	3	0	1	2	2	2	5-6	83%	2-7	29%	1-4	25%
Hilton Armstrong C · 6'11" 235 · 24	17.2	6	75%	3	0	0	0	0	2	2	1	0-1	0%	3-4	75%	0-0	-

James Posey F · 6'8" 217 · 32	27.8	0	0%	3	0	0	3	0	1	0	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Antonio Daniels G · 6'4" 205 · 34	19.7	9	50%	1	2	1	0	3	5	0	1	3-4	75%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Sean Marks F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33	12.3	0	0%	4	1	0	1	1	2	1	3	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Devin Brown G · 6'5" 210 · 30	10.1	2	20%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-1	0%
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 31	7.8	6	100%	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Julian Wright F · 6'8" 225 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyson Chandler #6 · C · 7'1" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Morris Peterson #9 · G · 6'7" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	89	50%	32	22	11	5	7	0	10	22	16-20	80%	29-61	48%	5-19	26%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	POR	NOH
Clock	Team	Event	POR	NOH

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR

1.07 53.3%

NOH

1.00 50.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

POR

19

33

58%

NOH

18

27

67%

Midrange

POR

15

32

47%

NOH

11

34

32%

3PT | Effective 3PT

POR

4

6.0

13

31%

46%

NOH

5

7.5

19

26%

39%

Free Throws

POR

17

19

89%

NOH

16

20

80%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Trail Blazers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	22	48%	11.0 / 23
J. Bayless	19	79%	9.5 / 12
T. Outlaw	16	67%	8.0 / 12
R. Fernandez	15	75%	7.5 / 10
B. Roy	6	27%	3.0 / 11
S. Rodriguez	6	50%	3.0 / 6
G. Oden	6	50%	3.0 / 6
N. Batum	5	63%	2.5 / 4
J. Przybilla	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. West	25	48%	12.5 / 26
P. Stojakovic	18	50%	9.0 / 18
C. Paul	12	43%	6.0 / 14
R. Butler	11	79%	5.5 / 7
A. Daniels	9	50%	4.5 / 9
H. Armstrong	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Ely	6	100%	3.0 / 3
D. Brown	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Posey	0	-	0.0 / 2
S. Marks	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	2 113.3 12 108.6	POR 115.5 +10.8 NOH 104.7
Pace	30 87.1 28 88.0	POR 89.3 +9.0 NOH 80.3
Avg. Poss. Time	2 17.2 4 16.8	POR 16.1 −1.8 NOH 17.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	8 51.1% 14 50.1%	POR 51.3% +5.7% NOH 45.6%
TO %	11 13.8% 5 13.3%	POR 14.8% NOH 7.3% −7.5%
ORB %	1 32.6% 25 24.5%	POR 37.1% +16.7% NOH 20.4%
FTrt	14 30.6 22 28.8	POR 24.4 NOH 25.0 +0.6
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 55.2% 19 55.3%	POR 42.1% NOH 64.7% +22.6%
STL %	18 7.7% 10 8.2%	POR 4.8% NOH 12.9% +8.1%
BLK %	12 8.0% 23 7.2%	POR 1.6% NOH 7.7% +6.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.64 and 2.64.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	9 53.6% 15 53.1%	POR 53.3% +3.3% NOH 50.0%
Rim FG%	8 59.5% 13 58.6%	POR 57.6% NOH 66.7% +9.1%
Mid FG%	13 40.8% 4 42.5%	POR 46.9% +14.5% NOH 32.4%
3P %	4 38.3% 17 36.4%	POR 30.8% +4.5% NOH 26.3%
FT %	18 76.6% 4 80.7%	POR 89.5% +9.5% NOH 80.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	20 33.3% 28 29.0%	POR 42.3% +8.6% NOH 33.8%
Mid Att. %	16 42.7% 27 47.0%	POR 41.0% −1.5% NOH 42.5%
3P Att. %	12 23.9% 11 24.0%	POR 16.7% NOH 23.8% +7.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	POR	NOH
Possessions	84	85
Possession Minutes	22.6	25.4
Points	97	89
Rebounds	52	32
Assists	16	22
Steals	4	11
Blocks	1	5
Turnovers (Team)	15 (0)	7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (6)	10 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	39 (0)	22 (0)
Field Goals	38-78	34-80
At-the-Rim FG	19-33	18-27
Midrange FG	15-32	11-34
2-Point FG	34-65	29-61
3-Point FG	4-13	5-19
Free Throws	17-19	16-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg