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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Kings14%9881
8Suns86%112129
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 20.8
43.3
22.6
8
33%
9
2
0
0
3
5
2
7
0-0
-
4-11
3-7
36%
46%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 29.1
30.8
39.4
19
69%
7
2
1
1
0
5
2
5
3-4
75%
5-8
4-9
63%
49%
2-4
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 26.0
27.4
39.1
13
48%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
7-8
88%
0-6
5-11
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 22.5
25.9
29.5
12
51%
8
2
1
1
0
3
4
4
2-4
50%
5-10
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.6
23.5
26.6
4
29%
1
1
2
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27.1
25.7
25.2
10
50%
1
0
2
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 20.9
14.4
3.9
4
29%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
14.3
13.4
1
10%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
1-2
50%
0-4
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 33.2
12.5
6.1
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
12.0
3.0
10
83%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
2-2
100%
Bobby Brown
· 6'2" 175 · 24.4
10.1
16.8
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 31.5
3.0
0
0-0
46%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 32.8
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.2
27.6
39.9
25
71%
8
0
1
1
0
2
3
5
13-13
100%
6-12
9-15
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 28.0
24.5
30.9
24
96%
5
6
4
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
51%
3-4
75%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 36.3
24.1
32.7
14
60%
7
1
3
1
2
1
2
5
4-6
67%
5-9
4-8
56%
55%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 36.9
23.0
33.3
10
52%
9
3
0
1
2
3
4
5
2-6
33%
4-7
7-12
57%
61%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 35.0
21.4
36.1
9
65%
3
9
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
1-2
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 28.9
26.0
17.4
8
40%
6
1
2
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
0-4
0%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.0
21.4
2.8
6
31%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
1-6
0-1
17%
54%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.2
19.0
9.9
8
67%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 26.2
14.7
26.7
11
71%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
55%
1-1
100%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 20.8
14.4
3.8
7
51%
4
1
0
0
0
1
4
0
1-2
50%
3-6
0-1
50%
59%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 23.6
12.0
3.5
2
25%
5
1
5
0
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
51%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.7
12.0
2.9
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.