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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 2, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs60%102110
18Warriors40%99105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.7
43.2
34.1
23
49%
5
7
1
1
0
6
0
5
7-12
58%
8-18
9-16
44%
53%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.8
41.7
35.5
32
68%
15
5
0
1
1
6
2
13
6-8
75%
13-20
8-15
65%
52%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.9
35.6
27.3
5
42%
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.4
35.0
30.8
7
44%
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
47%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28.8
17.5
26.2
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 31.5
34.6
27.3
32
57%
3
3
2
1
1
3
1
2
11-12
92%
9-17
3-7
53%
52%
1-6
17%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 36.3
27.0
16.6
7
41%
15
1
0
0
0
0
7
8
1-1
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 37.6
15.9
15.5
4
58%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-1
0%
2-2
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 22.8
12.6
11.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Malik Hairston
G · 6'6" 220 · 21.9
1.9
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 33.9
6.6
0
1-1
58%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 31.5
4.5
0
0-1
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 22.2
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 34.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 30.8
53.0
36.4
33
59%
5
11
4
1
0
4
2
3
5-7
71%
11-20
4-10
55%
44%
2-5
40%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.9
46.7
28.9
4
20%
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
45%
0-3
0%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.3
36.0
30.5
17
43%
8
4
1
1
2
4
2
6
0-0
-
7-19
6-12
37%
51%
1-1
100%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 25.1
24.6
18.6
7
50%
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.8
22.4
24.6
11
70%
9
1
1
1
1
0
2
7
1-2
50%
5-7
4-6
71%
58%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 29.2
33.3
28.6
15
48%
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
3-6
50%
6-12
5-10
50%
49%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.8
26.1
17.1
11
80%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 26.1
22.9
26.1
7
54%
7
0
2
0
4
3
1
6
1-1
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.4
16.8
0
2-4
46%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 19.6
7.0
0
1-3
48%
Rob Kurz
F · 6'9" 232 · 23.9
7.0
0
1-1
47%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.2
1.6
0
0-1
46%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.9
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.3
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.