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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Celtics59%94100
1576ers41%9099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.5
43.1
33.9
23
61%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
2-2
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
51%
3-8
38%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 23.1
41.9
26.5
12
52%
11
2
0
1
2
3
3
8
0-1
0%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 31.3
37.0
35.8
29
55%
7
6
1
1
0
2
1
6
8-8
100%
9-20
5-10
45%
49%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 22.9
35.8
33.6
20
78%
5
8
0
2
0
7
3
2
2-2
100%
9-11
4-9
82%
50%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 24.2
31.8
29.5
2
33%
8
1
0
0
2
1
1
7
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
59%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
16.9
15.7
6
90%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-3
67%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 27.1
14.5
18.6
4
100%
0
4
2
1
2
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
3-5
100%
50%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 30.7
14.2
16.7
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 22.6
4.9
3.6
2
50%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
J.R. Giddens
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.0
6.6
0
1-1
46%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 22.8
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 21.3
3.1
0
0-1
48%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 39.2
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
40.3
34.2
21
49%
4
7
1
1
0
3
3
1
5-6
83%
8-19
5-10
42%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
39.6
38.2
22
55%
6
6
3
2
1
1
1
5
6-7
86%
8-14
5-11
57%
49%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
36.4
37.4
10
36%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
52%
0-2
0%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
33.4
19.6
14
54%
7
0
0
0
3
1
1
6
0-0
-
7-13
2-3
54%
50%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
16.0
20.0
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
26.0
27.6
11
60%
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
5-5
100%
3-7
4-8
43%
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.7
24.3
8.6
8
72%
10
1
2
0
0
1
4
6
6-8
75%
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
9.8
12.2
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
8.7
21.5
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
48%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
5.6
14.2
6
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
3-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
4.3
0
0-1
46%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.