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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 3, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Bucks45%9685
22Nets55%9899
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 28.6
46.7
35.4
27
59%
6
3
0
1
0
4
1
5
10-16
63%
4-11
5-9
36%
48%
3-5
60%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
44.2
33.3
19
44%
3
6
4
1
0
3
1
2
9-10
90%
5-17
5-10
29%
48%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 28.0
35.5
32.0
8
37%
4
7
1
1
0
1
1
3
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 24.4
24.8
36.0
11
37%
4
2
1
1
1
0
3
1
0-0
-
4-11
6-13
36%
50%
1-4
25%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.9
23.0
23.1
4
50%
7
0
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 29.9
26.8
23.8
9
56%
3
1
2
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
47%
3-7
43%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.0
18.3
5.3
7
52%
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
5
1-4
25%
3-5
1-1
60%
48%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.4
9.7
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Joe Alexander
F · 6'8" 230 · 22.1
9.2
5.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.4
1.9
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 31.8
7.5
0
1-1
46%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 30.6
4.9
0
1-1
46%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 29.4
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
39.9
31.2
15
46%
10
12
0
1
0
2
0
10
8-10
80%
2-9
4-9
22%
48%
1-3
33%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.7
39.2
22.6
19
87%
7
0
2
1
1
0
5
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
46%
3-5
60%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
36.9
31.5
22
72%
12
1
0
1
2
3
3
9
2-3
67%
10-14
6-12
71%
51%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
36.1
35.6
19
58%
1
7
1
2
1
2
0
1
8-8
100%
4-9
6-12
44%
49%
1-4
25%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
20.7
14.4
2
20%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
26.0
25.5
18
107%
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-1
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
5-6
83%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
23.3
24.1
2
14%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
11.1
14.8
2
33%
4
1
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
6.9
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
20.3
1
1-2
46%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
4.7
0
0-1
50%
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
1.9
0
0-1
44%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.