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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nets47%96115
26Wizards53%9788
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
36.0
34.5
20
67%
2
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
4-8
50%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 29.9
32.8
17.3
4
33%
3
1
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.9
31.7
35.2
26
66%
5
7
1
1
0
2
0
5
6-6
100%
10-15
6-12
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 20.8
30.2
29.3
18
65%
9
2
0
1
0
2
2
7
3-4
75%
3-6
3-5
50%
47%
3-6
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 20.8
23.9
33.3
12
100%
12
2
1
1
1
2
3
9
0-0
-
6-6
6-12
100%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.5
27.2
23.6
8
80%
0
1
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 28.7
20.6
25.5
14
89%
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
3-3
100%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.2
20.0
13.4
7
102%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
55%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 22.1
9.3
6.3
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.4
4.2
4.1
4
100%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 25.0
4.2
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 28.7
13.4
0
1-2
46%
Jianlian Yi
F · 7'0" 250 · 21.3
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 29.2
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 32.6
40.3
39.7
10
24%
6
2
2
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
3-13
7-14
23%
51%
1-7
14%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.7
34.8
20.2
21
51%
3
4
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
10-17
3-7
59%
50%
0-3
0%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 33.6
33.4
24.0
13
55%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
44%
1-5
20%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.0
29.6
22.6
10
63%
2
0
1
1
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
51%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
27.7
28.3
2
15%
5
3
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-6
2-4
17%
46%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.1
28.7
16.7
9
71%
3
3
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-3
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 21.0
22.8
20.3
10
63%
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-2
100%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 23.2
22.7
4.4
13
66%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
4-6
0-1
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 28.9
39.2
2
6-12
50%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 27.8
10.9
0
1-1
44%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
10.3
0
2-4
51%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 30.3
8.8
0
1-2
46%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.