FinalWin Prob.pScore
1636%86
90
1264%91
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.98581.2
DET logo DET
108.18690.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)90
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 290
1.6%
93
98.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot90
6.0%
92
94.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
19.1%
92
80.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 290
16.3%
92
83.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 290
8.4%
92
91.6%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)90
5.8%
92
94.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw Technical87
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)87
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAIverson STEAL (2 STL)87
9.3%
89
90.7%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETStuckey 16' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)87
23.0%
89
77.0%
Q4 - 1:08MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
39.3%
87
60.7%
Q4 - 1:08MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
36.1%
87
63.9%
Q4 - 1:22DETStuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
28.7%
87
71.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)85
40.1%
85
59.9%
Q4 - 1:50DETIverson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)85
52.9%
85
47.1%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)85
39.9%
85
60.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
32.1%
85
67.9%
Q4 - 2:10DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot83
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 2:29DETPISTONS Rebound83
19.0%
85
81.0%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Beasley Layup83
22.6%
85
77.4%
Q4 - 2:42DETWallace 11' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)83
32.8%
85
67.2%
Q4 - 2:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)83
39.6%
83
60.4%
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper83
44.0%
83
56.0%
Q4 - 3:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
54.7%
83
45.3%
Q4 - 3:09DETMISS Stuckey Layup83
50.2%
83
49.8%
Q4 - 3:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
39.5%
83
60.5%
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
44.2%
83
55.8%
Q4 - 3:45DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P2.T17)83
50.7%
83
49.3%
Q4 - 3:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
40.5%
83
59.5%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
43.6%
83
56.4%
Q4 - 4:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
50.8%
83
49.2%
Q4 - 4:13DETMISS Maxiell Layup83
47.6%
83
52.4%
Q4 - 4:40MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)83
40.4%
83
59.6%
Q4 - 5:10DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)80
26.0%
83
74.0%
Q4 - 5:13DETPISTONS Rebound80
32.7%
81
67.3%
Q4 - 5:15DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot80
38.3%
81
61.7%
Q4 - 5:39MIAChalmers Layup (12 PTS)80
32.7%
81
67.3%
Q4 - 5:43DETMaxiell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)78
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 5:58MIAChalmers Palming Turnover (P2.T4)78
19.7%
81
80.3%
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
27.2%
81
72.8%
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
27.9%
80
72.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)78
33.3%
79
66.7%
Q4 - 6:41MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
31.8%
79
68.2%
Q4 - 6:57DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)76
27.1%
79
72.9%
Q4 - 7:03DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
39.7%
76
60.3%
Q4 - 7:05DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot76
44.8%
76
55.2%
Q4 - 7:37MIABeasley Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)76
39.8%
76
60.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
33.8%
76
66.2%
Q4 - 7:41DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot74
31.7%
76
68.3%
Q4 - 8:07MIABeasley Layup (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)74
28.5%
76
71.5%
Q4 - 8:10DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)72
23.3%
76
76.7%
Q4 - 8:29MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)72
19.1%
76
80.9%
Q4 - 8:55DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)70
15.2%
76
84.8%
Q4 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
21.5%
74
78.5%
Q4 - 9:25DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)70
24.3%
74
75.7%
Q4 - 9:45MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
29.2%
72
70.8%
Q4 - 10:04DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)67
20.9%
72
79.1%
Q4 - 10:27MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)67
25.0%
70
75.0%
Q4 - 10:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)64
17.4%
70
82.6%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Haslem Layup64
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q4 - 10:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
17.4%
70
82.6%
Q4 - 10:46DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
16.4%
70
83.6%
Q4 - 10:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
14.4%
70
85.6%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot64
16.2%
70
83.8%
Q4 - 11:12DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)64
18.1%
70
81.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)64
15.3%
70
84.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
12.5%
70
87.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
10.5%
70
89.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
13.3%
70
86.7%
Q3 - 0:07.0DETMISS McDyess Layup62
12.7%
70
87.3%
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)62
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Chalmers Layup62
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)62
13.2%
70
86.8%
Q3 - 0:58.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
11.3%
70
88.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
11.8%
70
88.2%
Q3 - 1:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Prince Layup62
13.1%
70
86.9%
Q3 - 1:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)62
11.7%
70
88.3%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup62
12.3%
70
87.7%
Q3 - 2:00DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
13.7%
70
86.3%
Q3 - 2:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
19.7%
67
80.3%
Q3 - 2:02DETMISS Iverson Layup62
21.8%
67
78.2%
Q3 - 2:15MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
19.6%
67
80.4%
Q3 - 2:15MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
19.0%
67
81.0%
Q3 - 2:30DETIverson Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
16.8%
67
83.2%
Q3 - 2:35MIAIverson STEAL (1 STL)60
19.6%
65
80.4%
Q3 - 2:59DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)60
22.7%
65
77.3%
Q3 - 3:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)60
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot60
31.1%
62
68.9%
Q3 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)60
34.1%
62
65.9%
Q3 - 3:33DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot60
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 3:34DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)60
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 3:35DETMISS Prince 11' Hook Shot60
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 3:44DETPISTONS Rebound60
29.9%
62
70.1%
Q3 - 3:46DETMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot60
32.8%
62
67.2%
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
29.8%
62
70.2%
Q3 - 4:19DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)57
23.5%
62
76.5%
Q3 - 4:19DETPISTONS Rebound57
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 4:21DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 4:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)57
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 4:25DETMISS Iverson 10' Floating Jump Shot57
22.4%
62
77.6%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)57
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 4:52DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)54
15.4%
62
84.6%
Q3 - 5:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 5:03DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 5:12DETPISTONS Rebound54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 5:14DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot54
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 5:21DETPISTONS Rebound54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 5:21DETMISS Iverson Layup54
15.0%
62
85.0%
Q3 - 5:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
13.4%
62
86.6%
Q3 - 5:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
13.0%
62
87.0%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 5:45DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 252
11.5%
62
88.5%
Q3 - 5:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
10.4%
62
89.6%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
12.1%
61
87.9%
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
11.8%
61
88.2%
Q3 - 6:11DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
10.6%
61
89.4%
Q3 - 6:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)50
9.1%
61
90.9%
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 150
9.2%
61
90.8%
Q3 - 6:43DETPrince Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)48
7.9%
61
92.1%
Q3 - 7:02MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)48
9.6%
59
90.4%
Q3 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot46
7.5%
59
92.5%
Q3 - 7:53DETStuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
8.3%
59
91.7%
Q3 - 7:58DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
9.5%
57
90.5%
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Magloire Layup46
10.0%
57
90.0%
Q3 - 8:29DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)46
11.3%
57
88.7%
Q3 - 8:44MIAMarion Layup (13 PTS)46
14.6%
54
85.4%
Q3 - 8:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot44
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
12.9%
54
87.1%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Marion 11' Hook Shot44
11.7%
54
88.3%
Q3 - 9:17DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
13.1%
54
86.9%
Q3 - 9:17DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q3 - 9:22DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q3 - 9:37DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)44
16.9%
52
83.1%
Q3 - 9:49DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
21.4%
49
78.6%
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
22.2%
49
77.8%
Q3 - 10:11DETWallace 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
24.2%
49
75.8%
Q3 - 10:34MIAMagloire 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)44
26.9%
47
73.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
24.2%
47
75.8%
Q3 - 10:52DETMISS Stuckey Layup42
23.4%
47
76.6%
Q3 - 10:59DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
21.6%
47
78.4%
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot42
22.6%
47
77.4%
Q3 - 11:19DETIverson Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)42
24.5%
47
75.5%
Q3 - 11:24DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
26.9%
45
73.1%
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Running Jump Shot42
27.8%
45
72.2%
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
29.9%
45
70.1%
Q3 - 11:42DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
29.0%
45
71.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
26.9%
45
73.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
26.9%
45
73.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot42
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
29.6%
45
70.4%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade Layup42
28.2%
45
71.8%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
29.7%
45
70.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
30.0%
44
70.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)42
33.3%
43
66.7%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0DETMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot40
29.0%
43
71.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
27.5%
43
72.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot40
28.2%
43
71.8%
Q2 - 1:04DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
29.7%
43
70.3%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)40
36.3%
40
63.7%
Q2 - 1:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
32.5%
40
67.5%
Q2 - 1:35DETMISS Stuckey Layup38
31.9%
40
68.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)38
30.5%
40
69.5%
Q2 - 1:54DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
27.0%
40
73.0%
Q2 - 2:15MIAMagloire Layup (4 PTS)36
24.8%
40
75.2%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Marion 15' Running Jump Shot34
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 2:31MIAHeat Rebound34
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Beasley 11' Running Bank Shot34
21.0%
40
79.0%
Q2 - 2:53DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)34
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 2:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
24.8%
38
75.2%
Q2 - 2:55DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot34
26.6%
38
73.4%
Q2 - 3:16MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)34
24.7%
38
75.3%
Q2 - 3:31DETStuckey Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
22.8%
38
77.2%
Q2 - 3:43MIAMarion 13' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)32
24.7%
36
75.3%
Q2 - 4:00DETAfflalo Layup (4 PTS)30
22.8%
36
77.2%
Q2 - 4:01DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
24.9%
34
75.1%
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Afflalo Layup30
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 4:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
24.9%
34
75.1%
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Beasley 19' Pullup Jump Shot30
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 4:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
27.4%
34
72.6%
Q2 - 4:25DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot30
26.6%
34
73.4%
Q2 - 4:41MIAMarion 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)30
24.8%
34
75.2%
Q2 - 4:50MIAHeat Rebound28
22.8%
34
77.2%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup28
21.2%
34
78.8%
Q2 - 5:10DETStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
23.0%
34
77.0%
Q2 - 5:18DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
25.2%
32
74.8%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot28
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
27.5%
32
72.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot28
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 5:48DETAfflalo 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
27.4%
32
72.6%
Q2 - 6:08MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q2 - 6:12DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)26
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 6:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)26
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 6:54DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T7)26
27.8%
30
72.2%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMarion 12' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)26
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 7:32DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)24
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q2 - 7:53MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
25.3%
28
74.7%
Q2 - 8:15DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)21
21.6%
28
78.4%
Q2 - 8:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)21
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Running Jump Shot21
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q2 - 8:58DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q2 - 9:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)21
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot21
24.1%
26
75.9%
Q2 - 9:22DETStuckey 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
25.5%
26
74.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
27.6%
24
72.4%
Q2 - 10:07DETMcDyess 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)21
29.9%
24
70.1%
Q2 - 10:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)21
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.8%
22
67.2%
Q2 - 10:44DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q2 - 10:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
32.1%
22
67.9%
Q2 - 10:45DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot21
33.7%
22
66.3%
Q2 - 11:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
32.2%
22
67.8%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot21
32.9%
22
67.1%
Q2 - 11:41DETHamilton 16' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)21
34.5%
22
65.5%
Q2 - 11:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS Afflalo 18' Pullup Jump Shot21
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound21
36.8%
20
63.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Iverson 37' 3PT Jump Shot21
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)21
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 0:27.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot21
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 0:31.0DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Beasley Alley Oop Layup21
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0DETMISS Iverson Layup21
37.9%
20
62.1%
Q1 - 0:49.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot21
37.2%
20
62.8%
Q1 - 1:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 1:05DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 1:15DETPISTONS Rebound21
36.6%
20
63.4%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot21
37.1%
20
62.9%
Q1 - 1:30DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
38.2%
20
61.8%
Q1 - 1:30DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 221
38.4%
19
61.6%
Q1 - 1:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 3 of 321
39.1%
19
60.9%
Q1 - 1:43MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)21
40.9%
19
59.1%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 320
40.5%
19
59.5%
Q1 - 1:59DETPrince Layup (7 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)20
38.2%
19
61.8%
Q1 - 2:12DETPISTONS Rebound20
40.8%
17
59.2%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
41.0%
17
59.0%
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
42.6%
17
57.4%
Q1 - 2:25MIAHeat Rebound19
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot19
39.2%
17
60.8%
Q1 - 2:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
40.4%
17
59.6%
Q1 - 2:41DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot19
39.9%
17
60.1%
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 3:17DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)16
34.1%
17
65.9%
Q1 - 3:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
38.3%
14
61.7%
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Quinn 11' Running Jump Shot16
38.9%
14
61.1%
Q1 - 3:57DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)16
40.4%
14
59.6%
Q1 - 4:09DETPISTONS Rebound16
42.0%
12
58.0%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Haslem Layup16
42.7%
12
57.3%
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
44.3%
12
55.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 216
42.3%
12
57.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
43.8%
12
56.2%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
42.2%
12
57.8%
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 215
41.9%
12
58.1%
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 215
40.4%
12
59.6%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
39.6%
12
60.4%
Q1 - 5:22DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 5:26DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot13
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 5:48DETIverson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)13
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 6:03DETPISTONS Rebound13
41.4%
9
58.6%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot13
42.0%
9
58.0%
Q1 - 6:20DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
43.6%
9
56.4%
Q1 - 6:20DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 6:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
45.6%
7
54.4%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Haslem Layup13
46.3%
7
53.7%
Q1 - 6:42DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
47.8%
7
52.2%
Q1 - 6:42DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 6:48DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
49.8%
5
50.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Marion Layup13
50.5%
5
49.5%
Q1 - 6:55DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
52.1%
5
47.9%
Q1 - 7:16MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
49.4%
5
50.6%
Q1 - 7:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
47.6%
5
52.4%
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Stuckey Layup11
46.9%
5
53.1%
Q1 - 7:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
45.2%
5
54.8%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot11
45.9%
5
54.1%
Q1 - 8:06DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)11
47.1%
5
52.9%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)11
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 8:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
49.3%
2
50.7%
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup9
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 8:55DETStuckey Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)9
49.3%
2
50.7%
Q1 - 9:15DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.6%
0
49.4%
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot9
51.2%
0
48.8%
Q1 - 9:29DETJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
52.5%
0
47.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
50.3%
0
49.7%
Q1 - 9:45DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
48.5%
0
51.5%
Q1 - 10:08MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
45.3%
0
54.7%
Q1 - 10:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
43.6%
0
56.4%
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot5
43.0%
0
57.0%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMarion 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
37.4%
0
62.6%
Q1 - 11:12DETMISS Stuckey Layup2
36.9%
0
63.1%
Q1 - 11:14DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
35.8%
0
64.2%
Q1 - 11:16DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot2
37.0%
0
63.0%
Q1 - 11:37MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)2
35.9%
0
64.1%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Johnson vs. Magloire: Tip to Marion0
34.4%
0
65.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
DET
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
DET
11
24
46%
Midrange
MIA
13
42
31%
DET
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DET
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
MIA
19
24
79%
DET
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2943%14.5 / 34
S. Marion1673%8.0 / 11
M. Beasley1644%8.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
J. Magloire650%3.0 / 6
J. Jones117%0.5 / 3
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey1856%9.0 / 16
R. Wallace1882%9.0 / 11
T. Prince1673%8.0 / 11
R. Hamilton1255%6.0 / 11
A. Iverson1142%5.5 / 13
A. McDyess850%4.0 / 8
A. Afflalo850%4.0 / 8
J. Maxiell250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+15
-5
95
DET
70
+16
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
DET
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.8
MIA 105.9
DET 108.1 +2.3
Pace
90.2
87.3
MIA 81.2
DET 90.3 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.1
MIA 17.7
DET 15.9 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.3%
MIA 42.8%
DET 54.9% +12.1%
TO %
13.1%
12.7%
MIA 6.0% +12.2%
DET 18.2%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 23.9%
DET 29.4% +5.5%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
MIA 28.9
DET 32.4 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.7%
MIA 65.6% +5.6%
DET 60.0%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 12.9% +9.4%
DET 3.5%
BLK %
9.2%
7.3%
MIA 8.8% +8.8%
DET 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.0%
MIA 47.4%
DET 54.1% +6.7%
Rim FG%
59.5%
58.7%
MIA 48.0% +2.2%
DET 45.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.2%
MIA 31.0%
DET 48.5% +17.5%
3P %
35.7%
34.9%
MIA 43.8%
DET 57.1% +13.3%
FT %
75.4%
75.1%
MIA 79.2% +14.0%
DET 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.0%
MIA 30.1%
DET 33.8% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
53.5%
MIA 50.6%
DET 46.5% +4.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
16.5%
MIA 19.3%
DET 19.7% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9093
Rebounds3545
Assists2121
Steals113
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)35 (5)
Field Goals32-8335-71
At-the-Rim FG12-2511-24
Midrange FG13-4216-33
2-Point FG25-6727-57
3-Point FG7-168-14
Free Throws19-2415-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
45.3
29
43%
7
13
3
2
0
0
2
5
5-7
71%
6-22
27%
4-9
44%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
41.5
16
73%
6
2
4
1
1
4
1
5
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
41.2
10
50%
10
2
1
0
1
3
5
5
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
38.1
12
67%
1
3
1
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
16.1
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
26.9
16
44%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
8-8
100%
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
14.3
1
17%
1
0
2
1
0
5
0
1
1-3
33%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
#14 · G · 6'5" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
35
21
11
5
5
0
11
24
19-24
79%
25-67
37%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.