Final Win Prob. pScore
1636%86
90
1264%91
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
105.98581.2
DET logo Pistons
108.18690.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA90
93
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound90
93
Q4 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
93
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)90
93
Q4 - 0:05.0DETMISS Afflalo Free Throw 2 of 290
93
Q4 - 0:05.0DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 0:05.0MIABeasley P.FOUL (P1.PN)90
92
Q4 - 0:05.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
92
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot90
92
Q4 - 0:14.0MIASUB: Beasley FOR Marion90
92
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 2)90
92
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)90
92
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 290
92
Q4 - 0:15.0DETSUB: Wallace FOR Iverson90
92
Q4 - 0:15.0DETPISTONS Rebound90
92
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 290
92
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMarion P.FOUL (P4.PN)90
92
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJones P.FOUL (P5.T3)90
92
Q4 - 0:18.0DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Wallace90
92
Q4 - 0:18.0MIASUB: Marion FOR Beasley90
92
Q4 - 0:18.0DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)90
92
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)90
92
Q4 - 0:20.0DETSUB: Afflalo FOR McDyess87
92
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Rebound87
92
Q4 - 0:20.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw Technical87
92
Q4 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Jones FOR Marion87
92
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAWade T.FOUL (P0.T2)87
92
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)87
92
Q4 - 0:20.0DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)87
92
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAIverson STEAL (2 STL)87
89
Q4 - 0:45.0DETStuckey 16' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)87
89
Q4 - 1:08MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
87
Q4 - 1:08MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
87
Q4 - 1:08DETWallace S.FOUL (P4.PN)85
87
Q4 - 1:22DETStuckey 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)85
87
Q4 - 1:39MIAStuckey STEAL (1 STL)85
85
Q4 - 1:50DETIverson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)85
85
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade Driving Layup (26 PTS)85
85
Q4 - 2:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)83
85
Q4 - 2:10DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot83
85
Q4 - 2:29MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)83
85
Q4 - 2:29DETPISTONS Rebound83
85
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Beasley Layup83
85
Q4 - 2:41DETSUB: Iverson FOR Hamilton83
85
Q4 - 2:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)83
85
Q4 - 2:42DETWallace 11' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Hamilton 7 AST)83
85
Q4 - 2:56DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)83
83
Q4 - 2:57MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper83
83
Q4 - 3:07MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
83
Q4 - 3:09DETMISS Stuckey Layup83
83
Q4 - 3:19DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
83
Q4 - 3:20MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 3:36DETHamilton P.FOUL (P3.T4)83
83
Q4 - 3:45DETSUB: Wallace FOR Maxiell83
83
Q4 - 3:45DETMaxiell Foul Turnover (P2.T17)83
83
Q4 - 3:45DETMaxiell OFF.Foul (P2)83
83
Q4 - 3:58DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
83
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
83
Q4 - 4:10MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
83
Q4 - 4:13DETMISS Maxiell Layup83
83
Q4 - 4:40MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)83
83
Q4 - 4:53DETHamilton P.FOUL (P2.T3)80
83
Q4 - 5:10DETStuckey 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Hamilton 6 AST)80
83
Q4 - 5:13DETPISTONS Rebound80
81
Q4 - 5:15DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot80
81
Q4 - 5:39MIAChalmers Layup (12 PTS)80
81
Q4 - 5:43DETMaxiell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)78
81
Q4 - 5:5878
81
Q4 - 5:58MIAChalmers Palming Turnover (P2.T4)78
81
Q4 - 6:03DETMaxiell P.FOUL (P1.T2)78
81
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
81
Q4 - 6:18DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
80
Q4 - 6:18MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.T1)78
79
Q4 - 6:41MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)78
79
Q4 - 6:41MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)77
79
Q4 - 6:41DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P4.T1)76
79
Q4 - 6:57DETHamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)76
79
Q4 - 7:03DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
76
Q4 - 7:05DETMISS Hamilton 9' Jump Shot76
76
Q4 - 7:37MIABeasley Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)76
76
Q4 - 7:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)74
76
Q4 - 7:41DETMISS McDyess 17' Jump Shot74
76
Q4 - 7:59DETSUB: Stuckey FOR Iverson74
76
Q4 - 7:59DETSUB: Maxiell FOR Wallace74
76
Q4 - 7:59DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)74
76
Q4 - 8:07MIABeasley Layup (10 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)74
76
Q4 - 8:10DETMcDyess Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)72
76
Q4 - 8:29MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)72
76
Q4 - 8:55DETMcDyess Layup (8 PTS) (Hamilton 5 AST)70
76
Q4 - 9:02DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
74
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
74
Q4 - 9:25DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hamilton 4 AST)70
74
Q4 - 9:45MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)70
72
Q4 - 10:04DETWallace 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)67
72
Q4 - 10:27MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)67
70
Q4 - 10:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)64
70
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Haslem Layup64
70
Q4 - 10:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
70
Q4 - 10:46DETMISS Hamilton 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
70
Q4 - 10:59DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
70
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot64
70
Q4 - 11:12DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)64
70
Q4 - 11:41MIABeasley Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)64
70
Q4 - 12:0062
70
Q3 - 0:00.0DET62
70
Q3 - 0:00.0DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
70
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
70
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
70
Q3 - 0:07.0DETMISS McDyess Layup62
70
Q3 - 0:26.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)62
70
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Chalmers Layup62
70
Q3 - 0:50.0DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)62
70
Q3 - 0:58.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
70
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
70
Q3 - 1:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)62
70
Q3 - 1:13DETMISS Prince Layup62
70
Q3 - 1:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)62
70
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley Reverse Layup62
70
Q3 - 2:00DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)62
70
Q3 - 2:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)62
67
Q3 - 2:02DETMISS Iverson Layup62
67
Q3 - 2:15MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)62
67
Q3 - 2:15MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)61
67
Q3 - 2:15MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Jones60
67
Q3 - 2:15DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Stuckey60
67
Q3 - 2:15DETMcDyess P.FOUL (P3.PN)60
67
Q3 - 2:30DETIverson Driving Layup (11 PTS)60
67
Q3 - 2:35MIAIverson STEAL (1 STL)60
65
Q3 - 2:59DETPrince 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (McDyess 2 AST)60
65
Q3 - 3:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)60
62
Q3 - 3:19MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 3:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)60
62
Q3 - 3:33DETMISS McDyess Tip Shot60
62
Q3 - 3:34DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)60
62
Q3 - 3:35DETMISS Prince 11' Hook Shot60
62
Q3 - 3:44MIASUB: Beasley FOR Chalmers60
62
Q3 - 3:44MIAJones L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)60
62
Q3 - 3:44DETPISTONS Rebound60
62
Q3 - 3:46DETMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 4:07DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)60
62
Q3 - 4:07MIAWade 27' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 4:19DETPISTONS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)57
62
Q3 - 4:19DETPISTONS Rebound57
62
Q3 - 4:21DETMISS Prince 27' 3PT Jump Shot57
62
Q3 - 4:23DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)57
62
Q3 - 4:25DETMISS Iverson 10' Floating Jump Shot57
62
Q3 - 4:45MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)57
62
Q3 - 4:45DETIverson S.FOUL (P2.PN)56
62
Q3 - 4:45MIAMarion 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)56
62
Q3 - 4:52DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)54
62
Q3 - 5:02DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
62
Q3 - 5:03DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 5:12DETPISTONS Rebound54
62
Q3 - 5:14DETMISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot54
62
Q3 - 5:21DETPISTONS Rebound54
62
Q3 - 5:21DETMISS Iverson Layup54
62
Q3 - 5:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)54
62
Q3 - 5:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
62
Q3 - 5:34DETWallace P.FOUL (P3.PN)52
62
Q3 - 5:43MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
62
Q3 - 5:45DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 252
62
Q3 - 5:45DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
62
Q3 - 5:45MIAJones S.FOUL (P3.T2)52
61
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)52
61
Q3 - 6:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)51
61
Q3 - 6:04DETWallace S.FOUL (P2.T4)50
61
Q3 - 6:11DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)50
61
Q3 - 6:22DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)50
61
Q3 - 6:23MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 150
61
Q3 - 6:23DETSUB: McDyess FOR Johnson50
61
Q3 - 6:23DETJohnson S.FOUL (P4.T3)50
61
Q3 - 6:23MIAHaslem Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)50
61
Q3 - 6:43DETPrince Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)48
61
Q3 - 7:02MIAWade Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)48
59
Q3 - 7:08DETJohnson P.FOUL (P3.T2)46
59
Q3 - 7:16MIASUB: Jones FOR Magloire46
59
Q3 - 7:16DETIverson P.FOUL (P1.T1)46
59
Q3 - 7:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
59
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot46
59
Q3 - 7:44MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.3 Short 1)46
59
Q3 - 7:53DETStuckey 17' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)46
59
Q3 - 7:58DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
57
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Magloire Layup46
57
Q3 - 8:10DETWallace Violation:Kicked Ball46
57
Q3 - 8:29DETWallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)46
57
Q3 - 8:44MIAMarion Layup (13 PTS)46
54
Q3 - 8:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
54
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Magloire 6' Hook Shot44
54
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
54
Q3 - 8:59MIAMISS Marion 11' Hook Shot44
54
Q3 - 9:17DETStuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)44
54
Q3 - 9:17DETStuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)44
53
Q3 - 9:17MIAMagloire S.FOUL (P2.T1)44
52
Q3 - 9:22DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
52
Q3 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
52
Q3 - 9:34MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)44
52
Q3 - 9:37DETWallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)44
52
Q3 - 9:49DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
49
Q3 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
49
Q3 - 10:11DETWallace 9' Jump Shot (5 PTS)44
49
Q3 - 10:34MIAMagloire 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)44
47
Q3 - 10:50MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
47
Q3 - 10:52DETMISS Stuckey Layup42
47
Q3 - 10:59DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
47
Q3 - 11:01MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot42
47
Q3 - 11:19DETIverson Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)42
47
Q3 - 11:24DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
45
Q3 - 11:26MIAMISS Chalmers 12' Running Jump Shot42
45
Q3 - 11:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
45
Q3 - 11:42DETMISS Wallace 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
45
Q3 - 12:0042
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DET42
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
45
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
45
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
45
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot42
45
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
45
Q2 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade Layup42
45
Q2 - 0:13.0DETAfflalo P.FOUL (P1.T2)42
45
Q2 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)42
45
Q2 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Quinn FOR Marion42
44
Q2 - 0:20.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)42
44
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAMarion P.FOUL (P3.PN)42
43
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)42
43
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
43
Q2 - 0:47.0DETMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot40
43
Q2 - 0:53.0DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
43
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot40
43
Q2 - 1:04DETAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)40
43
Q2 - 1:04MIAMarion S.FOUL (P2.T4)40
42
Q2 - 1:04DETAfflalo Driving Layup (6 PTS)40
42
Q2 - 1:26DETPISTONS Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)40
40
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 18' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)40
40
Q2 - 1:34MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
40
Q2 - 1:35DETMISS Stuckey Layup38
40
Q2 - 1:52MIAWade Driving Layup (9 PTS)38
40
Q2 - 1:54DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)36
40
Q2 - 2:15MIAMagloire Layup (4 PTS)36
40
Q2 - 2:17MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
40
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Marion 15' Running Jump Shot34
40
Q2 - 2:31MIASUB: Magloire FOR Beasley34
40
Q2 - 2:31DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)34
40
Q2 - 2:31MIAHeat Rebound34
40
Q2 - 2:31MIAMISS Beasley 11' Running Bank Shot34
40
Q2 - 2:53DETMaxiell Putback Dunk (2 PTS)34
40
Q2 - 2:54DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
38
Q2 - 2:55DETMISS Wallace 20' Jump Shot34
38
Q2 - 3:04MIASUB: Jones FOR Chalmers34
38
Q2 - 3:04MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T3)34
38
Q2 - 3:16MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)34
38
Q2 - 3:31DETStuckey Driving Layup (8 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 3:43MIAMarion 13' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)32
36
Q2 - 4:00DETAfflalo Layup (4 PTS)30
36
Q2 - 4:01DETAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
34
Q2 - 4:03DETMISS Afflalo Layup30
34
Q2 - 4:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
34
Q2 - 4:11MIAMISS Beasley 19' Pullup Jump Shot30
34
Q2 - 4:23MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
34
Q2 - 4:25DETMISS Wallace 19' Jump Shot30
34
Q2 - 4:41MIAMarion 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)30
34
Q2 - 4:49DETSUB: Wallace FOR McDyess28
34
Q2 - 4:4928
34
Q2 - 4:50MIAHeat Rebound28
34
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Haslem Layup28
34
Q2 - 5:10DETStuckey 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
34
Q2 - 5:18DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
32
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot28
32
Q2 - 5:22MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)28
32
Q2 - 5:23MIAMISS Beasley 13' Jump Shot28
32
Q2 - 5:48DETAfflalo 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)28
32
Q2 - 6:08MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
30
Q2 - 6:08MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
30
Q2 - 6:08DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P2.T1)26
30
Q2 - 6:12DETHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)26
30
Q2 - 6:21MIABeasley Violation:Kicked Ball26
30
Q2 - 6:35DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)26
30
Q2 - 6:36MIAMISS Beasley 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
30
Q2 - 6:54MIASUB: Haslem FOR Anthony26
30
Q2 - 6:54DETStuckey Foul Turnover (P2.T7)26
30
Q2 - 6:54DETStuckey OFF.Foul (P1)26
30
Q2 - 7:09MIAMarion 12' Running Bank Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)26
30
Q2 - 7:32DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)24
30
Q2 - 7:53MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
28
Q2 - 8:15DETMcDyess 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hamilton 3 AST)21
28
Q2 - 8:39DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)21
26
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Running Jump Shot21
26
Q2 - 8:58DETStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)21
26
Q2 - 9:04DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)21
26
Q2 - 9:07MIAMISS Wade 10' Running Jump Shot21
26
Q2 - 9:15MIASUB: Marion FOR Jones21
26
Q2 - 9:15MIASUB: Wade FOR Quinn21
26
Q2 - 9:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)21
26
Q2 - 9:22DETStuckey 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
26
Q2 - 9:35MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T2)21
24
Q2 - 9:49MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)21
24
Q2 - 10:07DETMcDyess 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)21
24
Q2 - 10:18DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)21
22
Q2 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 10:44DETAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)21
22
Q2 - 10:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)21
22
Q2 - 10:45DETMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 11:03MIAJones P.FOUL (P2.T1)21
22
Q2 - 11:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)21
22
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot21
22
Q2 - 11:41DETHamilton 16' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)21
22
Q2 - 11:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
20
Q2 - 11:45DETMISS Afflalo 18' Pullup Jump Shot21
20
Q2 - 12:0021
20
Q1 - 0:00.0DET21
20
Q1 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound21
20
Q1 - 0:00.0DETMISS Iverson 37' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)21
20
Q1 - 0:26.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 0:27.0DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 0:31.0DETIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Beasley Alley Oop Layup21
20
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
20
Q1 - 0:43.0DETMISS Iverson Layup21
20
Q1 - 0:49.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 1:03MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
20
Q1 - 1:05DETMISS Hamilton 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 1:15DETPISTONS Rebound21
20
Q1 - 1:16MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot21
20
Q1 - 1:30DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 1:30DETPISTONS Rebound21
19
Q1 - 1:30DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 221
19
Q1 - 1:30MIAJones P.FOUL (P1.PN)21
19
Q1 - 1:41DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
19
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 3 of 321
19
Q1 - 1:43MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 1:43MIASUB: Beasley FOR Haslem20
19
Q1 - 1:43MIAHeat Rebound20
19
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 320
19
Q1 - 1:43DETPrince S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
19
Q1 - 1:59DETPrince Layup (7 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)20
19
Q1 - 2:12DETPISTONS Rebound20
17
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
17
Q1 - 2:14MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
17
Q1 - 2:14DETHamilton S.FOUL (P1.PN)19
17
Q1 - 2:25MIAHeat Rebound19
17
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Anthony 9' Hook Shot19
17
Q1 - 2:40MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
17
Q1 - 2:41DETMISS Hamilton 20' Jump Shot19
17
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
17
Q1 - 3:00DETMcDyess S.FOUL (P1.T4)18
17
Q1 - 3:00MIAWade Driving Layup (5 PTS)18
17
Q1 - 3:09MIASUB: Jones FOR Magloire16
17
Q1 - 3:09MIASUB: Anthony FOR Marion16
17
Q1 - 3:09DETSUB: Hamilton FOR Stuckey16
17
Q1 - 3:09MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)16
17
Q1 - 3:17DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)16
17
Q1 - 3:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
14
Q1 - 3:30MIAMISS Quinn 11' Running Jump Shot16
14
Q1 - 3:57DETPrince Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)16
14
Q1 - 4:09DETPISTONS Rebound16
12
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Haslem Layup16
12
Q1 - 4:25MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
12
Q1 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 216
12
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)16
12
Q1 - 4:25DETWallace S.FOUL (P1.T3)15
12
Q1 - 4:46MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
12
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 215
12
Q1 - 4:47DETPISTONS Rebound15
12
Q1 - 4:47DETMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 215
12
Q1 - 4:47MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.PN)15
12
Q1 - 5:06MIAMagloire Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)15
12
Q1 - 5:22DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)13
12
Q1 - 5:22MIASUB: Quinn FOR Chalmers13
11
Q1 - 5:22MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.PN)13
11
Q1 - 5:22DETIverson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)13
11
Q1 - 5:26DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9
Q1 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot13
9
Q1 - 5:35DETPISTONS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
9
Q1 - 5:48DETIverson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)13
9
Q1 - 6:03MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)13
9
Q1 - 6:03DETPISTONS Rebound13
9
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Magloire 9' Hook Shot13
9
Q1 - 6:20DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
9
Q1 - 6:20DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
8
Q1 - 6:20MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
7
Q1 - 6:25DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
7
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Haslem Layup13
7
Q1 - 6:42DETIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
7
Q1 - 6:42DETIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
6
Q1 - 6:42MIAMarion S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
5
Q1 - 6:48DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
5
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Marion Layup13
5
Q1 - 6:55DETIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
5
Q1 - 7:16MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
5
Q1 - 7:21MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
5
Q1 - 7:23DETMISS Stuckey Layup11
5
Q1 - 7:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
5
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot11
5
Q1 - 7:41DETSUB: McDyess FOR Johnson11
5
Q1 - 7:41DETJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)11
5
Q1 - 8:06DETWallace 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)11
5
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)11
2
Q1 - 8:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
2
Q1 - 8:37MIAMISS Wade Reverse Layup9
2
Q1 - 8:55DETStuckey Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)9
2
Q1 - 9:15MIAMagloire L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)9
0
Q1 - 9:15DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
0
Q1 - 9:16MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot9
0
Q1 - 9:29DETJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)9
0
Q1 - 9:41MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
0
Q1 - 9:41MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
0
Q1 - 9:41DETJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T1)7
0
Q1 - 9:45DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
0
Q1 - 10:08MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
0
Q1 - 10:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
0
Q1 - 10:19DETMISS Iverson 17' Jump Shot5
0
Q1 - 10:47MIAMarion 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
0
Q1 - 11:10MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
0
Q1 - 11:12DETMISS Stuckey Layup2
0
Q1 - 11:14DETStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:16DETMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:37MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Magloire 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:43MIAMagloire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Johnson vs. Magloire: Tip to Marion0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
DET
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
DET
11
24
46%
Midrange
MIA
13
42
31%
DET
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
DET
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
Free Throws
MIA
19
24
79%
DET
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2943%14.5 / 34
S. Marion1673%8.0 / 11
M. Beasley1644%8.0 / 18
M. Chalmers1267%6.0 / 9
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
J. Magloire650%3.0 / 6
J. Jones117%0.5 / 3
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 1
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Stuckey1856%9.0 / 16
R. Wallace1882%9.0 / 11
T. Prince1673%8.0 / 11
R. Hamilton1255%6.0 / 11
A. Iverson1142%5.5 / 13
A. McDyess850%4.0 / 8
A. Afflalo850%4.0 / 8
J. Maxiell250%1.0 / 2
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+15
-5
95
DET
70
+16
-16
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.4%
DET
1.08 54.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.6
106.8
MIA 105.9
DET 108.1 +2.3
Pace
90.2
87.3
MIA 81.2
DET 90.3 +9.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
17.1
MIA 17.7
DET 15.9 −1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.3%
MIA 42.8%
DET 54.9% +12.1%
TO %
13.1%
12.7%
MIA 6.0% −12.2%
DET 18.2%
ORB %
24.6%
27.9%
MIA 23.9%
DET 29.4% +5.5%
FTrt
28.2
28.2
MIA 28.9
DET 32.4 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.1%
56.7%
MIA 65.6% +5.6%
DET 60.0%
STL %
8.7%
6.8%
MIA 12.9% +9.4%
DET 3.5%
BLK %
9.2%
7.3%
MIA 8.8% +8.8%
DET 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.6%
51.0%
MIA 47.4%
DET 54.1% +6.7%
Rim FG%
59.5%
58.7%
MIA 48.0% +2.2%
DET 45.8%
Mid FG%
41.8%
41.2%
MIA 31.0%
DET 48.5% +17.5%
3P %
35.7%
34.9%
MIA 43.8%
DET 57.1% +13.3%
FT %
75.4%
75.1%
MIA 79.2% +14.0%
DET 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
30.0%
MIA 30.1%
DET 33.8% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
45.2%
53.5%
MIA 50.6%
DET 46.5% −4.1%
3P Att. %
24.5%
16.5%
MIA 19.3%
DET 19.7% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.34 and 2.34.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions8586
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9093
Rebounds3545
Assists2121
Steals113
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)5 (1)16 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (0)35 (5)
Field Goals32-8335-71
At-the-Rim FG12-2511-24
Midrange FG13-4216-33
2-Point FG25-6727-57
3-Point FG7-168-14
Free Throws19-2415-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 27
45.3
29
43%
7
13
3
2
0
0
2
5
5-7
71%
6-22
27%
4-9
44%
F · 6'7" 228 · 31
41.5
16
73%
6
2
4
1
1
4
1
5
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
1-1
100%
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
41.2
10
50%
10
2
1
0
1
3
5
5
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 23
38.1
12
67%
1
3
1
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 31
16.1
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 20
26.9
16
44%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
8-8
100%
4-13
31%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28
14.3
1
17%
1
0
2
1
0
5
0
1
1-3
33%
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
8.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
8.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 26
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 33
G · 6'2" 205 · 27
#14 · G · 6'5" 210 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
47%
35
21
11
5
5
0
11
24
19-24
79%
25-67
37%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.