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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 4, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bulls27%89107
10Hornets73%9793
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 23.8
38.6
36.4
13
56%
4
3
0
1
1
2
0
4
5-6
83%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.9
37.6
23.1
16
71%
9
2
0
1
2
1
2
7
2-5
40%
7-9
2-5
78%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.8
37.1
33.7
19
68%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
4-9
67%
45%
3-7
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.3
35.2
29.9
21
71%
4
6
1
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
10-13
5-12
77%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
31.9
31.3
15
78%
10
0
2
1
3
2
2
8
5-6
83%
5-7
4-9
71%
43%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 28.1
23.6
22.8
8
52%
1
3
2
1
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
44%
0-1
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 29.2
18.8
22.2
13
66%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
2-6
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 24.8
10.5
18.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
6.6
15.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 27.4
14.6
0
3-6
46%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 38.2
2.6
0
0-0
38%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.1
2.4
0
0-1
44%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 32.0
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
40.7
38.5
24
55%
14
4
1
1
3
1
8
6
10-11
91%
7-17
9-17
41%
50%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 31.7
37.7
35.7
24
74%
7
2
3
1
0
3
3
4
5-5
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
3-6
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 33.9
24.9
15.5
6
52%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 29.7
24.8
30.4
5
28%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
1-4
25%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24.2
15.7
18.1
2
33%
4
0
0
0
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 32.1
31.2
28.7
7
43%
6
3
1
1
0
3
0
6
5-5
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
0-2
0%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.1
23.1
11.9
17
55%
2
7
2
0
0
4
0
2
8-8
100%
3-9
1-3
33%
46%
1-3
33%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 33.2
17.5
3.2
6
75%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 21.7
11.6
8.7
2
25%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-1
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30.8
11.1
6.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-7
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 33.5
1.8
15.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.8
32.4
2
6-11
53%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 26.3
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 31.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.