Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	6	Nuggets	66%	102	114	121.3	94	98.0
	27	Thunder	34%	97	113	117.7	96	92.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	40.5	32	52%	2	11	0	0	2	2	0	2	5-5	100%	12-26	46%	1-3	33%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	39.5	20	77%	8	2	2	0	2	2	2	6	0-1	0%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	35.2	8	40%	4	8	3	0	3	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	23.4	7	39%	5	1	0	0	2	3	3	2	3-3	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 25	20.6	4	67%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	28.7	22	73%	3	3	2	0	2	2	1	2	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	4-4	100%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	24.7	7	44%	2	1	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31	20.1	12	75%	7	0	0	1	0	6	4	3	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 23	7.3	2	33%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	\| Did Not Dress - Right Ankle Sprain
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	40	26	9	1	12	0	13	27	14-19	74%	41-84	49%	6-9	67%

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6 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Carmelo Anthony F · 6'8" 240 · 25	40.5	32	52%	2	11	0	0	2	2	0	2	5-5	100%	12-26	46%	1-3	33%
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 26	39.5	20	77%	8	2	2	0	2	2	2	6	0-1	0%	10-13	77%	0-0	-
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 34	35.2	8	40%	4	8	3	0	3	3	1	3	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-1	0%
Dahntay Jones G · 6'6" 225 · 28	23.4	7	39%	5	1	0	0	2	3	3	2	3-3	100%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Renaldo Balkman F · 6'8" 225 · 25	20.6	4	67%	5	0	0	0	0	2	1	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-

JR Smith G-F · 6'6" 225 · 23	28.7	22	73%	3	3	2	0	2	2	1	2	2-4	50%	4-10	40%	4-4	100%
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 24	24.7	7	44%	2	1	2	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 31	20.1	12	75%	7	0	0	1	0	6	4	3	2-4	50%	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Johan Petro C · 7'0" 247 · 23	7.3	2	33%	4	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Chauncey Billups G · 6'3" 210 · 32	\| Did Not Dress - Right Ankle Sprain
Kenyon Martin F · 6'9" 225 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Sonny Weems G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Steven Hunter #45 · C · 7'0" 240 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	114	55%	40	26	9	1	12	0	13	27	14-19	74%	41-84	49%	6-9	67%

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27 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kevin Durant F · 6'11" 240 · 20	42.7	31	65%	8	7	0	0	2	1	1	7	8-10	80%	7-14	50%	3-5	60%
Jeff Green F · 6'8" 235 · 22	42.4	24	86%	5	3	1	1	3	3	0	5	1-1	100%	7-10	70%	3-4	75%
Kyle Weaver G · 6'6" 201 · 23	35.4	2	14%	5	1	0	1	1	2	1	4	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-3	0%
Russell Westbrook G · 6'4" 200 · 20	35.3	20	50%	4	5	0	0	4	1	2	2	4-7	57%	8-16	50%	0-1	0%
Nick Collison C · 6'10" 255 · 28	25.3	11	61%	8	0	0	1	3	2	6	2	1-2	50%	5-7	71%	0-1	0%

Nenad Krstic C · 7'0" 240 · 26	22.7	8	44%	7	0	3	0	1	2	3	4	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Earl Watson G · 6'1" 199 · 30	22.6	12	67%	2	8	1	0	2	2	0	2	4-5	80%	4-5	80%	0-2	0%
Joe Smith F-C · 6'10" 225 · 34	13.6	5	42%	6	0	1	0	0	1	4	2	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Chucky Atkins G · 5'11" 185 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Wilcox F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Damien Wilkins · 6'6" 225 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Robert Swift C · 7'1" 270 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Desmond Mason #34 · G · 6'5" 222 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mouhamed Sene #18 · C · 6'11" 230 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
DJ White #3 · F · 6'9" 250 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	113	57%	45	24	6	3	16	0	17	28	23-31	74%	36-68	53%	6-16	38%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.11 55.3%

OKC

1.14 57.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

30

47

64%

OKC

21

34

62%

Midrange

DEN

11

37

30%

OKC

15

34

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

6

9.0

9

67%

100%

OKC

6

9.0

16

38%

56%

Free Throws

DEN

14

19

74%

OKC

23

31

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Anthony	32	52%	16.0 / 31
J. Smith	22	73%	11.0 / 15
Nene	20	77%	10.0 / 13
C. Andersen	12	75%	6.0 / 8
A. Carter	8	40%	4.0 / 10
D. Jones	7	39%	3.5 / 9
L. Kleiza	7	44%	3.5 / 8
R. Balkman	4	67%	2.0 / 3
J. Petro	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Durant	31	65%	15.5 / 24
J. Green	24	86%	12.0 / 14
R. Westbrook	20	50%	10.0 / 20
E. Watson	12	67%	6.0 / 9
N. Collison	11	61%	5.5 / 9
N. Krstic	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Smith	5	42%	2.5 / 6
K. Weaver	2	14%	1.0 / 7

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	6 110.2 29 102.4	DEN 121.3 +3.6 OKC 117.7
Pace	6 94.5 8 94.1	DEN 98.0 +5.8 OKC 92.2
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.7 22 15.1	DEN 14.7 −0.9 OKC 15.6
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.2% 30 47.1%	DEN 53.8% +0.2% OKC 53.6%
TO %	26 15.8% 29 16.4%	DEN 10.6% −3.5% OKC 14.1%
ORB %	15 27.5% 4 28.6%	DEN 31.7% OKC 38.6% +6.9%
FTrt	1 38.2 13 30.8	DEN 20.4 OKC 36.9 +16.5
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	6 59.5% 17 55.5%	DEN 55.3% OKC 57.1% +1.8%
STL %	3 9.1% 15 7.8%	DEN 9.6% +3.3% OKC 6.3%
BLK %	1 9.7% 24 6.9%	DEN 1.5% OKC 3.6% +2.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.55 and 2.55.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.8% 29 50.8%	DEN 55.3% OKC 57.1% +1.8%
Rim FG%	6 60.5% 16 57.9%	DEN 63.8% +2.0% OKC 61.8%
Mid FG%	27 38.7% 30 37.1%	DEN 29.7% OKC 44.1% +14.4%
3P %	13 37.1% 28 34.6%	DEN 66.7% +29.2% OKC 37.5%
FT %	20 76.0% 9 78.6%	DEN 73.7% OKC 74.2% +0.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 39.7% 6 38.0%	DEN 50.5% +10.1% OKC 40.5%
Mid Att. %	3 37.6% 28 47.9%	DEN 39.8% −0.7% OKC 40.5%
3P Att. %	15 22.7% 30 14.1%	DEN 9.7% OKC 19.0% +9.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	94	96
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	114	113
Rebounds	40	45
Assists	26	24
Steals	9	6
Blocks	1	3
Turnovers (Team)	12 (0)	16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	13 (4)	17 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (2)	28 (5)
Field Goals	47-93	42-84
At-the-Rim FG	30-47	21-34
Midrange FG	11-37	15-34
2-Point FG	41-84	36-68
3-Point FG	6-9	6-16
Free Throws	14-19	23-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg