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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 5, 2009
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pacers43%9894
1676ers57%10199
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 28.4
38.0
31.6
21
54%
4
2
3
1
1
3
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
4-10
40%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 28.8
36.9
33.1
15
83%
14
2
1
1
1
0
4
10
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
3-4
75%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 25.8
35.3
34.7
18
51%
2
2
0
1
3
3
0
2
5-6
83%
5-8
5-12
63%
47%
1-7
14%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 25.9
21.3
31.2
2
17%
1
7
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-6
5-12
17%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
9.1
24.7
0
0%
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
53%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
36.5
24.0
18
65%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
47%
3-7
43%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.9
26.3
7.4
5
43%
1
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 22.2
11.9
3.9
8
59%
7
0
0
0
2
1
4
3
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 23.6
10.1
4.5
5
125%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-1
100%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
7.8
9.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 32.7
7.0
9.2
2
20%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
52%
0-0
-
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.7
11.4
0
1-2
54%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.9
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.9
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 28.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.0
43.7
38.3
20
62%
8
11
4
2
0
4
3
5
4-7
57%
8-13
6-11
62%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.9
40.3
36.2
13
50%
2
12
2
1
0
3
0
2
7-9
78%
3-9
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.6
37.6
36.3
14
34%
7
2
5
1
1
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-15
6-11
20%
55%
2-5
40%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 28.7
32.6
25.7
18
58%
20
0
0
0
1
2
6
14
6-6
100%
6-13
3-5
46%
53%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.5
29.5
18.4
23
61%
4
1
1
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
7-13
3-5
54%
49%
2-4
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 22.3
19.6
26.8
5
32%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 28.7
15.4
15.7
3
54%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.1
14.3
11.1
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 21.5
7.0
10.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-0
-
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
3.3
0
0-0
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.3
1.9
0
0-0
41%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 35.7
1.4
0
0-0
47%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.9
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.